15550 Burnt Store Rd #227 · Burnt Store Marina, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic Home in a very active community. Spacious open plan filled with light. Large open lving room opens to enclosed screened lanai through sliding glass doors. All appliances including washer & dryer stay. Active 55+ community with many social events. Not just a home but a lifestyle. VIRTUALLY EVERY ADVANTAGE of the good life is part of everyday real life in Florida. Warm, sunny days tailor-made for your favorite recreation. Residents lead active lifestyle, with a wide variety of activities on-site and nearby. Join your neighbors for a relaxing day by the community swimming pool, or join the Golf leagues engaging in a spirited round of golf or a challenging game of tennis. Many Burnt Store residents enjoy these amenities and more, The social life dining dancing and more is active and fun.
Key facts
- New lighting
- Cabinets refaced
- Storage galore
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Controlled access
- Home design: Built in 1984
- Exterior features: Patio; Sunroom; Workshop; Controlled access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Pantry; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Tile
- Interior features: Sunroom; Patio; Workshop; Controlled access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.8% in Burnt Store Marina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#354 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1481 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $175k implies a 337% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.76%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,984
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15550 Burnt Store Rd #218 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,274 (+2%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $133 | 94 |
| 15550 Burnt Store Rd #86 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,414 (+13%) | 3mo | $184,500 | $130 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $11,066
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $60,615
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33955
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Active inventory
- 1481
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,412 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$231 /mo · $2,776/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$506
- Net cashflow
- $617
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $716 | -5% $667 | +0% $617 | +5% $568 | +10% $518 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $427 | -5% $522 | +0% $617 | +5% $713 | +10% $808 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $705 | -0.5pp $662 | base $617 | +0.5pp $572 | +1.0pp $526 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14040 Heritage Landing Blvd #113 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $6,500 | $4.52 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 14271 Heritage Landing Blvd #1527 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,800 | $1.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 14261 Heritage Landing Blvd #1615 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $6,000 | $4.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 14251 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1713 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $4,800 | $3.51 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 14251 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1723 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $6,000 | $4.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 14224 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $4,500 | $3.29 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 25324 Lychee Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 14184 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,947 | $1.43 | 22d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 14221 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 2014 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $6,000 | $4.39 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 14194 Heritage Landing Blvd #614 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,995 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 14201 Heritage Landing Blvd #1312 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 14201 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1338 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $6,000 | $4.61 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 14191 Heritage Landing Blvd #1214 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,585 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 14161 Heritage Landing Blvd #1118 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14271 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $6,500 | $4.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14141 Heritage Landing Blvd #922 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 14141 Heritage Landing Blvd #935 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $5,500 | $4.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 14121 Heritage Landing Blvd #743 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $6,000 | $5.36 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 14091 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $5,000 | $4.32 | 22d | 2 | 1.42mi |
| 14091 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit Reservation spot 1 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $5,000 | $4.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14081 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $5,750 | $4.89 | 22d | 2 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$174,900 Active 7 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,776 · $231/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,776 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$2,776
- − Insurance
- −$1,672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,315
- − Management
- −$2,315
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $4,977
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,214/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Burnt Store Marina
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #6145
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,399
- Household income
- $76,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 226.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.71%
- Current HPI
- 242.9043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+157.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $174,900 FSBO.com
- 2011-03-30 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-14 Listed $52,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,776 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…