953 W Boston Post Rd Unit 3O · Mamaroneck, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely Apartment In Sought-after Orienta Gardens. Very Spacious With 2 Bedrooms And 2 Baths. Kitchen And Bathrooms Have Been Updated. Window Treatments And 3 A/C Units Included. King Size Bed Negotiable. Must See!
Key facts
- Parking
- Community pool
- Built 1961
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Orienta Gardens association; Association amenities include elevator(s), landscaping, live-in superintendent, maintenance (including grounds), pool, snow removal, and trash service; Association fees cover heat, hot water, water, sewer, exterior and common area maintenance, pool service, grounds care, snow removal and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (1 space); No carport
- Utilities: Con Edison electric; Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Public water; Trash collection
- Home design: Stock cooperative; One-level living; Located on the top floor; Three-story building
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Community in-ground fenced pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Top floor location
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Steam heat; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Galley-style kitchen; Granite counters; Primary bathroom; Common basement
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Laundry room in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $399k).
- Recommended offer: $393k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.1% in Mamaroneck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#491 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Mamaroneck Union Free School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #47 of 590 in NY (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Central School (math 78% / reading 78%, grade A, #239 of 2,108 statewide, top 11%, 513 students, 14% FRL); Hommocks School (math 65% / reading 79%, grade A, #76 of 729 statewide, top 11%, 1,258 students, 20% FRL); Mamaroneck High School (math 95% / reading 91%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 1,660 students, 23% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($393k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.27%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-23,855
- Equity at exit
- $59,492
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $80,362
- Equity at exit
- $34,498
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10543
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,994 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$839
- Net cashflow
- $398
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314 Larchmont Acres Unit 4C Mamaroneck, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $2,985 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4 Larchmont Acres Unit 4C Larchmont, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $2,985 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 9 Ferndale Pl Larchmont, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1349 | $4,500 | $3.34 | 17d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 505 Prospect Ave Mamaroneck, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $6,700 | $4.47 | 13d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 300 Livingston Ave Unit 3E Mamaroneck, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $3,600 | $3.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 338 Palmer Ave Unit B Mamaroneck, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,700 | $4.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 172 E Prospect Ave Unit 304 Mamaroneck, NY | 1.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $3,620 | $3.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1833 Palmer Ave Unit 3K Larchmont, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,700 | $3.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 210 Union Ave Mamaroneck, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $3,500 | $3.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 209 Halstead Ave Unit 3 Mamaroneck, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $3,975 | $2.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 416 Tompkins Ave Unit SECOND FLOOR Mamaroneck, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,800 | $3.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 746 Mamaroneck Ave Mamaroneck, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $6,015 | $6.17 | 1d | 16 | 1.07mi |
| 52 Wendt Ave Larchmont, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1656 | $8,950 | $5.40 | 1d | 1 | 1.08mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-03-27$399,000 Active
-
2026-03-25historical $399,000
-
2006-12-21soldstatus $360,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Lovely Apartment In Sought-after Orienta Gardens. Very Spacious With 2 Bedrooms And 2 Baths. Kitchen And Bathrooms Have Been Updated. Window Treatments And 3 A/C Units Included. King Size Bed Negotiable. Must See!
-
2006-10-25price $375,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Lovely Apartment In Sought-after Orienta Gardens. Very Spacious With 2 Bedrooms And 2 Baths. Kitchen And Bathrooms Have Been Updated. Window Treatments And 3 A/C Units Included. King Size Bed Negotiable. Must See!
-
2006-10-25historical 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Lovely Apartment In Sought-after Orienta Gardens. Very Spacious With 2 Bedrooms And 2 Baths. Kitchen And Bathrooms Have Been Updated. Window Treatments And 3 A/C Units Included. King Size Bed Negotiable. Must See!
-
2006-05-02$360,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Lovely Apartment In Sought-after Orienta Gardens. Very Spacious With 2 Bedrooms And 2 Baths. Kitchen And Bathrooms Have Been Updated. Window Treatments And 3 A/C Units Included. King Size Bed Negotiable. Must See!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,923
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$5,985
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,834
- − Management
- −$3,834
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable loss
- −$1,682
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,174/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mamaroneck Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618240
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,011
- Composite
- 71.4/100
- National rank
- #228
- State rank
- #47 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mamaroneck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #491
- US rank
- #8656
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mamaroneck, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 20,989
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,989
- Household income
- $126,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1152.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -220.53%
- Current HPI
- 268.4687
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.70%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+10.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Listed $399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Coming Soon $399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-12-21 Sold (MLS) $360,000 HGMLS
- 2006-10-25 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2006-10-25 Price Changed $375,000 HGMLS
- 2006-05-02 Listed $360,000 HGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…