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4157 Kenwood Trl
B- Composite 66.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$270,000

4157 Kenwood Trl · South Fulton, GA 30349
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,300 sqft · Land · 297 Days on market
Built 2025 0.50 ac lot $82/sqft · 28% below area Est $377k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS SPECIAL. THE BUILDER IS SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS-IS IN IT'S CURRENT UNFINISHED CONDITION. PROPERTIES IN THE AREA ARE SELLING IN THE HIGH (450K & UP ) THIS 3300 SQFT PROPERTY OFFERS 4 SPACIOUS BEDROOMS 2.5 BATHROOMS AND A OVERSIZED WALK IN CLOSET. OPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOM AND KITCHEN. EASY ACCESS TO SOUTH FULTON PARKWAY, I-85, I-285 and I-75. LOCATED WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS, AND FEW MINUTES DRIVE TO CAMP CREEK MARKETPLACE, TARGET ,STARBUCKS, WELLS FARGO, WALGREENS, CHICK-FIL-A, PUBLIX, AND SEVERAL RESTAURANTS. MINUTES FROM WOLF CREEK GOLF COURSE AND LIBRARY AND HARTSFIELD JACKSON AIRPORT, PROPERTY IS LOCATED IN A NICE AND QUIET CUL-DE-SAC. THIS WOULD BE A GREAT INVESTMENT FOR INVESTORS LOOKING TO BUY AND FLIP OR BUY AND HOLD.

Key facts

  • 0.5 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2025

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (10.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 656 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $270k implies a 800% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $237,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.43%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$376,793
List price
$270,000
Delta
-28.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$159,837
Equity at exit
$243,237
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
6.92×
Total profit
$447,376
Equity at exit
$524,551

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30349

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
656
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,420 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,248/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$508
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,066
Max offer price $270,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $432 -5% $356 +0% $279 +5% $203 +10% $126
Rent -10% $88 -5% $184 +0% $279 +5% $375 +10% $470
Rate -1.0pp $415 -0.5pp $348 base $279 +0.5pp $209 +1.0pp $138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4253 Kensington Cv Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2695 $2,415 $0.90 23d 1 0.24mi
4524 Parkway Cir Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 2610 $2,215 $0.85 0d 1 0.81mi
4040 Alveston Dr Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 20d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $270,000 Active 297 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $270,000 Active 294 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $270,000 Active 293 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $270,000 Active 292 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $270,000 Active 291 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $270,000 Active 289 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $270,000 Active 285 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $270,000 Active 284 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $270,000 Active 283 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $270,000 Active 280 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $270,000 Active 279 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $270,000 Active 277 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Active 276 DOM
  14. 2026-02-02
    status Back On Market 765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (765 chars)

    INVESTORS SPECIAL. THE BUILDER IS SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS-IS IN IT'S CURRENT UNFINISHED CONDITION. PROPERTIES IN THE AREA ARE SELLING IN THE HIGH (450K & UP ) THIS 3300 SQFT PROPERTY OFFERS 4 SPACIOUS BEDROOMS 2.5 BATHROOMS AND A OVERSIZED WALK IN CLOSET. OPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOM AND KITCHEN. EASY ACCESS TO SOUTH FULTON PARKWAY, I-85, I-285 and I-75. LOCATED WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS, AND FEW MINUTES DRIVE TO CAMP CREEK MARKETPLACE, TARGET ,STARBUCKS, WELLS FARGO, WALGREENS, CHICK-FIL-A, PUBLIX, AND SEVERAL RESTAURANTS. MINUTES FROM WOLF CREEK GOLF COURSE AND LIBRARY AND HARTSFIELD JACKSON AIRPORT, PROPERTY IS LOCATED IN A NICE AND QUIET CUL-DE-SAC. THIS WOULD BE A GREAT INVESTMENT FOR INVESTORS LOOKING TO BUY AND FLIP OR BUY AND HOLD.

