23 Roundtop Rd · Yonkers, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$649,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This rare end-unit townhome offers a fantastic opportunity to add your personal touches and create your ideal living space. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, this home provides a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The main level offers an open floor plan with a bright living room featuring a fireplace, a kitchen with a breakfast nook, a convenient laundry area, and a primary suite complete with a private full bathroom. Upstairs, you will find a versatile loft space, a full bathroom, and two additional generously sized bedrooms. The fully finished basement expands the living space with a large recreation room, a dedicated office area, and ample storage. highest and best due 05/06/2026 3pm Additional features include a one-car attached garage, private driveway, and a deck perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Located within a gated community offering 24-hour security, Winchester Village provides both comfort and peace of mind in a desirable setting. The property must be listed on the MLS system at a minimum of 7 calendar days before an offer is accepted
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- End-unit townhome
- Versatile loft space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $650k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $635k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $630k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.3% in Yonkers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A, commute B; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Yonkers City School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #413 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,349/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 920% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($630k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.17%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $987,986
- List price
- $649,900
- Delta
- -34.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Roundtop Rd | 0.06mi | 3/3.5 | 2,924 (-2%) | 20mo | $925,000 | $316 | 77 |
| 5 Clubway Cir | 0.22mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,980 (0%) | 12mo | $925,000 | $310 | 75 |
| 27 Roundtop Rd | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 2,650 (-11%) | 19mo | $885,000 | $334 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-64,983
- Equity at exit
- $96,902
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-4,575
- Equity at exit
- $56,191
Cash invested: $181,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Yonkers
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+20
ZIP-level market 10710
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,349 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,408
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,628/yr
- Insurance
- −$271
- HOA
- −$485
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,333
- Net cashflow
- $633
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,001 | -5% $817 | +0% $633 | +5% $449 | +10% $265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $131 | -5% $382 | +0% $633 | +5% $884 | +10% $1,134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $960 | -0.5pp $798 | base $633 | +0.5pp $464 | +1.0pp $293 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,475
- Closing costs
- $19,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Clarewood Dr Hastings on Hudson, NY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2800 | $7,800 | $2.79 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 42 Clarewood Dr Hastings on Hudson, NY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2800 | $8,000 | $2.86 | 11d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4 Kingwood Rd Scarsdale, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2067 | $7,000 | $3.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| Young Pl Tuckahoe, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1936 | $7,500 | $3.87 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $485 · $5,820/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-21$649,900 Active 1097-char remark
Show marketing remark (1097 chars)
This rare end-unit townhome offers a fantastic opportunity to add your personal touches and create your ideal living space. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, this home provides a spacious and functional layout designed for comfortable living. The main level offers an open floor plan with a bright living room featuring a fireplace, a kitchen with a breakfast nook, a convenient laundry area, and a primary suite complete with a private full bathroom. Upstairs, you will find a versatile loft space, a full bathroom, and two additional generously sized bedrooms. The fully finished basement expands the living space with a large recreation room, a dedicated office area, and ample storage. highest and best due 05/06/2026 3pm Additional features include a one-car attached garage, private driveway, and a deck perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Located within a gated community offering 24-hour security, Winchester Village provides both comfort and peace of mind in a desirable setting. The property must be listed on the MLS system at a minimum of 7 calendar days before an offer is accepted
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,628 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,806 · $567/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,178/yr (+$348/mo · 158.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $76,188
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,405
- − Property taxes
- −$2,628
- − Insurance
- −$3,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,095
- − Management
- −$6,095
- − HOA
- −$5,820
- − Depreciation
- −$18,906
- Taxable loss
- −$3,011
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$723
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yonkers City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631920
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,042
- Composite
- 41.43/100
- National rank
- #3471
- State rank
- #413 of 590 in NY
Livability — Yonkers
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #9394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yonkers, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 212,407
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,855
- Household income
- $108,845
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 920.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -622.30%
- Current HPI
- 297.1704
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $649,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-24.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,628 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…