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4215 E Bay Dr Unit 1806D 🌊 Lakefront
C- Composite 52.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

4215 E Bay Dr Unit 1806D · Largo, FL 33764
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 590 sqft · Condo public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1971 $560/mo HOA · 31% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Seller offering $1,000 toward buyer’s closing costs with use of preferred lender! Just 6 miles from the beach, this charming and updated 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in Woodside Village offers one of the best values on the market! Located on the second floor, the unit features a great layout, private balcony, and comes partially furnished for the buyer’s convenience. Light, bright, and inviting throughout, it’s move-in ready and ideal as a primary residence, second home, or investment opportunity. Currently tenant-occupied at $1,300/month, providing immediate income, with flexibility for the tenant to stay or vacate. Woodside Village offers resort-style amenities including THRE

Key facts

  • $560 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1971

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Partially furnished; Condo land included
  • Financial info: Total annual HOA fees $6,720; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $560; HOA covers common area taxes, pool, reserves, insurance, structure and grounds maintenance, management, recreational facilities, security, sewer, trash and water; Association amenities include clubhouse, laundry, pool, shuffleboard court, maintenance and vehicle restrictions; Association approval required; Buyer approval required for community; No pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Visitor parking available
  • Security: Community security (HOA amenity)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; High-speed internet available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Second-floor unit; Faces east; One-story building
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of building 1806
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Balcony; Exterior lighting; Sliding doors; Pond view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Window treatments; Common area laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.36%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-17,235
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
-22.7%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-26,849
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33764

Rents YoY
-5.2%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,807 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,912/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$560
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,698
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $148 -5% $117 +0% $86 +5% $55 +10% $24
Rent -10% $-57 -5% $15 +0% $86 +5% $157 +10% $229
Rate -1.0pp $141 -0.5pp $114 base $86 +0.5pp $58 +1.0pp $29

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4215 E Bay Dr Clearwater, FL 1.0 1.0 535 $2,300 $4.30 8d 4 0.04mi
4215 E Bay Dr Clearwater, FL 1.0 1.0 575 $1,775 $3.09 18d 3 0.04mi
500 Belcher Rd S #18 Largo, FL 1.0 1.0 637 $1,500 $2.35 3d 1 0.26mi
4300 E Bay Dr Unit 228 Clearwater, FL 1.0 1.0 520 $1,399 $2.69 25d 1 0.33mi
16485 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 984 $2,442 $2.48 2d 249 1.06mi
16485 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 984 $2,571 $2.61 18d 100 1.06mi
3718 138th Ave N Unit 2 Largo, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,500 $2.00 25d 1 1.15mi
600 Starkey Rd Largo, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 982 $1,349 $1.37 3d 21 1.20mi
2291 E Bay Dr Largo, FL 2.0 2.0 708 $1,600 $2.26 22d 1 1.22mi
2291 E Bay Dr Largo, FL 2.0 2.0 708 $1,600 $2.26 21d 1 1.22mi
2554 Oak Trl S Clearwater, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $1,415 $1.64 2d 14 1.29mi
305 Glades Cir Largo, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 875 $1,241 $1.42 2d 34 1.33mi
2770 Roosevelt Blvd Clearwater, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 795 $1,374 $1.73 15d 10 1.34mi
13500 Rodgers Ave Largo, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,474 $2.11 2d 5 1.39mi
101 Imperial Palm Dr Largo, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 907 $1,299 $1.43 2d 35 1.43mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$560 · $6,720/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 59 DOM
  13. 2026-04-23
    price $109,900
  14. 2026-04-02
    listed $114,900 Active
  15. 2025-10-25
    historical
  16. 2025-10-21
    historical $1,499
  17. 2025-08-29
    price $1,499
  18. 2025-08-10
    listed $1,599
  19. 2025-08-09
    price $114,900
  20. 2025-07-17
    price $118,000
  21. 2025-06-18
    price $119,900
  22. 2025-06-01
    price $123,900
  23. 2025-05-17
    price $124,900
  24. 2025-04-25
    listed $129,000 Active
  25. 2025-03-28
    historical
  26. 2024-12-06
    historical $1,700
  27. 2024-10-31
    listed $1,700
  28. 2024-08-29
    listed $142,000 Active
  29. 2023-02-01
    soldstatus $157,500
  30. 2023-01-31
    soldstatus $157,500 Closed
  31. 2022-12-31
    status Pending
  32. 2022-12-20
    price $175,000
  33. 2022-12-20
    price $189,000
  34. 2022-12-20
    status Active
  35. 2022-11-21
    historical
  36. 2022-09-03
    listed $195,000 Active
  37. 2021-05-04
    soldstatus $75,000
  38. 2021-04-29
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed
  39. 2021-04-05
    status Pending
  40. 2021-04-04
    listed $75,000 Active
  41. 1994-09-26
    soldstatus $25,000
  42. 1982-06-01
    soldstatus $31,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,912 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,912 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,684
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,912
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,735
− Management
−$1,735
− HOA
−$6,720
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable loss
−$320
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$77
After-tax cash flow
$1,110/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Largo

Score
82/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1240

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Largo, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
106,311
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,311
Household income
$67,256
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1118.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% German 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -350.08%
Current HPI
315.4133
Rent YoY
▼ -5.24%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+254.5% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-25 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-21 Rental Removed $1,499 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed $1,499 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-08-10 Listed for Rent $1,599 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-08-09 Price Changed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $118,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-01 Price Changed $123,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-17 Price Changed $124,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-25 Listed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-28 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-06 Rental Removed $1,700 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Listed for Rent $1,700 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-08-29 Listed $142,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $157,500 Public Records
  • 2023-01-31 Sold (MLS) $157,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-31 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-20 Price Changed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-20 Price Changed $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-20 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-21 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-03 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2021-04-29 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-04 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1982-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,912 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…