CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1615 Montier St
D Composite 43.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,000

1615 Montier St · Wilkinsburg, PA 15221
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,472 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1930 2,278 sqft lot $14/sqft · 70% below area ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Wilkinsburg offering approximately 1,500 sq ft of opportunity. This property is ready for a full renovation and is ideal for investors or buyers looking to bring their vision to life. With no use restrictions, the potential for a strong rental or resale is there. Conveniently located near major roadways, public transportation, and local amenities.

Key facts

  • 2,278 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 66 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $996 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $19k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 69.4% vs local median 11.3% in Wilkinsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#411 in PA, #3,754 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Wilkinsburg Borough SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #503 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $18,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.77%
Cap rate
69.38%
Cash-on-cash
225.30%
DSCR
11.02
GRM
1.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$66,782
List price
$20,000
Delta
-70.05%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1117 James St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+3%) 6mo $147,325 $97 82
1137 Jackson St 0.49mi 3/3.0 1,488 (+1%) 8mo $240,000 $161 64
1019 Maple St 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,268 (-14%) 1mo $23,000 $18 61
2072 Boggs Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,324 (-10%) 1mo $83,000 $63 54
2233 Laketon Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,536 (+4%) 4mo $25,000 $16 52
42 Barton Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,365 (-7%) 5mo $257,000 $188 51
623 Haverhill St 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,374 (-7%) 5mo $137,500 $100 50
1410 Traymore Ave 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,408 (-4%) 10mo $219,000 $156 50
2022 Boggs Ave 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,284 (-13%) 10mo $158,000 $123 45
615 Midland St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,356 (-8%) 10mo $160,000 $118 45
5 Barton Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,361 (-8%) 11mo $200,000 $147 43
520 Princeton Blvd 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,268 (-14%) 6mo $28,000 $22 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.00×
Total profit
$61,623
Equity at exit
$2,982
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
26.24×
Total profit
$141,326
Equity at exit
$1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15221

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,554 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $759/yr
Insurance
$8
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$996

Break-even live

Break-even rent $294
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1713-1715 Clark St Unit 79-1804C Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 972 $1,200 $1.23 4d 1 0.10mi
1515 Penn Ave Wilkinsburg, PA 2.0 2.0 1012 $1,100 $1.09 43d 1 0.33mi
1148 East St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 3.0 1738 $1,700 $0.98 43d 1 0.41mi
1962 McNary Blvd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1517 $1,545 $1.02 7d 1 0.47mi
7534 Penn Bridge Ct Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.0 1259 $1,750 $1.39 43d 1 0.49mi
2031 Chalfant St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,950 $1.70 43d 1 0.52mi
7215 Beacon Hill Dr Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.0 1259 $1,795 $1.43 4d 1 0.59mi
515 Hill Ave Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1628 $1,300 $0.80 43d 1 0.74mi
565 Ardmore Blvd Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1368 $1,450 $1.06 10d 1 0.75mi
100 Bryn Mawr Ct W Pittsburgh, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,904 $1.95 3d 15 0.90mi
8918 Frankstown Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,907 $1.36 14d 1 0.96mi
8606 Westwood Rd Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1596 $1,425 $0.89 43d 1 0.97mi
826 Walnut St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1270 $1,195 $0.94 43d 1 0.98mi
600 Kelly Ave Pittsburgh, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 3d 3 1.02mi
442 Locust St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1600 $2,600 $1.62 3d 1 1.11mi
1250 Blackadore Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,750 $1.22 23d 1 1.16mi
8612 Oakcrest Rd Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1218 $1,450 $1.19 23d 1 1.16mi
519-521 S Trenton Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1360 $2,600 $1.91 16d 1 1.19mi
648 Southern Ave Penn Hills, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 7d 1 1.20mi
185 Howard St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 43d 1 1.21mi
407 Biddle Ave #3 Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 43d 1 1.25mi
3005 Laketon Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,295 $1.18 14d 1 1.29mi
610 Churchill Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 2d 1 1.31mi
103 Grove Rd Verona, PA 3.0 1.5 1460 $1,450 $0.99 12d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $20,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $20,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $20,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $20,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $20,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $20,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-04-13
    listed $20,000 Active 397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    Spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Wilkinsburg offering approximately 1,500 sq ft of opportunity. This property is ready for a full renovation and is ideal for investors or buyers looking to bring their vision to life. With no use restrictions, the potential for a strong rental or resale is there. Conveniently located near major roadways, public transportation, and local amenities.

  15. 2026-04-03
    listed $20,000
  16. 1986-12-29
    soldstatus $27,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$759 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$759 · $63/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,651
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$759
− Insurance
−$766
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,492
− Management
−$1,492
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$12,439
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,985
After-tax cash flow
$8,965/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkinsburg Borough SD
NCES district ID
4226370
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,204
Composite
14.94/100
National rank
#9368
State rank
#503 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wilkinsburg

Score
76/100
State rank
#411
US rank
#3754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilkinsburg, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
29,513
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
29,374
Household income
$55,028
Rent vs Own
55.3% rent · 44.7% own
Severe rent burden
1933.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 43% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.77%
Current HPI
230.0486
Rent YoY
▲ 3.86%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $20,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $20,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1986-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $759 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…