Multi-family
1202 Leander Rd Unit A & B · Georgetown, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$360,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $360k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-106/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $359k (0.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $314k (12.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $314k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in Georgetown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#18 in TX, #1,294 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Georgetown ISD (suburban): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #474 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wolf Ranch El (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 848 students, 28% FRL); James Tippit Middle (math 26% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 628 students, 49% FRL); East View H S (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,183 of 1,632 statewide, top 73%, 2,075 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 2105 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 99d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 79% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.11%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $445,186
- List price
- $360,000
- Delta
- -19.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Norwood Dr Unit A/B | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 2,182 (+5%) | 23mo | $400,000 | $183 | 53 |
| 621 Luther Dr | 0.54mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,028 (-2%) | 9mo | $400,000 | $197 | 50 |
| 210 Tamara Dr Unit A & B | 0.38mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+15%) | 8mo | $475,000 | $198 | 38 |
| 212 Tamara Dr Unit A & B | 0.39mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+15%) | 8mo | $475,000 | $198 | 37 |
| 214 Tamara Dr Unit A & B | 0.40mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+15%) | 8mo | $475,000 | $198 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-68,049
- Equity at exit
- $53,677
- IRR
- -21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-95,330
- Equity at exit
- $31,126
Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Median asking
- $400,000 ($185/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 7 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78628
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 2105
- Price-to-rent
- 19.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$450 /mo · $5,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$659
- Net cashflow
- $-9
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,138 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,569 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,569 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,138 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $240 | -5% $116 | +0% $-9 | +5% $-133 | +10% $-258 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-257 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-9 | +5% $115 | +10% $239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $172 | -0.5pp $83 | base $-9 | +0.5pp $-102 | +1.0pp $-197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,000
- Closing costs
- $10,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Spanish Oak Cir Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2055 | $1,950 | $0.95 | 110d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1212 Leander Rd Unit A Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2060 | $1,350 | $0.66 | 58d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1214 Leander Rd Unit B Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 29d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 209 Luther Dr Georgetown, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 648 | $1,509 | $2.33 | 0d | 21 | 0.15mi |
| 800 Woodview Dr Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $2,100 | $1.43 | 140d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 509 Meadowbrook Dr Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,995 | $1.20 | 98d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 505 Luther Dr Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,600 | $1.56 | 139d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 202 Tamara Dr Unit B Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,373 | $1.09 | 88d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 402 Greenwood Dr Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2065 | $2,195 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 201 Oakwood Dr Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1864 | $2,095 | $1.12 | 29d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 515 Luther Dr Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 139d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 515 Luther Dr Unit A Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1968 | $1,200 | $0.61 | 29d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 101 Norwood Dr Unit B Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 300 Tamara Dr Unit A Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1009 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 139d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 304 Tamara Dr Unit A Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 103d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 304 Tamara Dr Unit A Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,375 | $1.23 | 76d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 607 Luther Dr Unit B Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,495 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 607 Luther Dr Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 10d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 609 Luther Dr Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 99d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 312 Tamara Dr Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 923 | $1,500 | $1.63 | 98d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 615 Luther Dr Unit A Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2028 | $1,415 | $0.70 | 70d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 617 Luther Dr Unit B Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 115d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 436 Norwood Dr Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 58d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 322 Tamara Dr Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $1,600 | $0.78 | 139d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 600 Luther Dr Georgetown, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $1,040 | $1.02 | 0d | 30 | 0.55mi |
| 322 Tamara Dr Unit B Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,600 | $1.56 | 139d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1021 W University Ave Georgetown, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,084 | $1.50 | 139d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1021 W University Ave Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,374 | $1.25 | 10d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2323 Wolf Ranch Pkwy Georgetown, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1069 | $1,504 | $1.41 | 0d | 26 | 0.79mi |
| 101 River Overlook Rd Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,651 | $1.47 | 139d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 101 River Overlook Rd Unit 1 Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,651 | $1.47 | 119d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2364 Wolf Ranch Pkwy Georgetown, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $902 | $1.09 | 10d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2332 Wolf Ranch Pkwy Georgetown, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,052 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 708 W 15th St Georgetown, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,439 | $2.40 | 0d | 18 | 0.94mi |
| 2300 Wolf Ranch Pkwy Georgetown, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 992 | $1,704 | $1.72 | 5d | 14 | 0.95mi |
| 1117 Spring Gulch Ln Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2095 | $2,895 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 109 Arrowhead Mound Rd Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1639 | $2,250 | $1.37 | 139d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1700 S Austin Ave Georgetown, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,100 | $1.77 | 83d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 315 Madison Oaks Ave Georgetown, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1331 | $1,750 | $1.31 | 56d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1604 S Austin Ave Georgetown, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2040 | $2,500 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-06-16$360,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,656
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,166
- − Property taxes
- −$5,400
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,012
- − Management
- −$3,012
- − Depreciation
- −$10,473
- Taxable loss
- −$6,207
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,490
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,383/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The property requires moderate renovations, focusing on exterior and interior painting, as well as updating the kitchen and bathrooms to enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior paint — Paint appears faded and needs touch-up
- Major interior paint — Paint appears faded and needs touch-up
- Minor exterior siding — Some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace outdated kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Replace outdated bathroom fixtures — Upgrading bathrooms can significantly boost both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Georgetown ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820600
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,461
- Composite
- 31.77/100
- National rank
- #5897
- State rank
- #474 of 826 in TX
Livability — Georgetown
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1294
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Georgetown, TX
- County
- Williamson County · 699,027 people
- City population
- 128,203
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,822
- Household income
- $125,635
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 699,027 people
- By 2030
- 795,537 · +13.8%
- By 2040
- 990,683 · +41.7%
- By 2050
- 1,184,292 · +69.4%
- By 2075
- 1,623,825 · +132.3%
- By 2100
- 1,924,153 · +175.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 4% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Williamson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 50.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -2.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.5 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -439.68%
- Current HPI
- 192.7561
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.07%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…