  15. 2026-02-02
    status Active 765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (765 chars)

    INVESTORS SPECIAL. THE BUILDER IS SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS-IS IN IT'S CURRENT UNFINISHED CONDITION. PROPERTIES IN THE AREA ARE SELLING IN THE HIGH (450K & UP ) THIS 3300 SQFT PROPERTY OFFERS 4 SPACIOUS BEDROOMS 2.5 BATHROOMS AND A OVERSIZED WALK IN CLOSET. OPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOM AND KITCHEN. EASY ACCESS TO SOUTH FULTON PARKWAY, I-85, I-285 and I-75. LOCATED WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS, AND FEW MINUTES DRIVE TO CAMP CREEK MARKETPLACE, TARGET ,STARBUCKS, WELLS FARGO, WALGREENS, CHICK-FIL-A, PUBLIX, AND SEVERAL RESTAURANTS. MINUTES FROM WOLF CREEK GOLF COURSE AND LIBRARY AND HARTSFIELD JACKSON AIRPORT, PROPERTY IS LOCATED IN A NICE AND QUIET CUL-DE-SAC. THIS WOULD BE A GREAT INVESTMENT FOR INVESTORS LOOKING TO BUY AND FLIP OR BUY AND HOLD.

  16. 2026-01-31
    historical 765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (765 chars)

    INVESTORS SPECIAL. THE BUILDER IS SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS-IS IN IT'S CURRENT UNFINISHED CONDITION. PROPERTIES IN THE AREA ARE SELLING IN THE HIGH (450K & UP ) THIS 3300 SQFT PROPERTY OFFERS 4 SPACIOUS BEDROOMS 2.5 BATHROOMS AND A OVERSIZED WALK IN CLOSET. OPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOM AND KITCHEN. EASY ACCESS TO SOUTH FULTON PARKWAY, I-85, I-285 and I-75. LOCATED WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS, AND FEW MINUTES DRIVE TO CAMP CREEK MARKETPLACE, TARGET ,STARBUCKS, WELLS FARGO, WALGREENS, CHICK-FIL-A, PUBLIX, AND SEVERAL RESTAURANTS. MINUTES FROM WOLF CREEK GOLF COURSE AND LIBRARY AND HARTSFIELD JACKSON AIRPORT, PROPERTY IS LOCATED IN A NICE AND QUIET CUL-DE-SAC. THIS WOULD BE A GREAT INVESTMENT FOR INVESTORS LOOKING TO BUY AND FLIP OR BUY AND HOLD.

  17. 2026-01-31
    historical 765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (765 chars)

    INVESTORS SPECIAL. THE BUILDER IS SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS-IS IN IT'S CURRENT UNFINISHED CONDITION. PROPERTIES IN THE AREA ARE SELLING IN THE HIGH (450K & UP ) THIS 3300 SQFT PROPERTY OFFERS 4 SPACIOUS BEDROOMS 2.5 BATHROOMS AND A OVERSIZED WALK IN CLOSET. OPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOM AND KITCHEN. EASY ACCESS TO SOUTH FULTON PARKWAY, I-85, I-285 and I-75. LOCATED WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS, AND FEW MINUTES DRIVE TO CAMP CREEK MARKETPLACE, TARGET ,STARBUCKS, WELLS FARGO, WALGREENS, CHICK-FIL-A, PUBLIX, AND SEVERAL RESTAURANTS. MINUTES FROM WOLF CREEK GOLF COURSE AND LIBRARY AND HARTSFIELD JACKSON AIRPORT, PROPERTY IS LOCATED IN A NICE AND QUIET CUL-DE-SAC. THIS WOULD BE A GREAT INVESTMENT FOR INVESTORS LOOKING TO BUY AND FLIP OR BUY AND HOLD.

