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15550 Burnt Store Rd #227
B- Composite 67.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

15550 Burnt Store Rd #227 · Burnt Store Marina, FL 33955
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1984 Est $166k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic Home in a very active community. Spacious open plan filled with light. Large open lving room opens to enclosed screened lanai through sliding glass doors. All appliances including washer & dryer stay. Active 55+ community with many social events. Not just a home but a lifestyle. VIRTUALLY EVERY ADVANTAGE of the good life is part of everyday real life in Florida. Warm, sunny days tailor-made for your favorite recreation. Residents lead active lifestyle, with a wide variety of activities on-site and nearby. Join your neighbors for a relaxing day by the community swimming pool, or join the Golf leagues engaging in a spirited round of golf or a challenging game of tennis. Many Burnt Store residents enjoy these amenities and more, The social life dining dancing and more is active and fun.

Key facts

  • New lighting
  • Cabinets refaced
  • Storage galore

Tags

EASY CARE PORCELAIN TILECABINETS REFACEDSTORAGE GALORENEW LIGHTING5 CEILINGS FANSCUSTOM ROMAN SHADES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Controlled access
  • Home design: Built in 1984
  • Exterior features: Patio; Sunroom; Workshop; Controlled access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Pantry; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Interior features: Sunroom; Patio; Workshop; Controlled access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.8% in Burnt Store Marina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#354 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 1481 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $175k implies a 337% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
10.98%
Cash-on-cash
16.76%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,984
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15550 Burnt Store Rd #218 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,274 (+2%) 2mo $170,000 $133 94
15550 Burnt Store Rd #86 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,414 (+13%) 3mo $184,500 $130 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$11,066
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$60,615
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33955

Home prices YoY
-24.5%
Active inventory
1481
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,412 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$231 /mo · $2,776/yr
Insurance
$73
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$506
Net cashflow
$617

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,630
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $716 -5% $667 +0% $617 +5% $568 +10% $518
Rent -10% $427 -5% $522 +0% $617 +5% $713 +10% $808
Rate -1.0pp $705 -0.5pp $662 base $617 +0.5pp $572 +1.0pp $526

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14040 Heritage Landing Blvd #113 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1438 $6,500 $4.52 22d 1 0.65mi
14271 Heritage Landing Blvd #1527 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1422 $2,800 $1.97 22d 1 0.76mi
14261 Heritage Landing Blvd #1615 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $6,000 $4.39 22d 1 0.81mi
14251 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1713 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $4,800 $3.51 14d 1 0.85mi
14251 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1723 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $6,000 $4.39 22d 1 0.85mi
14224 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $4,500 $3.29 22d 1 0.88mi
25324 Lychee Ct Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,800 $1.47 22d 1 0.88mi
14184 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $1,947 $1.43 22d 2 0.94mi
14221 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 2014 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $6,000 $4.39 22d 1 1.00mi
14194 Heritage Landing Blvd #614 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $1,995 $1.46 22d 1 1.01mi
14201 Heritage Landing Blvd #1312 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $1,750 $1.52 22d 1 1.09mi
14201 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1338 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $6,000 $4.61 22d 1 1.09mi
14191 Heritage Landing Blvd #1214 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,585 $1.42 22d 1 1.14mi
14161 Heritage Landing Blvd #1118 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1407 $1,800 $1.28 22d 1 1.22mi
14271 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $6,500 $4.80 22d 1 1.22mi
14141 Heritage Landing Blvd #922 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,200 $1.91 22d 1 1.27mi
14141 Heritage Landing Blvd #935 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $5,500 $4.91 22d 1 1.27mi
14121 Heritage Landing Blvd #743 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $6,000 $5.36 22d 1 1.34mi
14091 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1157 $5,000 $4.32 22d 2 1.42mi
14091 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit Reservation spot 1 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1194 $5,000 $4.19 22d 1 1.42mi
14081 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1176 $5,750 $4.89 22d 2 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $174,900 Active 7 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,776 · $231/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,776 · $231/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,940
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$2,776
− Insurance
−$1,672
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,315
− Management
−$2,315
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable income
$4,977
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,194
After-tax cash flow
$6,214/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Burnt Store Marina

Score
72/100
State rank
#354
US rank
#6145

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
City population
68,831
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
12,399
Household income
$76,943
Rent vs Own
9.5% rent · 90.5% own
Severe rent burden
226.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.71%
Current HPI
242.9043
Rent YoY
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+157.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $174,900 FSBO.com
  • 2011-03-30 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-03-14 Listed $52,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,776 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…