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521 Cincinnati St
C+ Composite 64.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

521 Cincinnati St · Toledo, OH 43611
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,199 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1910 6,460 sqft lot $71/sqft · 138% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors, check out this property within a block of the school that has an enclosed porch glass block windows in the basement roof is in good condition. Walking distance to park.

Key facts

  • Glass block windows
  • Enclosed porch
  • 6,460 sq ft lot

Tags

ENCLOSED PORCHGLASS BLOCK WINDOWSWALKING DISTANCE TO PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $85k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,806 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.20%
Cash-on-cash
13.97%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,624
List price
$84,900
Delta
138.32%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
417 Cincinnati St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,130 (-6%) 11mo $61,330 $54 78
1970 N Ontario St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,271 (+6%) 6mo $35,000 $28 70
329 Columbus St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,272 (+6%) 18mo $38,500 $30 64
1990 N Erie St 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,289 (+8%) 11mo $119,900 $93 63
301 Galena St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,218 (+2%) 19mo $30,000 $25 62
312 Ohio St 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,376 (+15%) 3mo $87,000 $63 61
2622 N Ontario St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,126 (-6%) 20mo $65,000 $58 53
1821 Ridgewood Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,090 (-9%) 2mo $48,000 $44 52
1960 N Erie St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,367 (+14%) 9mo $30,000 $22 52
2830 F St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,041 (-13%) 5mo $52,500 $50 47
718 Buffalo St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-8%) 11mo $45,000 $41 43
2831 D St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,128 (-6%) 23mo $35,500 $31 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$3,902
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$26,239
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43611

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,134 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,659/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $783
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
413 Sandusky St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $775 $0.86 23d 1 0.28mi
1951 N Summit St Unit 2 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 835 $800 $0.96 43d 1 0.41mi
2932 N Ontario St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $750 $1.00 23d 1 0.61mi
3405 Beaumont Dr Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 855 $745 $0.87 13d 1 0.98mi
1449 N Huron St Toledo, OH 4.0 2.0 1430 $1,045 $0.73 13d 1 1.02mi
1964 Burr St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1159 $1,250 $1.08 43d 1 1.07mi
2453 Caledonia St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1179 $810 $0.69 13d 1 1.08mi
3439 Jeannette Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,095 $1.00 43d 1 1.08mi
1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1069 $1,200 $1.12 43d 1 1.13mi
1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1069 $1,300 $1.22 23d 1 1.13mi
3474 Maher St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 736 $1,125 $1.53 43d 1 1.15mi
630 Mulberry St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 23d 1 1.18mi
1337 Moore St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1194 $995 $0.83 21d 1 1.19mi
830 Homer Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1208 $895 $0.74 43d 1 1.21mi
3563 E Manhattan Blvd Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 707 $850 $1.20 13d 1 1.31mi
622 Whitlock Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 925 $1,195 $1.29 43d 1 1.34mi
710 E Lake St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,000 $0.81 13d 1 1.35mi
1031 N Michigan St Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1488 $1,195 $0.80 23d 1 1.38mi
1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $1,750 $1.71 13d 2 1.39mi
1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,890 $1.26 43d 1 1.39mi
1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH 2.0 2.0 1226 $1,750 $1.43 23d 1 1.39mi
128 Carbon St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,200 $1.08 23d 1 1.42mi
2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,250 $0.87 43d 1 1.44mi
420 Everett St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $975 $0.97 23d 1 1.47mi
524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1050 $825 $0.79 43d 1 1.50mi
524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1150 $895 $0.78 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,900 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,900 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,900 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-04-14
    listed $84,900 Active 191-char remark
    Show marketing remark (191 chars)

    Calling all investors, check out this property within a block of the school that has an enclosed porch glass block windows in the basement roof is in good condition. Walking distance to park.

  17. 2025-10-14
    price $55,000 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Enclosed front porch, glass block windows in basement, also a stool in basement, and a roof to make 2nd bathroom. Roof in good condition. Walking distance to park & elementary school. Previously rented at $1,050.

  18. 2025-03-15
    historical $1,300
  19. 2025-02-18
    listed $1,300
  20. 2023-12-19
    soldstatus $55,000
  21. 2023-12-15
    status Pending 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Enclosed front porch, glass block windows in basement, also a stool in basement, and a roof to make 2nd bathroom. Roof in good condition. Walking distance to park & elementary school. Previously rented at $1,050.

  22. 2023-12-15
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Enclosed front porch, glass block windows in basement, also a stool in basement, and a roof to make 2nd bathroom. Roof in good condition. Walking distance to park & elementary school. Previously rented at $1,050.

  23. 2023-11-10
    historical Contingent 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Enclosed front porch, glass block windows in basement, also a stool in basement, and a roof to make 2nd bathroom. Roof in good condition. Walking distance to park & elementary school. Previously rented at $1,050.

  24. 2023-11-06
    listed $59,500 Active 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Enclosed front porch, glass block windows in basement, also a stool in basement, and a roof to make 2nd bathroom. Roof in good condition. Walking distance to park & elementary school. Previously rented at $1,050.

  25. 2006-07-05
    soldstatus $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,659 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,659 · $138/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,603
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,659
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,088
− Management
−$1,088
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$2,118
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$508
After-tax cash flow
$2,812/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,664
Household income
$62,042
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
298.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.15%
Current HPI
245.2841
Rent YoY
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+358.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $84,900 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $55,000 NORIS
  • 2025-03-15 Rental Removed $1,300 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-02-18 Listed for Rent $1,300 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2023-12-15 Pending NORIS
  • 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $55,000 NORIS
  • 2023-11-10 Contingent NORIS
  • 2023-11-06 Listed $59,500 NORIS
  • 2006-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,659 · +15.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…