🌊 Lakefront
4215 E Bay Dr Unit 1806D · Largo, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Seller offering $1,000 toward buyer’s closing costs with use of preferred lender! Just 6 miles from the beach, this charming and updated 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in Woodside Village offers one of the best values on the market! Located on the second floor, the unit features a great layout, private balcony, and comes partially furnished for the buyer’s convenience. Light, bright, and inviting throughout, it’s move-in ready and ideal as a primary residence, second home, or investment opportunity. Currently tenant-occupied at $1,300/month, providing immediate income, with flexibility for the tenant to stay or vacate. Woodside Village offers resort-style amenities including THRE
Key facts
- $560 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1971
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Partially furnished; Condo land included
- Financial info: Total annual HOA fees $6,720; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $560; HOA covers common area taxes, pool, reserves, insurance, structure and grounds maintenance, management, recreational facilities, security, sewer, trash and water; Association amenities include clubhouse, laundry, pool, shuffleboard court, maintenance and vehicle restrictions; Association approval required; Buyer approval required for community; No pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Visitor parking available
- Security: Community security (HOA amenity)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; High-speed internet available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Residential condominium; Second-floor unit; Faces east; One-story building
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of building 1806
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Balcony; Exterior lighting; Sliding doors; Pond view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Window treatments; Common area laundry
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.36%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-17,235
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- -22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-26,849
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33764
- Rents YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,807 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,912/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$560
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $148 | -5% $117 | +0% $86 | +5% $55 | +10% $24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-57 | -5% $15 | +0% $86 | +5% $157 | +10% $229 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $141 | -0.5pp $114 | base $86 | +0.5pp $58 | +1.0pp $29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4215 E Bay Dr Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 535 | $2,300 | $4.30 | 8d | 4 | 0.04mi |
| 4215 E Bay Dr Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $1,775 | $3.09 | 18d | 3 | 0.04mi |
| 500 Belcher Rd S #18 Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $1,500 | $2.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4300 E Bay Dr Unit 228 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 520 | $1,399 | $2.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 16485 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $2,442 | $2.48 | 2d | 249 | 1.06mi |
| 16485 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $2,571 | $2.61 | 18d | 100 | 1.06mi |
| 3718 138th Ave N Unit 2 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 600 Starkey Rd Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $1,349 | $1.37 | 3d | 21 | 1.20mi |
| 2291 E Bay Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 708 | $1,600 | $2.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2291 E Bay Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 708 | $1,600 | $2.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2554 Oak Trl S Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $1,415 | $1.64 | 2d | 14 | 1.29mi |
| 305 Glades Cir Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 875 | $1,241 | $1.42 | 2d | 34 | 1.33mi |
| 2770 Roosevelt Blvd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,374 | $1.73 | 15d | 10 | 1.34mi |
| 13500 Rodgers Ave Largo, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,474 | $2.11 | 2d | 5 | 1.39mi |
| 101 Imperial Palm Dr Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 907 | $1,299 | $1.43 | 2d | 35 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $560 · $6,720/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $109,900
-
2026-04-02$114,900 Active
-
2025-10-25historical
-
2025-10-21historical $1,499
-
2025-08-29price $1,499
-
2025-08-10$1,599
-
2025-08-09price $114,900
-
2025-07-17price $118,000
-
2025-06-18price $119,900
-
2025-06-01price $123,900
-
2025-05-17price $124,900
-
2025-04-25$129,000 Active
-
2025-03-28historical
-
2024-12-06historical $1,700
-
2024-10-31$1,700
-
2024-08-29$142,000 Active
-
2023-02-01soldstatus $157,500
-
2023-01-31soldstatus $157,500 Closed
-
2022-12-31status Pending
-
2022-12-20price $175,000
-
2022-12-20price $189,000
-
2022-12-20status Active
-
2022-11-21historical
-
2022-09-03$195,000 Active
-
2021-05-04soldstatus $75,000
-
2021-04-29soldstatus $75,000 Closed
-
2021-04-05status Pending
-
2021-04-04$75,000 Active
-
1994-09-26soldstatus $25,000
-
1982-06-01soldstatus $31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,912 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,912 · $159/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,912
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,735
- − Management
- −$1,735
- − HOA
- −$6,720
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable loss
- −$320
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$77
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,110/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Largo
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Largo, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 106,311
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,311
- Household income
- $67,256
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1118.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -350.08%
- Current HPI
- 315.4133
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.24%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+254.5% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-25 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-21 Rental Removed $1,499 STELLARMLS
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $1,499 STELLARMLS
- 2025-08-10 Listed for Rent $1,599 STELLARMLS
- 2025-08-09 Price Changed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $118,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-01 Price Changed $123,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-17 Price Changed $124,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-25 Listed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-28 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-06 Rental Removed $1,700 STELLARMLS
- 2024-10-31 Listed for Rent $1,700 STELLARMLS
- 2024-08-29 Listed $142,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $157,500 Public Records
- 2023-01-31 Sold (MLS) $157,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-31 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-20 Price Changed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-20 Price Changed $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-20 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-21 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-03 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-29 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-04 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1982-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,912 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…