3514 Mayfair St · McKeesport, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully maintained three bedroom vinyl sided home within walking distance to Founders Hall, McKeesport senior high school and Renzie Park. On the third floor is a large open room that could be used as a fourth bedroom with an additional room great for storing items. Large living room with built ins and a nice sized dining room with a bay window. Front and rear covered porches with fenced back yard and a one car detached garage. Wide open basement with shower stall and access to the backyard. New roof installed 2018, new attic window panes May and October 2023 and electric hot water tank Nov 2025.
Key facts
- Vinyl sided home
- Fenced back yard
- Large open room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 10.2% in McKeesport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,089 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, crime F.
- Mckeesport Area SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #499 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $70k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.44%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,928
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -17.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2810 Jenny Lind St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,852 (+1%) | 6mo | $19,900 | $11 | 74 |
| 1410 Craig St | 0.35mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,006 (+9%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $32 | 62 |
| 1300 Pirl St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-2%) | 7mo | $13,250 | $7 | 62 |
| 1316 Craig St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,653 (-10%) | 4mo | $127,500 | $77 | 60 |
| 1312 Ross St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-2%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $69 | 60 |
| 2622 Harrison St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,628 (-12%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $58 | 59 |
| 2623 Grandview Ave | 0.35mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,660 (-10%) | 3mo | $147,000 | $89 | 58 |
| 1208 Meadow St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (-7%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 403 25th St | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,800 (-2%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $17 | 47 |
| 1315 Packer St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,653 (-10%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $9 | 46 |
| 1111 - 11133 Jefferson St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+9%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $60 | 43 |
| 406 35th | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (-15%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $96 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $15,197
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $47,646
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15132
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,289 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,490/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $455 | -5% $435 | +0% $415 | +5% $395 | +10% $375 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $313 | -5% $364 | +0% $415 | +5% $466 | +10% $517 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $450 | -0.5pp $433 | base $415 | +0.5pp $397 | +1.0pp $378 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3710 Mayfair St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1314 | $1,095 | $0.83 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2311 Grandview Ave McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2550 | $1,250 | $0.49 | 18d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2408 McCarrell St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,195 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1506 Freemont St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2807 Beaver St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1217 Scott St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,165 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3211 Walnut St McKeesport, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 8d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2618 Poinsettia Dr White Oak, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,599 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2212 Cronemeyer St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1720 | $1,375 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1507 Carnegie Ave McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,699 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1451 Jenny Lind St McKeesport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $1,150 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2710 Henderson Rd White Oak, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1676 | $1,675 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $69,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-07historical Contingent 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Beautifully maintained three bedroom vinyl sided home within walking distance to Founders Hall, McKeesport senior high school and Renzie Park. On the third floor is a large open room that could be used as a fourth bedroom with an additional room great for storing items. Large living room with built ins and a nice sized dining room with a bay window. Front and rear covered porches with fenced back yard and a one car detached garage. Wide open basement with shower stall and access to the backyard. New roof installed 2018, new attic window panes May and October 2023 and electric hot water tank Nov 2025.
-
2026-04-21$74,900 Active 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
Beautifully maintained three bedroom vinyl sided home within walking distance to Founders Hall, McKeesport senior high school and Renzie Park. On the third floor is a large open room that could be used as a fourth bedroom with an additional room great for storing items. Large living room with built ins and a nice sized dining room with a bay window. Front and rear covered porches with fenced back yard and a one car detached garage. Wide open basement with shower stall and access to the backyard. New roof installed 2018, new attic window panes May and October 2023 and electric hot water tank Nov 2025.
-
2024-10-15historical Expired 666-char remark
Show marketing remark (666 chars)
Great investment for buyers who are looking for an income-producing rental property! This large 4 bedroom home, convenient to public transportation, offers a living room that comes complete with built-ins, a spacious dining room and a kitchen with ample storage. Three bedrooms are on the second floor, and a 4th bedroom on the third floor could also be used for an office or den. A one-car detached garage provides protected parking, and a level back yard offers a nice area for relaxation. The roof and a new garage door were both installed in 2018. New kitchen floor was installed in January 2023 and new attic window panes were installed in May and October 2023.
