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214 Fairhope Dr
D Composite 41.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$204,000

214 Fairhope Dr · Sterlington, LA 71280
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · SingleFamily · 86 Days on market
Good condition $110/sqft · 43% above area Est $143k · 43% over ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready for you to move convenient to downtown Monroe

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 86 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $204k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-668/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (3.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $57k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,410 (16.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.17%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,707
List price
$204,000
Delta
42.95%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
206 Taylor Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 2,062 (+12%) 16mo $145,000 $70 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$107,585
Equity at exit
$183,779
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
6.60×
Total profit
$319,658
Equity at exit
$396,327

Cash invested: $57,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71280

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,714 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,070
Tax est. 1.5%
$255 /mo · $3,060/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$-56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,785
Max offer price $195,946
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $85 -5% $15 +0% $-56 +5% $-126 +10% $-197
Rent -10% $-191 -5% $-123 +0% $-56 +5% $12 +10% $80
Rate -1.0pp $47 -0.5pp $-4 base $-56 +0.5pp $-109 +1.0pp $-162

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,000
Closing costs
$6,120
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    price $204,000 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready for you to move convenient to downtown Monroe

  2. 2026-04-27
    status Active 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready for you to move convenient to downtown Monroe

  3. 2026-04-14
    status Pending 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready for you to move convenient to downtown Monroe

  4. 2026-04-04
    price $251,000 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready for you to move convenient to downtown Monroe

  5. 2026-02-19
    listed $261,000 Active 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bath home is ready for you to move convenient to downtown Monroe

  6. 2023-03-25
    price $239,000
  7. 2023-02-14
    listed $245,000 Active
  8. 2020-07-21
    soldstatus
  9. 2020-02-13
    listed $219,095

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,569
− Mortgage interest
−$11,427
− Property taxes
−$3,060
− Insurance
−$1,020
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,646
− Management
−$1,646
− Depreciation
−$5,935
Taxable loss
−$4,164
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$999
After-tax cash flow
$331/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is move-in ready with good condition and fresh curb appeal. Minor updates like painting and flooring can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint fresh coats — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior finish
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Hardwood floors are more durable and add value for both resale and rental
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint fresh coats — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior finish
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Hardwood floors are more durable and add value for both resale and rental
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices improve convenience and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ouachita Parish
NCES district ID
2201200
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$43,316
Composite
32.14/100
National rank
#5791
State rank
#26 of 98 in LA

Livability — Sterlington

Score
70/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#7741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sterlington, LA
Population (ZIP)
4,999

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,370 people
By 2030
165,520 · +1.3%
By 2040
167,652 · +2.6%
By 2050
166,699 · +2.0%
By 2075
156,348 · -4.3%
By 2100
134,102 · -17.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.14%
Current HPI
283.4492
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $204,000 NELABOR
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted NELABOR
  • 2026-04-14 Pending NELABOR
  • 2026-04-04 Price Changed $251,000 NELABOR
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $261,000 NELABOR
  • 2023-03-25 Price Changed $239,000 NELABOR
  • 2023-02-14 Listed $245,000 NELABOR
  • 2020-07-21 Sold (MLS) NELABOR
  • 2020-02-13 Listed $219,095 NELABOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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