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413 Elm St
D+ Composite 45.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.7/10.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$259,900

413 Elm St · Camden, NJ 08102
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,512 sqft · Townhouse public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1905 1,446 sqft lot Est $222k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED. Seller is requesting all highest and best offers to be submitted by noon on Monday 5/18. WELCOME HOME to this beautifully updated 4 bedroom / 1.5 bathroom home in Camden, NJ! Immediately upon entering the home you will be impressed by the stylish updates and designs from the luxury vinyl plant flooring, to the floor to ceiling black tiled fireplace, the lovely hanging light fixtures, and the braided railings bordering the stairway to the upper level. The main level is complete with an open concept living room flowing into the tastefully designed kitchen, a half bathroom, and a nice sized bedroom. Head upstairs to find a 3 more nicely sized bedroom, a spacious full

Key facts

  • Built 1905
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Assessed improvement value $43,300; Assessed land value $6,900; Tax assessed value $50,200 (tax year 2025); Annual tax amount approx. $1,850

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric-powered cooling; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Flat roof; Fee simple ownership; Effective/major remodel year 2026
  • Construction: Block construction; Slab foundation; Above- and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 17.00 x 0.00; No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level; One bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level; Total: one full bathroom and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Two or more access/exit points; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,635/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 562% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $259,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.52%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,264
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
318 State St 0.13mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,490 (-2%) 4mo $220,000 $148 83
542 York St 0.20mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,572 (+4%) 4mo $45,000 $29 74
563 Bailey St 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,424 (-6%) 4mo $69,000 $48 73
211 Elm St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,456 (-4%) 12mo $225,000 $155 70
906 N 4th St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,367 (-10%) 2mo $215,000 $157 65
821 N 2nd St 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,317 (-13%) 1mo $265,000 $201 63
934 N 4th St 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,341 (-11%) 1mo $180,000 $134 62
826 State St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,377 (-9%) 2mo $110,000 $80 60
646 York St 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,301 (-14%) 11mo $180,000 $138 54
1153 Cooper St 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,410 (-7%) 2mo $280,000 $199 53
608 Point St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,358 (-10%) 12mo $155,000 $114 52
836 State St 0.37mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,289 (-15%) 11mo $190,000 $147 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-13,123
Equity at exit
$38,752
10-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$25,725
Equity at exit
$22,471

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08102

Home prices YoY
-4.3%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,635 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,851/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$553
Net cashflow
$456

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,058
Max offer price $259,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1 Market St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0–2.0 1190 $2,456 $2.06 2d 15 0.41mi
440 Henry St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1224 $2,200 $1.80 24d 1 0.77mi
609 Henry St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,600 $1.24 24d 1 0.93mi
708 Royden St Camden, NJ 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,595 $1.43 17d 1 0.95mi
501 N Christopher Columbus Blvd Philadelphia, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1062 $5,148 $4.85 1d 100 1.00mi
503 N Christopher Columbus Blvd Unit 1503 Philadelphia, PA 3.0 2.5 1450 $3,825 $2.64 5d 1 1.08mi
700 N Delaware Ave Philadelphia, PA 3.0 2.0 1067 $5,110 $4.79 1d 166 1.20mi
209 Vine St Philadelphia, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 991 $4,325 $4.36 2d 4 1.27mi
1 Dock St Philadelphia, PA 3.0 1.0–3.5 1164 $10,341 $8.88 1d 18 1.30mi
2008 Northbank Pl Philadelphia, PA 3.0 3.5 2100 $3,600 $1.71 1d 1 1.34mi
1055 Kenwood Ave Camden, NJ 4.0 1.0 1088 $1,875 $1.72 24d 1 1.35mi
457 Mechanic St Camden, NJ 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 19d 1 1.48mi
1455 Wildwood Ave Camden, NJ 3.0 1.5 1353 $1,900 $1.40 10d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-18
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-05-09
    listed $259,900 Active
  4. 2026-05-06
    historical $259,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,851 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,161 · $347/mo
Expected delta
+$2,310/yr (+$193/mo · 124.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,621
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$1,851
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,530
− Management
−$2,530
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable income
$1,292
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$310
After-tax cash flow
$5,165/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden City School District
NCES district ID
3402640
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$25,845
Composite
6.85/100
National rank
#9981
State rank
#472 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Camden

Score
70/100
State rank
#262
US rank
#7721

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
20,865
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
8,292
Household income
$33,852
Rent vs Own
76.4% rent · 23.6% own
Severe rent burden
562.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 64% Black 20% Two or more races 14% White 13% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 40% Dominican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 50%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.61%
Current HPI
192.0092
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $259,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $259,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+14.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,851 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…