2601 Creswick Dr · Mansfield, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
$435,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Introducing a captivating residence nestled within the highly coveted Somerset neighborhood, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom traditional home epitomizes elegance and comfort. Boasting a charming brick and stone exterior on a corner lot. The neutral interior palette, provides the perfect canvas for personalized décor. Home office adds versatility to the floor plan, catering to a modern lifestyle. A modern kitchen awaits, complete with stainless appliances, ample storage, and sleek quartz countertops. The living area is bathed in natural light and features a family hub. The luxurious primary suite features a spa-like ensuite bathroom, offering a serene retreat. Additional bedrooms are generously sized. Natural gas hookup on patio for grill. Residents of Somerset enjoy access to a community pool, amenity center, walking trails, and serene lakes with fountains, enhancing the quality of life in this idyllic neighborhood. Conveniently located near major highways. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Open concept kitchen
- 5 burner gas cooktop
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool, park, playground, jogging/bike path, fishing, and sidewalks
- Financial info: Listing treats loan as clear; no second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: Mandatory homeowners association with annual fee; HOA fee covers full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management fees; HOA managed by FirstService Residential
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with two covered spaces; Garage has 2 single doors (side-by-side), garage door opener, inside entrance, kitchen-level access; Garage dimensions approximately 20' wide x 20' deep with 7' height
- Security: Owned security system with burglar alarm; Audio and video surveillance devices present
- Utilities: City water and city sewer; Individual gas and water meters; Underground utilities, sidewalks, curbs, concrete streets; Community mailbox
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Built in 2020; Composition roof; Not attached to other properties
- Construction: Brick and rock/stone exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered rear porch and covered porches; Gutters; Wood fencing in back yard; Large backyard with grass, landscaped, sprinkler system; Corner lot; Subdivision setting
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop, double oven, microwave; Dishwasher and disposal; Kitchen island, breakfast bar, built-in cabinets, pantry; Water line to refrigerator and plumbed for gas in kitchen; Natural stone/granite countertops
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with ensuite bath and walk-in closet; Two additional bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bath with dual sinks, separate shower, garden tub, built-in cabinets, linen closet, and natural stone/granite surfaces
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Open floorplan with decorative lighting and built-in features; Eat-in kitchen with kitchen island and pantry; High-speed internet available and cable TV available; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Separate utility room with sink; Full-size washer/dryer area with electric dryer hookup and washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $435k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-733 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (29.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $325k (25.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $305k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.8% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#243 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Mansfield ISD (suburban): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #125 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Brenda Norwood El (647 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.22%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $482,020
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2215 Birch St | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 | 2,230 (+2%) | 6mo | $524,990 | $235 | 81 |
| 2807 Durham Dr | 0.08mi | 4/3.0 | 2,090 (-5%) | 7mo | $420,000 | $201 | 79 |
| 2608 Acton Dr | 0.38mi | 4/3.0 | 2,253 (+3%) | 1mo | $522,990 | $232 | 73 |
| 2208 Birch St | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 2,367 (+8%) | 2mo | $599,990 | $253 | 73 |
| 2418 Melrose Dr | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 | 2,098 (-4%) | 7mo | $445,000 | $212 | 65 |
| 2114 Redding Dr | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,253 (+3%) | 1mo | $493,990 | $219 | 61 |
| 2001 Windsor Ter | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,112 (-4%) | 9mo | $474,990 | $225 | 55 |
| 1913 Windsor | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,350 (+7%) | 1mo | $499,900 | $213 | 53 |
| 2117 Pennywell Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 2,038 (-7%) | 8mo | $449,000 | $220 | 51 |
| 2408 Hagen Dr | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,519 (+15%) | 7mo | $518,990 | $206 | 43 |
| 2105 Wexley Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,435 (+11%) | 8mo | $549,900 | $226 | 42 |
| 3412 Woodford Dr | 0.62mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,517 (+15%) | 7mo | $473,000 | $188 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.32% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $112,060
- Equity at exit
- $310,598
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $356,426
- Equity at exit
- $598,481
Cash invested: $121,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76084
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,245 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,281
- Tax from tax record
- −$756 /mo · $9,067/yr
- Insurance
- −$181
- HOA
- −$79
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$682
- Net cashflow
- $-733
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $108,750
- Closing costs
- $13,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1612 Birch St Mansfield, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2593 | $3,399 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2614 High Bluff Dr Mansfield, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2852 | $3,600 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3724 Twin Pines Dr Midlothian, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2389 | $3,200 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3722 Autumncrest St Midlothian, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2457 | $3,100 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2309 Lannister St Mansfield, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2174 | $3,300 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3668 Walnut Ridge Dr Midlothian, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2654 | $3,300 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $79 · $948/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 675-char remark
-
2026-06-17$435,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $9,067 · $756/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,067 · $756/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,946
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,367
- − Property taxes
- −$9,067
- − Insurance
- −$2,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,116
- − Management
- −$3,116
- − HOA
- −$948
- − Depreciation
- −$12,655
- Taxable loss
- −$16,497
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,959
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,838/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mansfield ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828920
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,934
- Composite
- 45.82/100
- National rank
- #2558
- State rank
- #125 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mansfield
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #5833
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mansfield, TX
- County
- Johnson County · 147,987 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,097
- Household income
- $102,115
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 70.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 24% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.32%
- Current HPI
- 355.74
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.39%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+3.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $435,000 NTREIS
- 2024-07-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-07-01 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2024-06-16 Pending — NTREIS
- 2024-06-11 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2024-06-05 Listed $419,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+46.1%/yrLatest (2025): $9,067 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…