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200 Haddock Rd
F Composite 34.96
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.7/30.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$239,900

200 Haddock Rd · McAdoo, PA 18237
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1925 4,792 sqft lot Est $193k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 8 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fans; Electric, oil, and baseboard heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Dining room fireplace; Full unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (11.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (29.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#811 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mcadoo-Kelayres El/Ms (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,323 of 1,518 statewide, top 89%, 839 students, 100% FRL); Hazleton Area Hs (math 53% / reading 8%, grade F, #347 of 437 statewide, top 79%, 3,795 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 60% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $168,923 (29.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.83%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$193,200
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 James St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,613 (-4%) 1mo $185,000 $115 80
32 Grove St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,616 (-4%) 13mo $215,000 $133 68
10 Bridge St 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,440 (-14%) 15mo $220,000 $153 49
427 S Hancock St 0.50mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,596 (-5%) 24mo $142,000 $89 43
44 Monroe St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,485 (-12%) 11mo $145,000 $98 43
43 Washington St 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,656 (-1%) 19mo $155,000 $94 38
606 Mountain Top Ter 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,500 (-11%) 23mo $235,000 $157 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$120,476
Equity at exit
$216,121
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
6.40×
Total profit
$362,577
Equity at exit
$466,073

Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18237

Home prices YoY
14.9%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,689 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,258
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,621/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$355
Net cashflow
$-159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,890
Max offer price $211,874
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-23 -5% $-91 +0% $-159 +5% $-227 +10% $-294
Rent -10% $-292 -5% $-225 +0% $-159 +5% $-92 +10% $-25
Rate -1.0pp $-38 -0.5pp $-98 base $-159 +0.5pp $-221 +1.0pp $-284

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,975
Closing costs
$7,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $239,900 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,900 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-05-28
    listed $239,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,621 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,706 · $225/mo
Expected delta
+$1,084/yr (+$90/mo · 66.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,271
− Mortgage interest
−$13,438
− Property taxes
−$1,621
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,622
− Management
−$1,622
− Depreciation
−$6,979
Taxable loss
−$6,211
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,491
After-tax cash flow
$-413/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazleton Area SD
NCES district ID
4211700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$42,247
Composite
20.44/100
National rank
#8582
State rank
#476 of 539 in PA

Livability — McAdoo

Score
69/100
State rank
#811
US rank
#8252

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,808

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 16% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1% Dominican 15%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Subsaharan African 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 31.48%
Current HPI
242.9507
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $239,900 LCAR

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,621 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…