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3436 Rover Rd
D Composite 41.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$249,490

3436 Rover Rd · Eagle Lake, FL 33839
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 2026 5,662 sqft lot $118/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This new four-bedroom home offers convenient single-story living. An open-concept floorplan maximizes interior space and encourages seamless transitions between a modern kitchen, elegant dining room and comfortable family room. Three secondary bedrooms are tucked away to the side of the home, while a luxurious owner’s suite is nestled into a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet. Ranches at Lake McLeod is a masterplan community located in the lovely city of Eagle Lake, FL. This tranquil community provides quality block construction, innovative designs, with brand-new appliances. All homes come standard with Connected Home features. Amenities include: Cl

Key facts

  • Elegant dining room
  • Single-story living
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

SINGLE-STORY LIVINGOPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLANMODERN KITCHENELEGANT DINING ROOMCOMFORTABLE FAMILY ROOMLUXURIOUS OWNER SUITE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Address: 3436 Rover Rd, Eagle Lake FL 33839; List price available

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family property (Sentosa plan)
  • Exterior features: 1,600 living area

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Active listing (Spec home, Sentosa plan)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (9.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#196 in FL, #3,096 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Chain of Lakes Elementary School (math 63% / reading 60%, grade B, #634 of 2,144 statewide, top 30%, 1,130 students, 37% FRL); Westwood Middle School (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 571 statewide, top 96%, 878 students, 70% FRL); Lake Region High School (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #570 of 667 statewide, top 86%, 1,545 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $213,123 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.72%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$3,927
Equity at exit
$95,013
10-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$49,452
Equity at exit
$134,261

Cash invested: $69,857 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33839

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,131 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,308
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,742/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$118
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$448
Net cashflow
$-158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,332
Max offer price $226,555
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $14 -5% $-72 +0% $-158 +5% $-245 +10% $-331
Rent -10% $-327 -5% $-243 +0% $-158 +5% $-74 +10% $10
Rate -1.0pp $-33 -0.5pp $-95 base $-158 +0.5pp $-223 +1.0pp $-289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,372
Closing costs
$7,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3451 Rover Rd Eloise, FL 4.0 2.5 1910 $2,199 $1.15 4d 1 0.05mi
3443 Rover Rd Eloise, FL 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,099 $1.31 4d 1 0.05mi
2831 Pioneer Trl Eloise, FL 3.0 2.0 1843 $2,300 $1.25 5d 1 0.11mi
2831 Pioneer Trl Eloise, FL 3.0 2.0 1843 $2,300 $1.25 12d 1 0.11mi
2782 Pioneer Trl Eagle Lake, FL 3.0 2.0 1486 $1,940 $1.31 25d 1 0.14mi
2057 Lasso Loop Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 3.0 2205 $2,275 $1.03 5d 1 0.16mi
3103 Totem Rd Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 3.0 2186 $2,198 $1.01 23d 1 0.18mi
2711 Pioneer Trl Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 2.0 1836 $2,050 $1.12 25d 1 0.21mi
1623 Marksman Rd Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 3.0 2150 $2,700 $1.26 25d 1 0.32mi
1204 Deepwater Cir Eagle Lake, FL 3.0 2.0 1444 $1,900 $1.32 16d 1 0.36mi
1975 Wilder Way Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 2.0 1733 $2,100 $1.21 12d 1 0.37mi
1727 Foreman Rd Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 2.5 1879 $1,925 $1.02 5d 1 0.39mi
608 Trotters Dr Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 3.0 2140 $2,400 $1.12 25d 1 0.43mi
1469 Deepwater Cir Eagle Lake, FL 3.0 2.0 1461 $2,000 $1.37 25d 1 0.46mi
1033 Holden Way Winter Haven, FL 3.0 2.0 1560 $1,950 $1.25 16d 1 0.49mi
740 Trotters Dr Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 2.0 1973 $2,295 $1.16 25d 1 0.55mi
948 Craftsman Rd Eagle Lake, FL 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,895 $1.22 5d 1 0.61mi
327 MacArthur St Bartow, FL 4.0 2.0 1936 $2,260 $1.17 25d 1 0.99mi
519 Patton Loop Bartow, FL 3.0 2.0 1560 $1,998 $1.28 5d 1 1.02mi
212 Pershing St Bartow, FL 4.0 2.0 1826 $2,100 $1.15 25d 1 1.07mi
217 Windsor Reserve Dr Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 2.0 1839 $1,896 $1.03 5d 1 1.24mi
209 Windsor Reserve Dr Bartow, FL 4.0 2.0 1839 $1,826 $0.99 5d 1 1.25mi
418 Reina Way Bartow, FL 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,666 $1.23 23d 1 1.30mi
519 Crown Rose Dr Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 2.0 2001 $1,956 $0.98 5d 1 1.31mi
523 Crown Rose Dr Eagle Lake, FL 4.0 2.0 1839 $1,951 $1.06 13d 1 1.31mi
303 Corbel Ln Bartow, FL 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,731 $1.28 5d 1 1.32mi
588 Crown Rose Dr Bartow, FL 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,646 $1.22 15d 1 1.33mi
531 Crown Rose Dr Bartow, FL 4.0 2.0 1839 $1,746 $0.95 23d 1 1.33mi
543 Crown Rose Dr Bartow, FL 4.0 2.0 2001 $2,091 $1.04 5d 1 1.35mi
910 Sun Burst Rd Winter Haven, FL 3.0 2.0 1690 $2,000 $1.18 25d 1 1.36mi
328 Corbel Ln Eagle Lake, FL 3.0 2.0 1589 $1,676 $1.05 23d 1 1.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$118 · $1,416/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    pricedays on market $249,490 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 693-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on marketlisting id $254,490 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $254,490 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $254,490 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $254,490 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 414-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $249,490 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,575
− Mortgage interest
−$13,975
− Property taxes
−$3,742
− Insurance
−$1,247
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,046
− Management
−$2,046
− HOA
−$1,416
− Depreciation
−$7,258
Taxable loss
−$6,156
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,477
After-tax cash flow
$-424/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk
NCES district ID
1201590
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,979
Composite
34.74/100
National rank
#5132
State rank
#62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Eagle Lake

Score
77/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#3096

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eagle Lake, FL
City population
4,397
Population (ZIP)
4,397

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
752,975 people
By 2030
804,621 · +6.9%
By 2040
906,117 · +20.3%
By 2050
1,000,476 · +32.9%
By 2075
1,197,520 · +59.0%
By 2100
1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 8% Black 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 23% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.75%
Current HPI
317.0642
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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