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649 Eagan Rd
B+ Composite 76.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

649 Eagan Rd · Hinesville, GA 31313
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1977 0.25 ac lot Est $206k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Easy to View, Fenced yard front and back yard. ALL offers must be submitted at www. vrmproperties.com. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on “Start Offer”. This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If theProperty was built before 1978, lead-based paint Potentially Exists. IMPORTANT: If the Seller selects your offer, the Sales Contract will be generated using the data entered into the website. To avoid delays in executing the Sales Contract, please enter data as you want it to appear on the Sales Contract, SOLD AS IS. Pre-Approval Letter and EM made out to Closing Attorney

Key facts

  • Fenced yard back
  • Fenced yard front
  • 0.25 acre lot

Tags

FENCED YARD FRONTFENCED YARD BACK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.2% in Hinesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#51 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, commute D+, crime F.
  • Liberty County (urban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #133 of 174 in GA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 612 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 471 units permitted in Liberty County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Liberty County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
11.84%
Cash-on-cash
19.82%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
657 Maxwell St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,260 (+1%) 0mo $135,000 $107 93
248 Garden Cir 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,302 (+4%) 4mo $214,500 $165 73
614 2nd St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,400 (+12%) 6mo $225,000 $161 63
236 Garden Cir 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,208 (-3%) 18mo $199,900 $165 59
662 Mahoney Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,196 (-4%) 11mo $99,000 $83 57
641 2nd St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-12%) 11mo $204,500 $186 57
621 2nd St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-12%) 12mo $209,000 $190 56
480 Dykes St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,423 (+14%) 1mo $210,000 $148 52
455 Elm St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,161 (-7%) 16mo $220,000 $189 49
620 Trevor St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,364 (+9%) 11mo $175,000 $128 41
22 Palm Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+7%) 16mo $250,000 $188 40
746 Robin Hood Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,366 (+10%) 19mo $235,000 $172 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$19,520
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$79,083
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31313

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
612
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,710 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$168 /mo · $2,020/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$532

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,037
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
635 Maxwell St Hinesville, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,700 $1.79 43d 1 0.11mi
727 S Main St Hinesville, GA 2.0–3.0 1.5 1286 $1,450 $1.13 43d 3 0.18mi
220 Garden Cir Hinesville, GA 3.0 1.5 1323 $1,650 $1.25 43d 1 0.31mi
250 Garden Cir Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1140 $1,750 $1.54 43d 1 0.33mi
662 Mahoney Rd Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,795 $1.50 43d 1 0.47mi
814 Lesa St Hinesville, GA 2.0 1.5 1152 $950 $0.82 43d 1 0.63mi
134 Pointe South Dr Hinesville, GA 2.0 1.0 840 $1,195 $1.42 43d 1 0.71mi
131 Pointe South Dr Hinesville, GA 2.0 1.0 960 $1,950 $2.03 43d 1 0.74mi
732 Fleming Rd Hinesville, GA 3.0 1.5 1348 $1,400 $1.04 43d 1 0.80mi
710 Little John Dr Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1459 $1,700 $1.17 43d 1 0.85mi
910 Brett Dr Hinesville, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 957 $1,600 $1.67 43d 4 0.92mi
910 Brett Dr Hinesville, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 957 $1,600 $1.67 44d 3 0.92mi
905 King Air Ct Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,750 $1.24 43d 1 0.93mi
916 Mandarin Dr Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1433 $1,550 $1.08 43d 1 0.95mi
912 Pineland Ave Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.5 1428 $1,648 $1.15 43d 1 1.01mi
1012 White Cir Hinesville, GA 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,300 $1.24 43d 1 1.01mi
205 Bagley Ave Unit B Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1071 $1,850 $1.73 43d 1 1.06mi
613 Franklin St Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1464 $1,750 $1.20 43d 1 1.10mi
712 Mill Creek Cir Hinesville, GA 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,900 $1.30 43d 1 1.13mi
108 Cherokee Cir Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1208 $1,275 $1.06 43d 1 1.18mi
172 Cherokee Cir Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,550 $1.20 43d 1 1.24mi
1303 Veterans Pkwy Hinesville, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1048 $1,750 $1.67 43d 8 1.42mi
255 Glenn Bryant Rd Hinesville, GA 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,700 $1.58 43d 1 1.43mi
822 Lost Grove Ln Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,650 $1.53 44d 1 1.43mi
350 Beverly St #124 Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,400 $1.14 43d 1 1.44mi
1100 Pineland Ave Hinesville, GA 2.0 2.5 1412 $1,575 $1.12 43d 2 1.45mi
286 Whitetail Cir Hinesville, GA 3.0 2.0 1274 $1,600 $1.26 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,020 · $168/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,020 · $168/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,522
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$2,020
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,642
− Management
−$1,642
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$4,857
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,166
After-tax cash flow
$5,215/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Liberty County
NCES district ID
1303300
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$43,911
Composite
20.2/100
National rank
#8630
State rank
#133 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hinesville

Score
73/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#5200

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hinesville, GA
County
Liberty County · 58,565 people
City population
42,838
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
42,838
Household income
$60,233
Rent vs Own
50.1% rent · 49.9% own
Severe rent burden
1693.0

Population outlook (Liberty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,689 people
By 2030
57,670 · -1.7%
By 2040
55,750 · -5.0%
By 2050
54,155 · -7.7%
By 2075
58,947 · +0.4%
By 2100
66,919 · +14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 47% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Liberty

2024 margin
D (+17.4) · D 58.5% · R 41.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.9pp toward R · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 17.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.4 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+30.2 2008: D+28.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.50%
Current HPI
208.0927
Rent YoY
▲ 5.41%
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Pending HABR
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $115,000 HABR

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,020 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…