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1223 Ottawa Dr Unit OTT1223
C Composite 58.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$42,500

1223 Ottawa Dr Unit OTT1223 · Marion, IA 52302
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 94 Days on market
Built 2025 Average condition $35/sqft · 31% below area Est $62k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a clubhouse, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Basketball court
  • Playground

Tags

PLAYGROUNDBASKETBALL COURTCLUBHOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $42k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $42k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 37.7% vs local median 2.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in IA, #633 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • Linn-Mar Community School District (suburban): math 75% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #44 of 289 in IA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $294 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 7% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $38,675 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.19%
Cap rate
37.70%
Cash-on-cash
112.16%
DSCR
5.99
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,572
List price
$42,500
Delta
-30.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1307 Denali Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,178 (-3%) 12mo $65,000 $55 78
1590 Red Fox Way 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,352 (+11%) 22mo $37,150 $27 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.17×
Total profit
$73,385
Equity at exit
$6,337
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.64×
Total profit
$198,037
Equity at exit
$3,675

Cash invested: $11,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52302

Rents YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
455
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,780 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$223
Tax est. 1.5%
$53 /mo · $638/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$1,112

Break-even live

Break-even rent $372
Max offer price $42,500
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,625
Closing costs
$1,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6156 Carlson Way Marion, IA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 882 $1,775 $2.01 13d 5 0.30mi
1975 49th St Marion, IA 3.0 2.0 1449 $2,175 $1.50 13d 1 0.44mi
700 35th St Marion, IA 2.0 1.0–2.0 896 $1,224 $1.37 13d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $42,500 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $42,500 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $42,500 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $42,500 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $42,500 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $42,500 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $42,500 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $42,500 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $42,500 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,500 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,500 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $42,500 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $42,500 Active 78 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $42,500 Active 77 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,500 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,500 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $42,500 Active 74 DOM
  18. 2026-04-13
    status Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a clubhouse, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  19. 2026-04-13
    price $42,500 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a clubhouse, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  20. 2025-11-12
    historical 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a clubhouse, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

  21. 2025-10-17
    listed $39,900 Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a clubhouse, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,356
− Mortgage interest
−$2,381
− Property taxes
−$638
− Insurance
−$212
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,709
− Management
−$1,709
− Depreciation
−$1,236
Taxable income
$13,472
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,233
After-tax cash flow
$10,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key updates include painting interior walls, replacing kitchen cabinets, and repairing exterior siding.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — standard fixtures
  • Minor exterior siding — gray siding
  • Minor interior walls — neutral paint with some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale repair exterior siding — new siding improves curb appeal and durability
  • Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · standard fixtures Minor $500–3,000
exterior siding · gray siding Minor $500–3,000
interior walls · neutral paint with some wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $2,000–12,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale repair exterior siding — new siding improves curb appeal and durability
  • Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Linn-Mar Community School District
NCES district ID
1917220
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$72,473
Composite
66.08/100
National rank
#440
State rank
#44 of 289 in IA

Livability — Marion

Score
84/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#633

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, IA
County
Linn County · 179,860 people
City population
42,706
Metro
Cedar Rapids, IA
Population (ZIP)
42,706
Household income
$87,983
Rent vs Own
22.6% rent · 77.4% own
Severe rent burden
940.0

Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
239,589 people
By 2030
248,587 · +3.8%
By 2040
264,817 · +10.5%
By 2050
278,685 · +16.3%
By 2075
311,754 · +30.1%
By 2100
336,773 · +40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Linn

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.9) · D 54.2% · R 44.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.5pp · 2024: 9.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.9 2020: D+13.7 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+21.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.98%
Current HPI
199.2949
Rent YoY
▲ 8.37%
Metro
Cedar Rapids, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $42,500 Zillow
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-11-12 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $39,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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