-
2024-08-15status Active 666-char remark
Show marketing remark (666 chars)
Great investment for buyers who are looking for an income-producing rental property! This large 4 bedroom home, convenient to public transportation, offers a living room that comes complete with built-ins, a spacious dining room and a kitchen with ample storage. Three bedrooms are on the second floor, and a 4th bedroom on the third floor could also be used for an office or den. A one-car detached garage provides protected parking, and a level back yard offers a nice area for relaxation. The roof and a new garage door were both installed in 2018. New kitchen floor was installed in January 2023 and new attic window panes were installed in May and October 2023.
-
2024-07-25historical Contingent 666-char remark
Show marketing remark (666 chars)
Great investment for buyers who are looking for an income-producing rental property! This large 4 bedroom home, convenient to public transportation, offers a living room that comes complete with built-ins, a spacious dining room and a kitchen with ample storage. Three bedrooms are on the second floor, and a 4th bedroom on the third floor could also be used for an office or den. A one-car detached garage provides protected parking, and a level back yard offers a nice area for relaxation. The roof and a new garage door were both installed in 2018. New kitchen floor was installed in January 2023 and new attic window panes were installed in May and October 2023.
-
2024-07-02price $78,500 666-char remark
Show marketing remark (666 chars)
Great investment for buyers who are looking for an income-producing rental property! This large 4 bedroom home, convenient to public transportation, offers a living room that comes complete with built-ins, a spacious dining room and a kitchen with ample storage. Three bedrooms are on the second floor, and a 4th bedroom on the third floor could also be used for an office or den. A one-car detached garage provides protected parking, and a level back yard offers a nice area for relaxation. The roof and a new garage door were both installed in 2018. New kitchen floor was installed in January 2023 and new attic window panes were installed in May and October 2023.
-
2024-04-04$79,900 Active 666-char remark
Show marketing remark (666 chars)
Great investment for buyers who are looking for an income-producing rental property! This large 4 bedroom home, convenient to public transportation, offers a living room that comes complete with built-ins, a spacious dining room and a kitchen with ample storage. Three bedrooms are on the second floor, and a 4th bedroom on the third floor could also be used for an office or den. A one-car detached garage provides protected parking, and a level back yard offers a nice area for relaxation. The roof and a new garage door were both installed in 2018. New kitchen floor was installed in January 2023 and new attic window panes were installed in May and October 2023.
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2020-10-30soldstatus $45,500
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2020-10-27soldstatus $45,500 Closed
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2020-09-11historical Contingent
-
2020-09-03price $49,900
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2020-07-12price $52,900
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2020-06-06$54,900 Active
-
2019-08-17historical Expired
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2019-07-02price $54,900
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2019-05-29price $59,900
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2019-05-13price $64,900
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2018-08-18$69,900 Active
-
2007-03-12soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,490 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,490 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$2,490
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,237
- − Management
- −$1,237
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $4,203
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,009
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,971/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mckeesport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214940
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,779
- Composite
- 15.88/100
- National rank
- #9257
- State rank
- #499 of 539 in PA
Livability — McKeesport
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1089
- US rank
- #12321
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKeesport, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 25,010
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,898
- Household income
- $35,397
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1239.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.01%
- Current HPI
- 145.195
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+127.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $74,900 West Penn MLS
- 2024-10-15 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2024-08-15 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2024-07-25 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2024-07-02 Price Changed $78,500 West Penn MLS
- 2024-04-04 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
- 2020-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
- 2020-10-27 Sold (MLS) $45,500 West Penn MLS
- 2020-09-11 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2020-09-03 Price Changed $49,900 West Penn MLS
- 2020-07-12 Price Changed $52,900 West Penn MLS
- 2020-06-06 Listed $54,900 West Penn MLS
- 2019-08-17 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2019-07-02 Price Changed $54,900 West Penn MLS
- 2019-05-29 Price Changed $59,900 West Penn MLS
- 2019-05-13 Price Changed $64,900 West Penn MLS
- 2018-08-18 Listed $69,900 West Penn MLS
- 2007-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,490 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…