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2923 Russell Ave N
D+ Composite 47.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

2923 Russell Ave N · Minneapolis, MN 55411
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,288 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1922 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't be blinded by all the sunshine in this old world charmed home. Tons of natural light pours in to this ready made home. More than move in ready. Clean home priced to sell. Large family, multi-generational home, with a room for everyone. Updated open kitchen, egress lower level doubles as the 6th bedroom or family room. Wonderful entertaining deck in back highlights this fenced in yard. Don't miss the opportunity to give everyone their own room. No sign on property.

Key facts

  • Natural woodwork
  • Updated appliances
  • Updated windows

Tags

NATURAL WOODWORKUPDATED WINDOWSLARGE KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSMODERN CABINETRYUPDATED APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area reported; Below-grade finished area reported; Not a fractional ownership
  • HOA & community: Rental license: Standard (rental license on file)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (approx. 10 x 22); Garage dimensions 10 x 22
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric service with circuit breakers (Xcel Energy)
  • Home design: Residential property; One level living (main floor primary and several main-level rooms); Entry facing not specified
  • Construction: Built with block and frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (foundation dimensions approx. 44 x 24)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Stucco exterior; Chain link fencing; Light tree coverage; Public transit within six blocks; City street frontage, public maintained road; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 128

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms total; Main level: primary bedroom, bedroom, bedroom (two rooms noted on main level); Upper level: three bedrooms (including Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4, Bedroom 5); Lower level: additional bedroom/office possibilities
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bath on the main floor; One half bath in the basement
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Baseboard heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished full basement; Finished lower-level family room; Informal dining room; Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen window; Main-floor primary bedroom; 3 bedrooms on one level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (3.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $265k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,648/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1826% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $220k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $264,824 (3.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
2.00%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-24,199
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$44,103
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

ZIP-level market 55411

Home prices YoY
-8.7%
Rents YoY
7.3%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,648 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$407 /mo · $4,882/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$556
Net cashflow
$129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,486
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2923 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN 5.0 2.0 1760 $2,795 $1.59 21d 1 0.68mi
2819 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN 5.0 2.0 1718 $2,300 $1.34 43d 1 0.68mi
1113 N 25th Ave Minneapolis, MN 5.0 2.0 2295 $2,695 $1.17 17d 1 0.88mi
3342 Fremont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,200 $1.10 24d 1 0.88mi
1414 Golden Valley Rd Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 5.0 2.0 2000 $2,595 $1.30 43d 1 0.97mi
1504 Queen Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.5 1746 $2,800 $1.60 1d 1 1.09mi
2643 Lyndale Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 2.0 2198 $750 $0.34 16d 1 1.13mi
3935 Fremont Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.0 1900 $2,595 $1.37 43d 1 1.38mi
1239 Knox Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.0 1944 $2,400 $1.23 3d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 693-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $275,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,882 · $407/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,882 · $407/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,779
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,882
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,542
− Management
−$2,542
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$2,968
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$712
After-tax cash flow
$2,254/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
27,741
Household income
$60,225
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
1826.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.91%
Current HPI
356.6758
Rent YoY
▲ 7.35%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+293.4% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $275,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $275,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-22 Rental Removed $2,500 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $2,500 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-05-09 Price Changed $2,650 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-05-05 Listed for Rent $2,750 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-05-05 Rental Removed $2,750 SHOWMOJO2
  • 2025-05-01 Rental Removed $2,750 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $2,750 SHOWMOJO2
  • 2025-04-24 Listed for Rent $2,750 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-04-19 Rental Removed $2,750 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-03-13 Listed for Rent $2,750 SHOWMOJO
  • 2018-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-24 Sold (MLS) $220,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-29 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-17 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-15 Listed $199,800 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-09-25 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-09-30 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $164,600 Public Records
  • 2004-06-15 Sold (MLS) $164,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-05-24 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-04-30 Listed $164,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-04-22 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-07-02 Listed $164,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1995-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,882 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…