804 Water St · Pottsville, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom with garage. Move-in ready! Perfect for a starter home or investment property! Finished attic that can be used for forth bedroom. Furnace can be fueled by coal or oil. Check out property next door at 806 Water St. also for sale Reduced price if purchasing both properties.
Key facts
- New floors
- Recently remodeled
- Freshly painted
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached basement garage with front entry (2 garage spaces); On-street parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached home; Above-grade finished living space (estimated 1,274 sq. ft.); Not located in a federal flood zone
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Detached structure; Lot dimensions approximately 20 x 180
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water baseboard heating; Oil heating fuel
- Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Basement; Attic
- Laundry & utility: Hot water is electric
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-809/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (8.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#442 in PA, #4,025 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Pottsville Area SD (town): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #395 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Clarke El Ctr (math 26% / reading 49%, grade F, #997 of 1,518 statewide, top 66%, 805 students, 70% FRL); Lengel Ms (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #355 of 512 statewide, top 70%, 699 students, 66% FRL); Pottsville Area Hs (math 52% / reading 74%, grade B-, #69 of 437 statewide, top 16%, 898 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $145k implies a 624% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.35%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,261
- List price
- $144,900
- Delta
- 4.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 Peacock St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (-2%) | 2mo | $97,000 | $78 | 77 |
| 331 E Arch St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+2%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $62 | 59 |
| 105 Mill Creek Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,342 (+5%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $63 | 56 |
| 519 N 3rd St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-1%) | 23mo | $55,000 | $44 | 49 |
| 901 Fairview St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,388 (+9%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $104 | 46 |
| 210 W Railroad St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,450 (+14%) | 19mo | $180,000 | $124 | 46 |
| 607 N 8th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+10%) | 10mo | $196,000 | $140 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-23,859
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-9,357
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17901
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,364 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$269 /mo · $3,230/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $-67
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $15 | -5% $-26 | +0% $-67 | +5% $-108 | +10% $-149 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-175 | -5% $-121 | +0% $-67 | +5% $-14 | +10% $40 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $6 | -0.5pp $-31 | base $-67 | +0.5pp $-105 | +1.0pp $-143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612 N 2nd St Pottsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1742 | $1,295 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 210 Harrison St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1078 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 536 E Arch St Pottsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $975 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 517 E Arch St Pottsville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 8 N Wolfe St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 525 E Market St Pottsville, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 321 N 3rd St Pottsville, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 426 Adams St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 631 W Race St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 909 Mahantongo St Unit 1 Pottsville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 119 S 11th St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 72 E Bacon St Pottsville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1640 | $1,300 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $144,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $144,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $144,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $144,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $149,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $149,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $164,900 278-char remark
-
2026-05-05$174,900 Active 278-char remark
-
2019-07-05soldstatus $20,000 Closed 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom with garage. Move-in ready! Perfect for a starter home or investment property! Finished attic that can be used for forth bedroom. Furnace can be fueled by coal or oil. Check out property next door at 806 Water St. also for sale Reduced price if purchasing both properties.
-
2019-05-17status Pending 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom with garage. Move-in ready! Perfect for a starter home or investment property! Finished attic that can be used for forth bedroom. Furnace can be fueled by coal or oil. Check out property next door at 806 Water St. also for sale Reduced price if purchasing both properties.
-
2019-04-03price $24,000 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom with garage. Move-in ready! Perfect for a starter home or investment property! Finished attic that can be used for forth bedroom. Furnace can be fueled by coal or oil. Check out property next door at 806 Water St. also for sale Reduced price if purchasing both properties.
-
2019-01-17$26,000 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom with garage. Move-in ready! Perfect for a starter home or investment property! Finished attic that can be used for forth bedroom. Furnace can be fueled by coal or oil. Check out property next door at 806 Water St. also for sale Reduced price if purchasing both properties.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,230 · $269/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,230 · $269/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$3,230
- − Insurance
- −$1,391
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,309
- − Management
- −$1,309
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$3,204
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$769
- After-tax cash flow
- $-40/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pottsville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,157
- Composite
- 31.32/100
- National rank
- #6002
- State rank
- #395 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pottsville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #442
- US rank
- #4025
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pottsville, PA
- County
- Schuylkill County · 22,371 people
- City population
- 22,371
- Metro
- Pottsville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,371
- Household income
- $62,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 622.0
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Iranian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.14%
- Current HPI
- 200.6516
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.70%
- Metro
- Pottsville, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+457.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $154,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $164,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $174,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-07-05 Sold (MLS) $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-17 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-03 Price Changed $24,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-01-17 Listed $26,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+11.1%/yrLatest (2026): $3,230 · +136.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…