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8350 E Lakeview Ave
D- Composite 39.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0

$375,000

8350 E Lakeview Ave · Mesa, AZ 85209
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,686 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 102 Days on market
Built 1989 6,639 sqft lot $222/sqft · at area comps Est $401k · 6% under $76/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This gorgeous corner-lot is a rare find, offering three bedrooms and beautiful curb appeal. A large covered, tiled front patio welcomes you into a spacious living room featuring all new tile flooring. The upgraded, open-concept kitchen shows lots of raised-panel cabinets, granite countertops, a breakfast bar, stainless steel appliances, a flat-top stove, and a large pantry. The master bedroom and second bedroom feature new carpeting and beautiful tiled showers. A spacious tiled Arizona room with central heating and air conditioning provides versatile living space, ideal for a family room or entertaining area. The backyard includes a large covered patio with tiled flooring, low-maintenance synthetic turf, and is fully enclosed by a block wall. Additional upgrades include the roof, air conditioning and heating systems, hot water heater, and all new tile flooring and more.

Key facts

  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Corner-lot
  • Granite countertops

Tags

CORNER-LOTCOVERED TILED FRONT PATIOOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENRAISED-PANEL CABINETSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSBREAKFAST BAR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-487 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $289k (23.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (37.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (37.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.4% in Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in AZ, #2,034 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D.
  • Gilbert Unified District (4239) (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #38 of 249 in AZ (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Neely Traditional Academy (math 83% / reading 81%, grade A+, #10 of 1,109 statewide, top 1%, 805 students, 17% FRL); Desert Ridge Jr. High (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #62 of 218 statewide, top 29%, 973 students, 26% FRL); Desert Ridge High (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #136 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 2,284 students, 23% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 171 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($341k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $250k; list at $375k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,694 (37.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
4.73%
Cash-on-cash
-5.57%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
13.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$400,951
List price
$375,000
Delta
-6.47%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8311 E Laguna Azul Ave 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,656 (-2%) 2mo $378,000 $228 85
8512 E Meseto Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,760 (+4%) 1mo $475,000 $270 77
8607 E Desert Ln 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,617 (-4%) 1mo $459,900 $284 77
8505 E Monte Ave 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,826 (+8%) 0mo $525,000 $288 61
8527 E Milagro Ave 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,837 (+9%) 1mo $489,900 $267 61
8118 E Medina Ave 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,502 (-11%) 2mo $522,000 $348 60
8008 E Monte Ave 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,562 (-7%) 1mo $325,000 $208 58
8033 E Neville Ave 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,580 (-6%) 1mo $410,000 $259 54
8231 E Nido Ave 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-11%) 1mo $425,000 $283 53
8652 E Nido Ave 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,860 (+10%) 1mo $460,000 $247 52
8710 E Kilarea Ave 0.45mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,914 (+14%) 0mo $395,000 $206 49
7822 E Lindner Ave 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,926 (+14%) 1mo $327,000 $170 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.44% appreciation · 0.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-21,670
Equity at exit
$136,681
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-829
Equity at exit
$188,535

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85209

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
13.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,347 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,967
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,711/yr
Insurance
$156
HOA
$76
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$-487

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,964
Max offer price $288,915
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-275 -5% $-381 +0% $-487 +5% $-593 +10% $-700
Rent -10% $-673 -5% $-580 +0% $-487 +5% $-395 +10% $-302
Rate -1.0pp $-298 -0.5pp $-392 base $-487 +0.5pp $-584 +1.0pp $-683

