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5226 Coplin St
D Composite 42.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$14,000

5226 Coplin St · Detroit, MI 48213
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,537 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1928 3,920 sqft lot $9/sqft · 78% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS IS A HUD HOME EXCLUSIVE LISTING. BEING SOLD AS IS. 4 BED BRICK COLONIAL WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, AND MAJOR FREEWAYS.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Brick colonial
  • Close to shopping

Tags

BRICK COLONIALHARDWOOD FLOORSCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO MAJOR FREEWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $14k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $14k).
  • Recommended offer: $13k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 98.7% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,486/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $97 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $420 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (78%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $13,160 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
10.62%
Cap rate
98.65%
Cash-on-cash
329.85%
DSCR
15.68
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$63,118
List price
$14,000
Delta
-77.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4830 Dickerson St 0.29mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,542 (+0%) 2mo $60,099 $39 79
5550 Lenox St 0.19mi 4/3.0 1,508 (-2%) 11mo $179,900 $119 73
5517 Drexel St 0.14mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,425 (-7%) 3mo $65,000 $46 71
5794 Dickerson St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,467 (-5%) 4mo $118,000 $80 65
5059 Lakeview St 0.10mi 4/1.5 1,688 (+10%) 16mo $75,000 $44 65
5581 Drexel St 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,474 (-4%) 21mo $118,000 $80 60
5567 Newport St 0.23mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,468 (-4%) 21mo $45,000 $31 60
4707 Lenox St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,442 (-6%) 14mo $17,000 $12 55
5764 Lenox St 0.32mi 4/1.0 1,401 (-9%) 18mo $85,000 $61 53
5968 Chalmers St 0.52mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,728 (+12%) 7mo $123,000 $71 44
5568 Manistique St 0.51mi 4/2.5 1,373 (-11%) 14mo $145,000 $106 43
10825 E Outer Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,650 (+7%) 10mo $175,000 $106 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.93×
Total profit
$66,381
Equity at exit
$2,087
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
38.31×
Total profit
$146,262
Equity at exit
$1,210

Cash invested: $3,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48213

Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
0.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,486 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$73
Tax est. 1.5%
$18 /mo · $210/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$1,078

Break-even live

Break-even rent $122
Max offer price $14,000
Occupancy floor 23%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,087 -5% $1,082 +0% $1,078 +5% $1,073 +10% $1,068
Rent -10% $960 -5% $1,019 +0% $1,078 +5% $1,136 +10% $1,195
Rate -1.0pp $1,085 -0.5pp $1,081 base $1,078 +0.5pp $1,074 +1.0pp $1,070

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,500
Closing costs
$420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 25d 1 0.41mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 45d 1 0.73mi
4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1326 $1,650 $1.24 45d 1 0.82mi
13395 Maiden St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1750 $1,600 $0.91 25d 1 0.85mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,225 $1.11 0d 1 0.86mi
5856 Barrett St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,000 $0.93 0d 1 0.88mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 21d 1 0.89mi
5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,400 $0.84 18d 1 0.93mi
5911 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 0d 1 0.95mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 6d 1 0.96mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 25d 1 0.97mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 5d 1 1.10mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 45d 1 1.10mi
5574 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,450 $1.01 5d 1 1.15mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 18d 1 1.17mi
5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1458 $1,300 $0.89 18d 1 1.17mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 45d 1 1.21mi
15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 6d 1 1.21mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 45d 1 1.23mi
4667 Beniteau St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1396 $1,700 $1.22 45d 1 1.23mi
5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1303 $1,200 $0.92 45d 1 1.34mi
3625 Chatsworth St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1182 $1,295 $1.10 25d 1 1.34mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 19d 1 1.36mi
3651 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,300 $0.98 18d 1 1.41mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 18d 1 1.41mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 18d 1 1.41mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 19d 1 1.45mi
11806 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 4.0 3.0 2000 $1,600 $0.80 25d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $14,000 Pending 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $14,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $14,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $14,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    status $14,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    status $14,000 Pending 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $14,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $14,000 Active 83 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    status $14,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-04-21
    price $23,760 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME EXCLUSIVE LISTING. BEING SOLD AS IS. 4 BED BRICK COLONIAL WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, AND MAJOR FREEWAYS.

  11. 2026-04-20
    price $23,760 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME EXCLUSIVE LISTING. BEING SOLD AS IS. 4 BED BRICK COLONIAL WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, AND MAJOR FREEWAYS.

  12. 2026-04-08
    price $30,000 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME EXCLUSIVE LISTING. BEING SOLD AS IS. 4 BED BRICK COLONIAL WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, AND MAJOR FREEWAYS.

  13. 2026-04-07
    price $30,000 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME EXCLUSIVE LISTING. BEING SOLD AS IS. 4 BED BRICK COLONIAL WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, AND MAJOR FREEWAYS.

  14. 2026-03-06
    listed $64,000 Active 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME EXCLUSIVE LISTING. BEING SOLD AS IS. 4 BED BRICK COLONIAL WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, AND MAJOR FREEWAYS.

  15. 2026-03-06
    listed $64,000 Active 165-char remark
    Show marketing remark (165 chars)

    THIS IS A HUD HOME EXCLUSIVE LISTING. BEING SOLD AS IS. 4 BED BRICK COLONIAL WITH HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT. LOCATED CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, AND MAJOR FREEWAYS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,837
− Mortgage interest
−$784
− Property taxes
−$210
− Insurance
−$70
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,427
− Management
−$1,427
− Depreciation
−$407
Taxable income
$13,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,243
After-tax cash flow
$9,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,075
Household income
$34,003
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.86%
Current HPI
217.2037
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-62.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $23,760 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $23,760 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $64,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $749 · -54.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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