Duplex
2969 N 53rd St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Solid brick 2/2 duplex in a desirable Milwaukee neighborhood with tons of character and upside potential. Each unit offers spacious layouts, hardwood floors, and classic built-ins throughout. Property features a strong brick exterior, large living spaces, and separate upper/lower units ideal for owner-occupants or investors alike. Needs some TLC and cosmetic updates, but has solid bones and strong value-add opportunity. Great chance to build equity in a well-established area!
Key facts
- Spacious layouts
- Brick exterior
- Classic built-ins
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property is a 2-unit income building
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Total of 2 garage parking spaces
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; 2 electric meters; 2 gas meters
- Home design: 2-story duplex; Multi-family property; Zoned residential
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick/stone exterior; Lot smaller than 1/2 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Unit 2 kitchen (upper level, approx. 13 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms (master and second bedroom on upper level; master approx. 14 x 12, second bedroom approx. 14 x 10)
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Full basement; Upper-level kitchen in one unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $752 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $376/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,309/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $145k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.26%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,348
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3044 N 54th St #3046 | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 2,279 (-0%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $88 | 95 |
| 2808 N 52nd St #2810 | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 2,292 (+0%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $67 | 87 |
| 2866 N 52nd St #2868 | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 2,215 (-3%) | 1mo | $257,000 | $116 | 87 |
| 3128 N 52nd St #3130 | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 2,400 (+5%) | 0mo | $283,000 | $118 | 81 |
| 2642 N 51st St #2644 | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 2,294 (+1%) | 1mo | $122,500 | $53 | 78 |
| 2834 N 54th St Unit 2834A | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 2,080 (-9%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $84 | 77 |
| 2977 N 60th St #2979 | 0.39mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,273 (-0%) | 0mo | $179,900 | $79 | 76 |
| 5601 W Brooklyn Pl | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,186 (-4%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $142 | 68 |
| 2576 N 51st St #2578 | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 2,178 (-4%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $69 | 68 |
| 5601 W Philip Pl #5603 | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,224 (-2%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $119 | 68 |
| 3031 N 60th St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,990 (-13%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $108 | 59 |
| 2403 N 56th St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,200 (-4%) | 1mo | $339,500 | $154 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $26,442
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $93,065
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53210
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,309 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $752
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $834 | -5% $793 | +0% $752 | +5% $711 | +10% $670 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $570 | -5% $661 | +0% $752 | +5% $844 | +10% $935 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $825 | -0.5pp $789 | base $752 | +0.5pp $715 | +1.0pp $677 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,308 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,154 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,154 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,309 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2976 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 17d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2137 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1723 | $1,850 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4079 N 63rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15status $144,900 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $144,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $144,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Contingent 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Contingent 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Contingent 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Contingent 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$149,900 Active
-
1998-04-02soldstatus $74,900
-
1998-03-01soldstatus $74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,017 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,017 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$3,017
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,217
- − Management
- −$2,217
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable income
- $7,201
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,728
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,922
- Household income
- $48,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1730.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.77%
- Current HPI
- 280.0133
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.82%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+100.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $149,900 METROMLS
- 1998-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
- 1998-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2024): $3,017 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…