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2132 Avenida Redondo #114
D+ Composite 46.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$264,500

2132 Avenida Redondo #114 · Santa Maria, CA 93458
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · Manufactured public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1989 2,178 sqft lot Est $237k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Home Has Been Remodel From Stem To Sterm, Has All Hardwood Floors. 2nd Bedroom Has Office Addition. Lots Of Storage , Has Additional 14x20 Hobby Room Behind 2 Car Garage. Brick Patio,Extra Large Driveway,Corner Lot

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Indoor laundry area
  • Enclosed sunroom

Tags

INDOOR LAUNDRY AREAHARDWOOD FLOORINGENCLOSED SUNROOMPRIVATE BACKYARDHOBBY ROOMBRICK PATIO

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Has heating (forced air); Land lease: $1,100
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-level (manufactured) residence; Located on a corner parcel
  • Construction: Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Manufactured home by HALLMARK (24 x 49)
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Corner lot; Adjoins greenbelt

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Wood flooring; Laundry located inside
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $264k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $244k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.5% in Santa Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#202 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Santa Maria-Bonita (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,023 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $84k; list at $264k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $244,317 (7.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.28%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$237,120
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2148 Avenida Redondo 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (-2%) 6mo $275,000 $179 86
2121 NW Via Visalia St 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (-2%) 3mo $315,000 $205 85
934 Vista Montana 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (-2%) 1mo $233,000 $152 84
820 Vista Del Rio 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (-2%) 4mo $249,900 $163 82
519 W Taylor St #371 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,620 (+4%) 6mo $130,000 $80 80
519 W Taylor #125 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-8%) 5mo $172,000 $119 71
519 W Taylor St #406 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,416 (-9%) 3mo $315,000 $222 70
519 W Taylor St #232 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-8%) 10mo $140,000 $97 69
2155 Sierra Vis 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,762 (+13%) 3mo $305,000 $173 68
519 W Taylor St #374 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-14%) 7mo $170,000 $126 58
519 W 519 W. Taylor St #141 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-14%) 7mo $95,000 $71 57
519 W Taylor St #26 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,330 (-15%) 3mo $190,000 $143 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-19,982
Equity at exit
$39,438
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$7,027
Equity at exit
$22,869

Cash invested: $74,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93458

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,443 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,387
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $540/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$513
Net cashflow
$388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,952
Max offer price $264,500
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $538 -5% $463 +0% $388 +5% $11 +10% $-81
Rent -10% $195 -5% $291 +0% $388 +5% $484 +10% $581
Rate -1.0pp $521 -0.5pp $455 base $388 +0.5pp $319 +1.0pp $250

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,125
Closing costs
$7,935
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
Lynne Dr Santa Maria, CA 3.0 2.5 1264 $3,000 $2.37 15d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $264,500 Pending 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $264,500 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $264,500 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $264,500 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $264,500 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $264,500 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $269,500 Active Under Contract 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,500 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,500 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,500 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,500 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $269,500 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
  13. 2026-04-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  14. 2026-04-22
    listed $269,500 Active
  15. 2000-03-01
    soldstatus $84,000 219-char remark
    Show marketing remark (219 chars)

    This Home Has Been Remodel From Stem To Sterm, Has All Hardwood Floors. 2nd Bedroom Has Office Addition. Lots Of Storage , Has Additional 14x20 Hobby Room Behind 2 Car Garage. Brick Patio,Extra Large Driveway,Corner Lot

  16. 1999-12-27
    listed $87,900 219-char remark
    Show marketing remark (219 chars)

    This Home Has Been Remodel From Stem To Sterm, Has All Hardwood Floors. 2nd Bedroom Has Office Addition. Lots Of Storage , Has Additional 14x20 Hobby Room Behind 2 Car Garage. Brick Patio,Extra Large Driveway,Corner Lot

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$540 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,010 · $168/mo
Expected delta
+$1,470/yr (+$123/mo · 272.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,318
− Mortgage interest
−$14,816
− Property taxes
−$540
− Insurance
−$1,322
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,345
− Management
−$2,345
− Depreciation
−$7,695
Taxable income
$254
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$61
After-tax cash flow
$4,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Maria-Bonita
NCES district ID
0605580
Math proficiency
26% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$50,959
Composite
29.11/100
National rank
#11891
State rank
#1023 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Santa Maria

Score
71/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#6519

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Santa Maria, CA
County
Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
City population
145,655
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
Population (ZIP)
59,148
Household income
$75,257
Rent vs Own
57.1% rent · 42.9% own
Severe rent burden
2583.0

Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,679 people
By 2030
505,323 · +4.3%
By 2040
545,783 · +12.6%
By 2050
584,263 · +20.5%
By 2075
682,586 · +40.8%
By 2100
723,188 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 87% Two or more races 41% White 8% Asian 4% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 83%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
40% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
21% English-only · Spanish 72% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
+3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -422.91%
Current HPI
347.9281
Rent YoY
▲ 2.31%
Metro
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+206.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent NSBCRMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $269,500 NSBCRMLS
  • 2000-03-01 Sold (MLS) $84,000 NSBCRMLS
  • 1999-12-27 Listed $87,900 NSBCRMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $540 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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