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329 Vance St
B- Composite 67.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.5/10.0

$50,000

329 Vance St · Laurinburg, NC 28352
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,658 sqft · SingleFamily · 7 Days on market
Built 1958 2.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to a prime investment opportunity in the heart of Laurinburg, North Carolina – a city on the rise! Nestled in a rapidly developing neighborhood, this property offers not only the charm of a well-established community but also the potential for great returns as Laurinburg continues to grow and attract both businesses and residents. This property sits in a vibrant, up-and-coming area, offering easy access to key local amenities, schools, parks, and transportation routes. With a mix of residential and commercial developments in the surrounding vicinity, it’s an ideal location for long-term investments. Whether you're looking to build, renovate, or hold for future appreciati

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 7 days

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYEASY ACCESS TO AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $746 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 5.1% in Laurinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#632 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.76%
Cap rate
24.19%
Cash-on-cash
63.91%
DSCR
3.84
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$157,510
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
218 West Blvd 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,656 (-0%) 7mo $155,000 $94 73
223 W Vance St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,580 (-5%) 11mo $170,000 $108 63
321 Midland Way 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,648 (-1%) 11mo $156,000 $95 62
322 E Church St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,780 (+7%) 7mo $90,000 $51 59
421 James St 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,478 (-11%) 11mo $152,200 $103 53
110 First St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,515 (-9%) 9mo $72,000 $48 45
201 2nd St 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,430 (-14%) 3mo $60,000 $42 44
506 Everett St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,451 (-12%) 23mo $170,000 $117 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
63.0%
Equity multiple
3.81×
Total profit
$39,405
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
67.5%
Equity multiple
7.82×
Total profit
$95,544
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28352

Home prices YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,381 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$746

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2025-03-21
    status Pending
  2. 2025-03-13
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,574
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,326
− Management
−$1,326
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$8,667
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,080
After-tax cash flow
$6,867/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scotland County Schools
NCES district ID
3704200
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$31,203
Composite
20.66/100
National rank
#8536
State rank
#160 of 178 in NC

Livability — Laurinburg

Score
56/100
State rank
#632
US rank
#22962

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laurinburg, NC
City population
24,177
Population (ZIP)
24,177

Population outlook (Scotland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,331 people
By 2030
32,017 · -3.9%
By 2040
29,290 · -12.1%
By 2050
26,554 · -20.3%
By 2075
19,857 · -40.4%
By 2100
13,851 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 37% Native American 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scotland

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.9) · D 46.2% · R 53.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -6.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.9 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+7.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.08%
Current HPI
255.331
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-03-21 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2025-03-13 Listed $50,000 Triad MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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