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8 Maple Rock Rd
C- Composite 52.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,900

8 Maple Rock Rd · Bristol, CT 06489
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · Manufactured public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1970 $647/mo HOA · 34% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable, cozy 2 bedroom ranch with central air. Jensen's 55+ community. Enjoy community pool/clubhouse. Land lease $450/mo. Incl trash, water & sewer. New thermal windows tinted to reduce sun glare, remodeled kitchen is open to the living room, extra insulation added above ceiling, remodeled bath, covered deck. Natural gas heating, updated electrical, Shed for storage, space for garden.

Key facts

  • Pool
  • Built 1970
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee covers clubhouse, water, and pool service; Community pool

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family home in a 55+ adult community; Prefab construction; White exterior color
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum siding; Slab foundation; Prefab construction; Built with white exterior
  • Exterior features: Lightly wooded lot; Shed; Gutters; Exterior lighting; In-ground concrete swimming pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Hot air heating (natural gas); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Cable available and pre-wired; Ridge vents
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($665/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Southington School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #51 of 153 in CT (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Southington High School (math 48% / reading 68%, grade C, #50 of 194 statewide, top 25%, 1,945 students, 22% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $884 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 221% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $128k implies a 326% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.86%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-16,829
Equity at exit
$19,070
10-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-8,625
Equity at exit
$11,058

Cash invested: $35,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06489

Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,882 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$671
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $726/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$647
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,812
Max offer price $127,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,975
Closing costs
$3,837
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Stoughton Rd Southington, CT 2.0 1.0 720 $1,850 $2.57 43d 1 0.99mi
295 Redstone Hill Rd #24 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 819 $1,695 $2.07 43d 1 1.24mi
270 East St Unit R Plainville, CT 2.0 1.0 792 $2,200 $2.78 19d 1 1.26mi
279 Redstone Hill Rd #44 Bristol, CT 1.0 1.0 799 $1,440 $1.80 43d 1 1.27mi
513 Emmett St Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 936 $2,000 $2.14 1d 1 1.41mi
513 Emmett St Unit B11 Bristol, CT 3.0 1.0 936 $2,000 $2.14 19d 1 1.41mi
515 Emmett St Unit B11 Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 936 $1,650 $1.76 21d 1 1.41mi
422 Emmett St Unit J Bristol, CT 2.0 1.0 710 $1,850 $2.61 2d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$647 · $7,764/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashgaselectricpool

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $127,900 Under Contract 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $127,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $127,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $127,900 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $127,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    remarks 640-char remark
  7. 2026-05-31
    listed $127,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$726 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,732 · $144/mo
Expected delta
+$1,006/yr (+$84/mo · 138.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,587
− Mortgage interest
−$7,164
− Property taxes
−$726
− Insurance
−$640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,807
− Management
−$1,807
− HOA
−$7,764
− Depreciation
−$3,721
Taxable loss
−$1,042
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$250
After-tax cash flow
$915/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southington School District
NCES district ID
0904230
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$81,467
Composite
52.38/100
National rank
#1581
State rank
#51 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bristol

Score
81/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#1585

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
61,684
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
32,706
Household income
$126,465
Rent vs Own
18.0% rent · 82.0% own
Severe rent burden
513.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 7% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -161.57%
Current HPI
179.8884
Rent YoY
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+136.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Coming Soon $127,900 Smart MLS
  • 2017-06-30 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Smart MLS
  • 2017-02-14 Listed $39,800 Smart MLS
  • 2017-02-12 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2016-05-10 Listed $39,800 Smart MLS
  • 2014-12-31 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2014-05-30 Listed $63,000 Smart MLS
  • 2013-11-30 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2013-05-31 Listed $65,000 Smart MLS
  • 2012-12-01 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2012-06-01 Listed $67,500 Smart MLS
  • 2007-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $726 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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