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135 Ferndale Ln
D- Composite 35.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

135 Ferndale Ln · Beaumont, TX 77707
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,402 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1962 8,398 sqft lot Est $147k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This adorable home has had new paint, tile floors and cleaned carpet and is move-in ready! Two spacious bedrooms, with a centrally located bathroom, 3rd master bedroom has it's own bathroom! Breakfast area off of the kitchen, with plenty of space for a formal dining table, if desired. Beautiful covered patio, large oak shade trees, and a storage building!

Key facts

  • Storage building
  • Covered patio
  • 8,398 sq ft lot

Tags

COVERED PATIOMATURE OAK SHADE TREESSTORAGE BUILDINGESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 space); Attached carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1962; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Deck; Patio; Storage shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
  • Flooring: Concrete; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Amelia El (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #4,225 of 4,322 statewide, top 98%, 544 students, 84% FRL); Vincent Middle (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,616 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 688 students, 75% FRL); West Brook Sr H S (math 19% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,228 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,245 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $180,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.13%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,210
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8675 Braeburn St 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,269 (-10%) 15mo $169,900 $134 67
9310 Josey St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,408 (+0%) 16mo $69,000 $49 61
9015 Landis Dr 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,281 (-9%) 1mo $135,000 $105 57
9510 Shepherd Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,302 (-7%) 1mo $182,000 $140 55
7730 Wickersham Pl 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,599 (+14%) 10mo $166,000 $104 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-23,386
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-12,674
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77707

Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,813 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$324 /mo · $3,883/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,699
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $140 +0% $89 +5% $38 +10% $-12
Rent -10% $-54 -5% $18 +0% $89 +5% $161 +10% $233
Rate -1.0pp $180 -0.5pp $135 base $89 +0.5pp $43 +1.0pp $-5

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
120 Smelker St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,795 $1.38 15d 1 0.13mi
405 Harbor Oaks Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 1828 $2,600 $1.42 25d 1 0.34mi
434 Harbor Oaks Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1844 $2,500 $1.36 25d 1 0.36mi
9225 Shepherd Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,495 $1.32 45d 1 0.43mi
9245 Shepherd Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1003 $1,350 $1.35 15d 1 0.45mi
9260 Josey St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 45d 1 0.48mi
8960 Manion Dr Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.5 1358 $1,550 $1.14 45d 1 0.76mi
976 Sunmeadow Dr Unit 05/04/26 Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 1656 $2,150 $1.30 45d 1 0.83mi
976 Sunmeadow Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 1656 $1,995 $1.20 15d 1 0.83mi
1069 Green Meadow St Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1556 $1,795 $1.15 46d 1 0.86mi
9252 Glen Meadow Ln Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 929 $1,250 $1.35 45d 1 0.97mi
6860 Prutzman Rd Unit 18 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 884 $1,100 $1.24 45d 1 1.03mi
1212 N Major Dr Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 15d 1 1.06mi
1212 N Major Dr Unit 4820 Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 1692 $1,646 $0.97 25d 1 1.06mi
1625 Glendale St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1330 $1,800 $1.35 45d 1 1.07mi
1450 N Major Dr Beaumont, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 849 $1,188 $1.40 15d 17 1.11mi
379 Pinchback Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1254 $1,175 $0.94 45d 1 1.12mi
1456 N Major Dr Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1008 $1,079 $1.07 45d 1 1.13mi
2065 88th Cir Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1750 $1,800 $1.03 25d 1 1.20mi
8256 Heartfield Ln Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1638 $1,450 $0.89 45d 1 1.28mi
1605 Cornerstone Ct Beaumont, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,108 $1.35 15d 17 1.29mi
1532 Bryant Way Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,750 $1.07 15d 1 1.31mi
6561 Lexington Dr Beaumont, TX 2.0 2.0 1321 $1,011 $0.77 45d 1 1.32mi
345 Marceline Blvd Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,850 $1.54 23d 1 1.38mi
345 Marceline Blvd Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1200 $2,250 $1.88 25d 1 1.38mi
6795 Greenwood Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,500 $1.52 25d 1 1.44mi
880 Lockwood Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1819 $1,995 $1.10 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 647-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $180,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,883 · $324/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,883 · $324/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,751
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$3,883
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,740
− Management
−$1,740
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$1,831
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$440
After-tax cash flow
$1,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
125,901
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
18,323
Household income
$69,756
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
596.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 18% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 19% Vietnamese 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.16%
Current HPI
167.8109
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $180,000 HARMLS
  • 2019-05-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-05-07 Sold (MLS) BBOR
  • 2019-04-09 Listed $111,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,883 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…