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56 River St
C Composite 55.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,900

56 River St · Hoosick Falls, NY 12090
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,055 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1870 0.79 ac lot $73/sqft · 33% below area Est $223k · 33% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid three-bedroom home situated on one of the larger lots in the village, with over 3/4 of an acre, all level and useable. The boiler is only two years old, the refrigerator is one year old, and there is a new walk-in shower. There is a half bath that just needs to be re-connected. There is a large four-bay garage with electric power. The upstairs of the house is unfinished, and could be made into an en-suite area with its own bath. Seller will consider offering a credit at closing for updates.

Key facts

  • Large garage
  • Larger lots
  • Unfinished upstairs

Tags

LARGER LOTSLARGE GARAGEUNFINISHED UPSTAIRS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-266/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (2.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.7% in Hoosick Falls — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#371 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hoosick Falls Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #469 of 755 in NY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.63%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$222,820
List price
$149,900
Delta
-32.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
157 Church St 0.28mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,978 (-4%) 4mo $85,000 $43 72
31 Lyman St 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,990 (-3%) 6mo $195,500 $98 66
37 Center St 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,892 (-8%) 7mo $197,000 $104 66
35 River St 0.10mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,230 (+8%) 15mo $222,000 $100 60
101 Main St 0.37mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,120 (+3%) 23mo $233,000 $110 53
14 Barton Ave 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,148 (+4%) 19mo $218,000 $101 51
72 Wilder Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,762 (-14%) 11mo $125,000 $71 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,692
Equity at exit
$51,332
10-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$28,606
Equity at exit
$68,338

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12090

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,548 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$397 /mo · $4,759/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$-22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,576
Max offer price $145,984
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,900 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,900 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    price $149,900 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Solid three-bedroom home situated on one of the larger lots in the village, with over 3/4 of an acre, all level and useable. The boiler is only two years old, the refrigerator is one year old, and there is a new walk-in shower. There is a half bath that just needs to be re-connected. There is a large four-bay garage with electric power. The upstairs of the house is unfinished, and could be made into an en-suite area with its own bath. Seller will consider offering a credit at closing for updates.

  17. 2026-04-20
    listed $165,000 Active 506-char remark
    Show marketing remark (506 chars)

    Solid three-bedroom home situated on one of the larger lots in the village, with over 3/4 of an acre, all level and useable. The boiler is only two years old, the refrigerator is one year old, and there is a new walk-in shower. There is a half bath that just needs to be re-connected. There is a large four-bay garage with electric power. The upstairs of the house is unfinished, and could be made into an en-suite area with its own bath. Seller will consider offering a credit at closing for updates.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,759 · $397/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,759 · $397/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,576
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$4,759
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,486
− Management
−$1,486
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$2,662
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$639
After-tax cash flow
$373/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hoosick Falls Central School District
NCES district ID
3614760
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,349
Composite
44.44/100
National rank
#6093
State rank
#469 of 755 in NY

Livability — Hoosick Falls

Score
72/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#6412

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hoosick Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,874

Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,400 people
By 2030
161,746 · -0.4%
By 2040
158,095 · -2.7%
By 2050
152,966 · -5.8%
By 2075
140,767 · -13.3%
By 2100
124,727 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.02%
Current HPI
218.9096
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $149,900 Global MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $165,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,759 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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