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,750
Closing costs
$11,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8528 E Desert Ln Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1665 $2,280 $1.37 6d 1 0.22mi
8438 E Keats Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1363 $2,300 $1.69 25d 1 0.22mi
2159 S Luther Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1900 $2,200 $1.16 25d 1 0.23mi
8566 E Desert Ln Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1918 $2,200 $1.15 20d 1 0.30mi
8566 E Desert Ln Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1918 $2,200 $1.15 16d 1 0.30mi
2311 S Farnsworth Dr #85 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1332 $3,300 $2.48 5d 1 0.38mi
8020 E Keats Ave #299 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1679 $2,600 $1.55 45d 1 0.42mi
8720 E Knowles Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1692 $1,995 $1.18 4d 1 0.51mi
8720 E Knowles Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1692 $1,995 $1.18 0d 1 0.51mi
2051 S 87th Pl Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 2090 $2,195 $1.05 19d 1 0.51mi
8757 E Lomita Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 3.0 1914 $2,300 $1.20 25d 1 0.52mi
2223 S Gordon Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1278 $2,250 $1.76 25d 1 0.52mi
7950 E Keats Ave Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1228 $1,995 $1.62 25d 1 0.53mi
8433 E Guadalupe Rd Mesa, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 936 $3,502 $3.74 0d 1 0.76mi
8865 E Baseline Rd #555 Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1387 $3,900 $2.81 25d 1 0.78mi
8865 E Baseline Rd #555 Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1387 $3,900 $2.81 21d 1 0.78mi
8106 E Osage Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1544 $1,550 $1.00 0d 1 0.85mi
8527 E Osage Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1871 $2,200 $1.18 45d 1 0.85mi
8547 E Osage Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 2045 $2,295 $1.12 45d 1 0.86mi
8547 E Osage Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 2045 $2,275 $1.11 25d 1 0.86mi
8240 E Obispo Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1655 $2,200 $1.33 20d 1 0.89mi
8462 E Pampa Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1473 $1,995 $1.35 45d 1 1.04mi
8915 E Guadalupe Rd Mesa, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 971 $1,598 $1.65 4d 11 1.07mi
8915 E Guadalupe Rd Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.0 1054 $1,390 $1.32 25d 1 1.07mi
9231 E Lindner Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1572 $2,295 $1.46 6d 1 1.09mi
7521 E Laguna Azul Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1544 $2,315 $1.50 45d 1 1.10mi
7515 E Laguna Azul Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 3.0 2169 $4,500 $2.07 45d 1 1.11mi
7515 E Laguna Azul Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 3.0 2169 $4,500 $2.07 6d 1 1.11mi
8616 E Posada Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1792 $2,309 $1.29 12d 1 1.14mi
8616 E Posada Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1792 $2,289 $1.28 5d 1 1.14mi
2821 S Skyline #157 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.5 1438 $2,200 $1.53 5d 1 1.16mi
8918 E Oro Cir Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1566 $2,100 $1.34 18d 1 1.17mi
8918 E Oro Cir Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.5 1566 $2,180 $1.39 45d 1 1.17mi
2821 S Skyline #127 Mesa, AZ 2.0 2.5 1438 $2,350 $1.63 45d 1 1.18mi
9233 E Neville Ave Mesa, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1145 $1,750 $1.53 25d 1 1.20mi
9233 E Neville Ave Mesa, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1142 $1,900 $1.66 16d 3 1.20mi
9322 E Lobo Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1691 $2,200 $1.30 23d 1 1.20mi
9304 E Monte Ave Mesa, AZ 4.0 3.0 1857 $2,225 $1.20 45d 1 1.22mi
2728 S Sawyer Cir Mesa, AZ 3.0 3.0 2241 $2,595 $1.16 45d 1 1.22mi
8843 E Pampa Ave Mesa, AZ 3.0 2.0 1357 $2,050 $1.51 6d 1 1.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$76 · $912/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    This gorgeous corner-lot is a rare find, offering three bedrooms and beautiful curb appeal. A large covered, tiled front patio welcomes you into a spacious living room featuring all new tile flooring. The upgraded, open-concept kitchen shows lots of raised-panel cabinets, granite countertops, a breakfast bar, stainless steel appliances, a flat-top stove, and a large pantry. The master bedroom and second bedroom feature new carpeting and beautiful tiled showers. A spacious tiled Arizona room with central heating and air conditioning provides versatile living space, ideal for a family room or entertaining area. The backyard includes a large covered patio with tiled flooring, low-maintenance synthetic turf, and is fully enclosed by a block wall. Additional upgrades include the roof, air conditioning and heating systems, hot water heater, and all new tile flooring and more.

  2. 2026-04-27
    price $375,000 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    This gorgeous corner-lot is a rare find, offering three bedrooms and beautiful curb appeal. A large covered, tiled front patio welcomes you into a spacious living room featuring all new tile flooring. The upgraded, open-concept kitchen shows lots of raised-panel cabinets, granite countertops, a breakfast bar, stainless steel appliances, a flat-top stove, and a large pantry. The master bedroom and second bedroom feature new carpeting and beautiful tiled showers. A spacious tiled Arizona room with central heating and air conditioning provides versatile living space, ideal for a family room or entertaining area. The backyard includes a large covered patio with tiled flooring, low-maintenance synthetic turf, and is fully enclosed by a block wall. Additional upgrades include the roof, air conditioning and heating systems, hot water heater, and all new tile flooring and more.

  3. 2026-03-06
    status Active 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    This gorgeous corner-lot is a rare find, offering three bedrooms and beautiful curb appeal. A large covered, tiled front patio welcomes you into a spacious living room featuring all new tile flooring. The upgraded, open-concept kitchen shows lots of raised-panel cabinets, granite countertops, a breakfast bar, stainless steel appliances, a flat-top stove, and a large pantry. The master bedroom and second bedroom feature new carpeting and beautiful tiled showers. A spacious tiled Arizona room with central heating and air conditioning provides versatile living space, ideal for a family room or entertaining area. The backyard includes a large covered patio with tiled flooring, low-maintenance synthetic turf, and is fully enclosed by a block wall. Additional upgrades include the roof, air conditioning and heating systems, hot water heater, and all new tile flooring and more.

