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3238 Glenmore Dr
D+ Composite 46.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$204,900

3238 Glenmore Dr · Hope Mills, NC 28348
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,604 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1974 0.26 ac lot Est $247k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Ranch starter home in the heart of Hope Mills. This home is ready for you to make it your own! Cute 3 bedroom 2 full baths. Eat in kitchen. Plenty of storage. Back yard patio & rear fencing. Close to schools , shopping and local dining. Easy access w - 20 minute commute to Ft Bragg. Schedule a showing today.

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Built 1974
  • Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential zoning (R10 - Residential District)
  • Construction: Brick veneer exterior
  • Exterior features: Partial backyard fencing; Corner lot; Level lot; Shed on the property; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
  • Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Storage; Wood burning stove
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-662/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (4.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (17.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.8% in Hope Mills — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#234 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: C Wayne Collier Elementary (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,073 of 1,410 statewide, top 77%, 526 students, 99% FRL); Hope Mills Middle (math 27% / reading 34%, grade F, #331 of 475 statewide, top 70%, 514 students, 99% FRL); South View High (math 60% / reading 43%, grade D+, #299 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 1,502 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 55% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $89k; list at $205k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,778 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.15%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$247,016
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3238 Glenmore Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,785 (+11%) 0mo $204,900 $115 77
3522 Golfview Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,603 (-0%) 6mo $205,000 $128 76
5828 Fairway Dr 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,607 (+0%) 1mo $249,320 $155 73
3601 Golfview Rd 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,682 (+5%) 2mo $236,600 $141 69
3533 Rittenour Dr 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,397 (-13%) 1mo $249,900 $179 63
3603 Colonial Cv 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,445 (-10%) 4mo $221,000 $153 63
5714 Crenshaw Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,510 (-6%) 0mo $242,500 $161 55
5904 Genesis Ct 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,681 (+5%) 2mo $268,900 $160 53
3638 Golfview Rd 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,814 (+13%) 5mo $279,900 $154 51
3732 Floyd Dr 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,792 (+12%) 1mo $265,000 $148 49
3718 Floyd Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,749 (+9%) 3mo $265,000 $152 49
5803 Labonte Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,432 (-11%) 4mo $286,400 $200 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-34,509
Equity at exit
$30,551
10-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-25,270
Equity at exit
$17,716

Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28348

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,688 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$229 /mo · $2,744/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$-55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,758
Max offer price $195,148
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $61 -5% $3 +0% $-55 +5% $-113 +10% $-171
Rent -10% $-189 -5% $-122 +0% $-55 +5% $11 +10% $78
Rate -1.0pp $48 -0.5pp $-3 base $-55 +0.5pp $-108 +1.0pp $-162

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,225
Closing costs
$6,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3506 Shipstone Pl Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.0 1280 $1,380 $1.08 15d 3 0.21mi
3636 Metric Dr Hope Mills, NC 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,400 $1.27 15d 1 0.29mi
3541 Rittenour Dr Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,825 $1.18 15d 1 0.32mi
3332 Kenmont Ln Unit E Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,150 $1.05 25d 1 0.63mi
3511 Birchfield Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0–3.0 2.0 1270 $1,685 $1.33 15d 5 0.72mi
3766 Colonial Cv Hope Mills, NC 3.0 1.5 1475 $1,445 $0.98 15d 1 0.83mi
5959 Rehoboth Rd Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1667 $1,795 $1.08 15d 1 0.85mi
3462 Marty Cir Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,250 $1.12 25d 1 0.90mi
5715 Walkabout Rd Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,675 $1.47 25d 1 1.04mi
2935 Chillingworth Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,750 $1.25 15d 1 1.36mi
6258 Stoney Point Loop Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1799 $2,300 $1.28 15d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    listed $204,900 Active
  2. 2013-10-04
    listed $105,000
  3. 2005-12-02
    soldstatus $89,000
  4. 1997-12-22
    soldstatus $73,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,744 · $229/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,744 · $229/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,253
− Mortgage interest
−$11,478
− Property taxes
−$2,744
− Insurance
−$1,024
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,620
− Management
−$1,620
− Depreciation
−$5,961
Taxable loss
−$4,194
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,007
After-tax cash flow
$344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hope Mills

Score
67/100
State rank
#234
US rank
#10761

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hope Mills, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
39,196
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
39,196
Household income
$66,129
Rent vs Own
25.2% rent · 74.8% own
Severe rent burden
746.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.14%
Current HPI
228.3122
Rent YoY
▲ 4.28%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+180.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $204,900 LPRMLS
  • 2013-10-04 Listed $105,000 LPRMLS
  • 2005-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,744 · +44.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…