  18. 2025-08-26
    listed $270,000 New 765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (765 chars)

    INVESTORS SPECIAL. THE BUILDER IS SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS-IS IN IT'S CURRENT UNFINISHED CONDITION. PROPERTIES IN THE AREA ARE SELLING IN THE HIGH (450K & UP ) THIS 3300 SQFT PROPERTY OFFERS 4 SPACIOUS BEDROOMS 2.5 BATHROOMS AND A OVERSIZED WALK IN CLOSET. OPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOM AND KITCHEN. EASY ACCESS TO SOUTH FULTON PARKWAY, I-85, I-285 and I-75. LOCATED WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS, AND FEW MINUTES DRIVE TO CAMP CREEK MARKETPLACE, TARGET ,STARBUCKS, WELLS FARGO, WALGREENS, CHICK-FIL-A, PUBLIX, AND SEVERAL RESTAURANTS. MINUTES FROM WOLF CREEK GOLF COURSE AND LIBRARY AND HARTSFIELD JACKSON AIRPORT, PROPERTY IS LOCATED IN A NICE AND QUIET CUL-DE-SAC. THIS WOULD BE A GREAT INVESTMENT FOR INVESTORS LOOKING TO BUY AND FLIP OR BUY AND HOLD.

  19. 2025-08-26
    listed $270,000 Active 765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (765 chars)

    INVESTORS SPECIAL. THE BUILDER IS SELLING THIS PROPERTY AS-IS IN IT'S CURRENT UNFINISHED CONDITION. PROPERTIES IN THE AREA ARE SELLING IN THE HIGH (450K & UP ) THIS 3300 SQFT PROPERTY OFFERS 4 SPACIOUS BEDROOMS 2.5 BATHROOMS AND A OVERSIZED WALK IN CLOSET. OPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOM AND KITCHEN. EASY ACCESS TO SOUTH FULTON PARKWAY, I-85, I-285 and I-75. LOCATED WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS, AND FEW MINUTES DRIVE TO CAMP CREEK MARKETPLACE, TARGET ,STARBUCKS, WELLS FARGO, WALGREENS, CHICK-FIL-A, PUBLIX, AND SEVERAL RESTAURANTS. MINUTES FROM WOLF CREEK GOLF COURSE AND LIBRARY AND HARTSFIELD JACKSON AIRPORT, PROPERTY IS LOCATED IN A NICE AND QUIET CUL-DE-SAC. THIS WOULD BE A GREAT INVESTMENT FOR INVESTORS LOOKING TO BUY AND FLIP OR BUY AND HOLD.

  20. 2022-12-31
    historical
  21. 2022-10-30
    listed $35,000 New
  22. 2022-09-14
    soldstatus $30,000 Sold
  23. 2022-06-25
    status Under Contract
  24. 2021-12-06
    listed $59,990 New
  25. 2021-11-12
    historical
  26. 2021-09-19
    price $59,990
  27. 2021-08-07
    price $62,500
  28. 2021-08-04
    listed $125,000 New
  29. 2021-05-01
    historical
  30. 2020-11-18
    listed $25,000 New
  31. 2018-05-19
    historical
  32. 2018-02-11
    status Back on Market
  33. 2018-01-23
    status Under Contract
  34. 2018-01-12
    price $15,000
  35. 2018-01-11
    listed $60,000 New
  36. 2016-12-31
    historical
  37. 2016-09-19
    listed $17,000 New
  38. 2016-07-30
    historical
  39. 2016-04-18
    price $60,000
  40. 2015-09-16
    listed $80,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,248 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,484 · $207/mo
Expected delta
+$1,236/yr (+$103/mo · 99.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,038
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$1,248
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,323
− Management
−$2,323
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$1,185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$284
After-tax cash flow
$3,635/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Fulton, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
127,674
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
79,872
Household income
$67,023
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
4258.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.01%
Current HPI
407.99
Rent YoY
▲ 0.95%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+237.5% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Relisted FMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $270,000 FMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Listed $270,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-12-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-10-30 Listed $35,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-09-14 Sold (MLS) $30,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-06-25 Pending GAMLS
  • 2021-12-06 Listed $59,990 GAMLS
  • 2021-11-12 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2021-09-19 Price Changed $59,990 GAMLS
  • 2021-08-07 Price Changed $62,500 GAMLS
  • 2021-08-04 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-05-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2020-11-18 Listed $25,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-05-19 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2018-02-11 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2018-01-23 Pending GAMLS
  • 2018-01-12 Price Changed $15,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-01-11 Listed $60,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-12-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2016-09-19 Listed $17,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-07-30 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2016-04-18 Price Changed $60,000 GAMLS
  • 2015-09-16 Listed $80,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,248 · +170.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…