  4. 2026-02-20
    historical 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    This gorgeous corner-lot is a rare find, offering three bedrooms and beautiful curb appeal. A large covered, tiled front patio welcomes you into a spacious living room featuring all new tile flooring. The upgraded, open-concept kitchen shows lots of raised-panel cabinets, granite countertops, a breakfast bar, stainless steel appliances, a flat-top stove, and a large pantry. The master bedroom and second bedroom feature new carpeting and beautiful tiled showers. A spacious tiled Arizona room with central heating and air conditioning provides versatile living space, ideal for a family room or entertaining area. The backyard includes a large covered patio with tiled flooring, low-maintenance synthetic turf, and is fully enclosed by a block wall. Additional upgrades include the roof, air conditioning and heating systems, hot water heater, and all new tile flooring and more.

  5. 2026-01-21
    listed $399,000 Active 884-char remark
    Show marketing remark (884 chars)

    This gorgeous corner-lot is a rare find, offering three bedrooms and beautiful curb appeal. A large covered, tiled front patio welcomes you into a spacious living room featuring all new tile flooring. The upgraded, open-concept kitchen shows lots of raised-panel cabinets, granite countertops, a breakfast bar, stainless steel appliances, a flat-top stove, and a large pantry. The master bedroom and second bedroom feature new carpeting and beautiful tiled showers. A spacious tiled Arizona room with central heating and air conditioning provides versatile living space, ideal for a family room or entertaining area. The backyard includes a large covered patio with tiled flooring, low-maintenance synthetic turf, and is fully enclosed by a block wall. Additional upgrades include the roof, air conditioning and heating systems, hot water heater, and all new tile flooring and more.

  6. 2006-03-02
    soldstatus $250,000
  7. 2006-02-28
    soldstatus $246,000 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    BETTER BUY TODAY!! PRICE REDUCED BY $13,OOO FOR QUICK SALE!! Very nice corner lot with home bigger than most in Sunland Village East, a 55+ community. Most in the Village are less than 1500 sq. ft. Why not buy a lot more for a less expensive sq. ft. price? Your clients cannot go wrong with this purchase. Exceptionally clean and repainted for your buyer.

  8. 2006-02-13
    historical 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    BETTER BUY TODAY!! PRICE REDUCED BY $13,OOO FOR QUICK SALE!! Very nice corner lot with home bigger than most in Sunland Village East, a 55+ community. Most in the Village are less than 1500 sq. ft. Why not buy a lot more for a less expensive sq. ft. price? Your clients cannot go wrong with this purchase. Exceptionally clean and repainted for your buyer.

  9. 2005-12-12
    listed $256,000 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    BETTER BUY TODAY!! PRICE REDUCED BY $13,OOO FOR QUICK SALE!! Very nice corner lot with home bigger than most in Sunland Village East, a 55+ community. Most in the Village are less than 1500 sq. ft. Why not buy a lot more for a less expensive sq. ft. price? Your clients cannot go wrong with this purchase. Exceptionally clean and repainted for your buyer.

  10. 2005-11-29
    soldstatus $220,000
  11. 1989-06-29
    soldstatus $90,247
  12. 1987-02-13
    soldstatus $193,715

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,711 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,475 · $206/mo
Expected delta
+$764/yr (+$64/mo · 44.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,163
− Mortgage interest
−$21,006
− Property taxes
−$1,711
− Insurance
−$1,875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,253
− Management
−$2,253
− HOA
−$912
− Depreciation
−$10,909
Taxable loss
−$12,756
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,061
After-tax cash flow
$-2,786/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gilbert Unified District (4239)
NCES district ID
0403400
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$74,715
Composite
45.55/100
National rank
#2600
State rank
#38 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Mesa

Score
79/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2034

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime D Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mesa, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
555,266
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
43,150
Household income
$84,432
Rent vs Own
26.9% rent · 73.1% own
Severe rent burden
972.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.44%
Current HPI
277.6198
Rent YoY
▲ 0.54%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+93.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Pending ARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $375,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $399,000 ARMLS
  • 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2006-02-28 Sold (MLS) $246,000 ARMLS
  • 2006-02-13 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2005-12-12 Listed $256,000 ARMLS
  • 2005-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 1989-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $90,247 Public Records
  • 1987-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $193,715 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,711 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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