697 Tuscarora Ave · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Where Heritage Meets Modern Hip. Step into a masterfully renovated Victorian-inspired gem in the heart of St. Paul’s vibrant West Seventh. Every square inch of this 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence has been curated for the modern lifestyle while honoring its classic roots. From the brand-new mechanicals and gourmet kitchen to the fresh flooring and designer paint, there isn’t a finger left to lift. Retreat to the upper level featuring three spacious bedrooms and a full bath, or utilize the flexible main-floor bedroom and 3/4 bath—perfect for guests or a home office. Outside, your private sanctuary awaits. Sip your morning brew on the quintessential front porch, or host sunset d
Key facts
- 4,748 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Entry has front porch
- Construction: Pitched roof; Foundation: Other; Foundation area approximately 832 sq ft
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed front and rear porches; Patio; Partial privacy fencing; Other fencing; Curbs, paved streets and sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with window; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (three on upper level, one on main level); Primary bedroom approx. 19 x 13
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom and one half bathroom; Main floor 3/4 bath and upper level 3/4 bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate formal dining room; Covered and enclosed front and rear porches; Patio; Stone exterior accents; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on lower level; Washer/Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $338k (9.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $338k (9.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,381/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 1116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $200k; list at $375k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.90%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $377,778
- List price
- $375,000
- Delta
- -0.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-54,875
- Equity at exit
- $55,914
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-52,894
- Equity at exit
- $32,423
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55102
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,381 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$382 /mo · $4,580/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$710
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 740 Victoria St S Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $3,746 | $3.48 | 2d | 39 | 0.41mi |
| 871 Sibley Memorial Hwy Saint Paul, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1207 | $5,930 | $4.91 | 2d | 8 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-04status $375,000 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $375,000 Contingent - Inspection 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $375,000 Contingent - Inspection 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $375,000 Contingent - Inspection 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $375,000 Contingent - Inspection 9 DOM
-
2026-05-12historical $375,000 913-char remark
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-12-22status Active
-
2025-12-11price $249,900
-
2025-12-09historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2025-12-05price $349,900
-
2025-11-19$230,000 Active
-
2025-11-19historical
-
2025-11-13price $227,500
-
2025-11-06price $229,000
-
2025-10-22price $235,000
-
2025-10-09price $242,000
-
2025-09-26price $243,500
-
2025-09-17price $244,900
-
2025-09-10price $249,900
-
2025-09-03price $254,900
-
2025-08-13price $259,900
-
2025-08-06price $264,900
-
2025-07-31price $269,900
-
2025-07-11$274,900 Active
-
2025-06-24soldstatus $200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,580 · $382/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,580 · $382/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,568
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$4,580
- − Insurance
- −$1,875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,245
- − Management
- −$3,245
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable loss
- −$4,293
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,030
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,630
- Household income
- $76,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1116.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -217.83%
- Current HPI
- 241.7112
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+87.5% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-27 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-23 Listed $375,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Coming Soon $375,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-22 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-09 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $349,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-19 Listed $230,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $227,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $229,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $235,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $242,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $243,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $244,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $254,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $259,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $264,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $269,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-11 Listed $274,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,580 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…