655 W Broadway St · Madisonville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$57,250
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment Property – Great Potential! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a 0.25-acre lot along a paved street, offering convenience and accessibility. Features include: Attached carport, Detached storage building, Spacious lot with room to improve Perfect for investors looking for their next rental or renovation project!
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Spacious lot
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Quarter-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Range; Electric range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 4.0% in Madisonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#132 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Hopkins County (town): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #65 of 165 in KY (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $396 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hopkins County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.15%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,912
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333 Woodson Ave | 0.54mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-3%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $97 | 64 |
| 325 Pride Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,199 (-6%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $38 | 60 |
| 672 Westside Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+4%) | 0mo | $162,000 | $122 | 59 |
| 65 Mitchell Hill Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+8%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $105 | 58 |
| 20 Bartlett Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,174 (-8%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $162 | 56 |
| 311 S Madison Ave | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,458 (+15%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $113 | 52 |
| 751 Boone Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,212 (-5%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $134 | 48 |
| 233 Hopewell St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,109 (-13%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $81 | 47 |
| 616 Victoria St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,158 (-9%) | 2mo | $15,000 | $13 | 46 |
| 21 West Lake St | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-12%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $129 | 44 |
| 665 Echo Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,428 (+12%) | 0mo | $173,363 | $121 | 44 |
| 423 S Madison | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (+14%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $148 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $24,864
- Equity at exit
- $8,536
- IRR
- 43.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.09×
- Total profit
- $65,564
- Equity at exit
- $4,950
Cash invested: $16,030 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42431
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,110 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$300
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $194/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $536
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $569 | -5% $553 | +0% $536 | +5% $520 | +10% $504 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $449 | -5% $492 | +0% $536 | +5% $580 | +10% $624 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $565 | -0.5pp $551 | base $536 | +0.5pp $521 | +1.0pp $506 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,312
- Closing costs
- $1,718
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-12status $57,250 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $57,250 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $57,250 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,250 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,250 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 324-char remark
-
2026-06-03$57,250 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $194 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $492 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$299/yr (+$25/mo · 154.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,314
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,207
- − Property taxes
- −$194
- − Insurance
- −$286
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,065
- − Management
- −$1,065
- − Depreciation
- −$1,665
- Taxable income
- $5,832
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,400
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hopkins County
- NCES district ID
- 2102860
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,436
- Composite
- 29.56/100
- National rank
- #6488
- State rank
- #65 of 165 in KY
Livability — Madisonville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #6200
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madisonville, KY
- City population
- 27,095
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,095
Population outlook (Hopkins County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,164 people
- By 2030
- 44,083 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 41,650 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 39,303 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 34,567 · -23.5%
- By 2100
- 29,476 · -34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hopkins
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.9) · D 23.9% · R 74.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.9pp · 2024: -50.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.9 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+54.0 2012: R+39.9 2008: R+24.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.52%
- Current HPI
- 220.2269
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $57,250 MHCBOR
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $194 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…