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312 N Richardson St
D- Composite 36.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$189,500

312 N Richardson St · Grand Saline, TX 75140
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 2006 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very attractive home seller's had constructed for them on a large corner lot just west of downtown Grand Saline. Exterior is concrete based siding with an inviting covered front porch for relaxing. Inside you will find a large open concept living and kitchen area which flows into additional dining or family-office space. Kitchen has center island for cooking and serving casual meals. Stainless appliances & glass tile give the space contemporary style. Split bedroom design. Mstr is good size with en suite featuring updated marble vanity, Jacuzzi tub, walkin closet and ceramic tile surround & flooring. Guest bath on other end of home has lg. walkin in shower with attractive tile. Outstanding outdoor covered decks for entertaining and relaxing in the shade with privacy fenced yard. Outdoor kitchen equipment does not convey.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Storm shelter
  • Large covered deck

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANLARGE COVERED DECKFENCED BACKYARDSTORM SHELTER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is approximately 0.292 acre (less than 0.5 acre); Subdivision: Shangrila Heights; County: Van Zandt
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, and FHA financing
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking; Outside parking
  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Asphalt access
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Property attached: Yes
  • Construction: Built in 2006; Fiber cement construction
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered porch(es); Storm cellar; Back yard with wood fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with walk-in closet; Another bedroom with walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-262 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (24.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.9% in Grand Saline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#800 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Grand Saline ISD (town): math 38% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #520 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Grand Saline El (308 students, 68% FRL); Grand Saline Middle (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 273 students, 59% FRL); Grand Saline H S (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #897 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 341 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 54 units permitted in Van Zandt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Van Zandt County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 47% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $143,280 (24.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
4.64%
Cash-on-cash
-5.92%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$95,760
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 N Waldrip St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,066 (+6%) 9mo $89,900 $84 67
701 W Frank St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,057 (+5%) 20mo $99,900 $95 48
426 S Washington St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,128 (+12%) 18mo $169,900 $151 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$3,222
Equity at exit
$81,937
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$38,903
Equity at exit
$123,789

Cash invested: $53,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75140

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$994
Tax from tax record
$413 /mo · $4,961/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$-262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,881
Max offer price $143,280
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-154 -5% $-208 +0% $-262 +5% $-315 +10% $-369
Rent -10% $-384 -5% $-323 +0% $-262 +5% $-200 +10% $-139
Rate -1.0pp $-166 -0.5pp $-213 base $-262 +0.5pp $-311 +1.0pp $-361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,375
Closing costs
$5,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1610 W Frank St Grand Saline, TX 3.0 1.0 1288 $1,765 $1.37 45d 1 0.27mi
605 W Hill St Grand Saline, TX 3.0 1.5 1032 $1,275 $1.24 15d 1 0.45mi
1024 N Spring St Grand Saline, TX 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,500 $1.03 45d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    historical Active Option Contract
  3. 2026-04-16
    price $189,500
  4. 2026-03-27
    listed $199,500 Active
  5. 2026-02-12
    historical
  6. 2025-11-24
    price $199,000
  7. 2025-09-19
    price $209,000
  8. 2025-08-11
    price $214,000
  9. 2025-02-19
    listed $219,500 Active
  10. 2016-11-03
    soldstatus 845-char remark
    Show marketing remark (845 chars)

    Very attractive home seller's had constructed for them on a large corner lot just west of downtown Grand Saline. Exterior is concrete based siding with an inviting covered front porch for relaxing. Inside you will find a large open concept living and kitchen area which flows into additional dining or family-office space. Kitchen has center island for cooking and serving casual meals. Stainless appliances & glass tile give the space contemporary style. Split bedroom design. Mstr is good size with en suite featuring updated marble vanity, Jacuzzi tub, walkin closet and ceramic tile surround & flooring. Guest bath on other end of home has lg. walkin in shower with attractive tile. Outstanding outdoor covered decks for entertaining and relaxing in the shade with privacy fenced yard. Outdoor kitchen equipment does not convey.

  11. 2016-11-02
    soldstatus
  12. 2016-09-23
    listed $99,890 845-char remark
    Show marketing remark (845 chars)

    Very attractive home seller's had constructed for them on a large corner lot just west of downtown Grand Saline. Exterior is concrete based siding with an inviting covered front porch for relaxing. Inside you will find a large open concept living and kitchen area which flows into additional dining or family-office space. Kitchen has center island for cooking and serving casual meals. Stainless appliances & glass tile give the space contemporary style. Split bedroom design. Mstr is good size with en suite featuring updated marble vanity, Jacuzzi tub, walkin closet and ceramic tile surround & flooring. Guest bath on other end of home has lg. walkin in shower with attractive tile. Outstanding outdoor covered decks for entertaining and relaxing in the shade with privacy fenced yard. Outdoor kitchen equipment does not convey.

  13. 2008-05-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,961 · $413/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,961 · $413/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 47% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,600
− Mortgage interest
−$10,615
− Property taxes
−$4,961
− Insurance
−$948
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,488
− Management
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$5,513
Taxable loss
−$6,412
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,539
After-tax cash flow
$-1,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Saline ISD
NCES district ID
4821450
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,621
Composite
29.99/100
National rank
#6365
State rank
#520 of 826 in TX

Livability — Grand Saline

Score
64/100
State rank
#800
US rank
#14580

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grand Saline, TX
Population (ZIP)
8,596

Population outlook (Van Zandt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,634 people
By 2030
56,479 · +1.5%
By 2040
57,672 · +3.7%
By 2050
57,913 · +4.1%
By 2075
57,544 · +3.4%
By 2100
52,659 · -5.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Zandt

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.8) · D 12.3% · R 87.2%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -55.1pp · 2024: -74.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.8 2020: R+72.1 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+66.6 2008: R+55.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.69%
Current HPI
215.5979
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+89.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $189,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $199,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-12 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $209,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $214,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-02-19 Listed $219,500 NTREIS
  • 2016-11-03 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2016-11-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-09-23 Listed $99,890 GTAR
  • 2008-05-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,961 · +61.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…