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5 Washington
B+ Composite 77.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$120,000

5 Washington · Liberty, NY 12754
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,254 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 305 Days on market
Built 1954

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your vision to life with this amazing opportunity to reimagine a property from the ground up. Stripped down to the studs, this home offers a clean slate for investors with a creative eye, located in the Village of Liberty this property is truly a diamond in the rough. With 3 beds and 1 bath the layout is ready for customization and the possibilities are endless. Whether you’re looking to flip, build your dream home, or create a high-yield rental, this project is primed for profit. All utilities ready for reconnection. Close to shops, restaurants, and schools. This property is being sold as-is! Motivated Seller!

Key facts

  • Close to restaurants
  • Close to schools
  • Close to shops

Tags

CLOSE TO SHOPSCLOSE TO RESTAURANTSCLOSE TO SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; No carport
  • Utilities: Electric service provided by NYSEG; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Living area per public records
  • Construction: Advanced framing technique (construction material)
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront; Advanced framing technique construction

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedrooms and living spaces combined)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No cooling; No heating listed (other heating noted)
  • Interior features: Basement is full; Basement present; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#890 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Liberty Central School District (town): math 31% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #569 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 691 students, 64% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #664 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 529 students, 68% FRL); Liberty High School (math 92% / reading 70%, grade A, #495 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 596 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 48% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Liberty Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 305 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $120k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 305 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.30%
Cash-on-cash
17.87%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,768
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
241 W Lake St 0.05mi 3/1.5 1,173 (-6%) 7mo $276,000 $235 79
326 West Lake St 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,280 (+2%) 4mo $188,000 $147 77
138 Chestnut 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,248 (-0%) 10mo $200,000 $160 75
109 Lake St 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,158 (-8%) 1mo $182,500 $158 70
9 Hope St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,111 (-11%) 3mo $217,500 $196 63
8 Spur St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,216 (-3%) 22mo $265,000 $218 62
2 Cross St 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,268 (+1%) 20mo $120,000 $95 59
25 Albion St 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,125 (-10%) 2mo $271,000 $241 54
287 W Lake St 0.11mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,122 (-10%) 23mo $215,000 $192 53
28 Long Dr 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-8%) 19mo $220,000 $191 40
13 Cooper Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (-12%) 19mo $249,000 $226 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.6%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$97,264
Equity at exit
$108,106
10-year hold
IRR
32.4%
Equity multiple
8.78×
Total profit
$261,450
Equity at exit
$233,134

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12754

Home prices YoY
28.0%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,716 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,110/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$500

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,082
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $568 -5% $534 +0% $500 +5% $466 +10% $432
Rent -10% $365 -5% $433 +0% $500 +5% $568 +10% $636
Rate -1.0pp $561 -0.5pp $531 base $500 +0.5pp $469 +1.0pp $438

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18 Carrier St Unit 2 Liberty, NY 3.0 1.0 950 $1,700 $1.79 20d 1 0.27mi
90 Champlin Ave Unit 1 Liberty, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 45d 1 0.55mi
7 Law St Unit PH Liberty, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 15d 1 0.60mi
299 S Main St Unit 2 Liberty, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $1,575 $1.75 24d 1 0.85mi
11 Orange Ln Unit 9 Liberty, NY 2.0 2.0 995 $1,769 $1.78 24d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 305 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 304 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 303 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 302 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 300 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 299 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 297 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 296 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 295 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 294 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 290 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 289 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 288 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 287 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 286 DOM
  16. 2026-02-19
    price $120,000
  17. 2026-02-19
    status Active
  18. 2026-02-03
    historical
  19. 2025-10-29
    price $130,000
  20. 2025-08-01
    listed $145,000 Active
  21. 2023-04-07
    soldstatus $78,000
  22. 2023-02-27
    soldstatus $75,000
  23. 2022-05-20
    soldstatus $105,000
  24. 2017-02-01
    soldstatus $10,600
  25. 2007-02-23
    soldstatus $89,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,110 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,110 · $176/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,589
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,110
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,647
− Management
−$1,647
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$4,372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,049
After-tax cash flow
$4,955/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Liberty Central School District
NCES district ID
3617220
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,542
Composite
27.65/100
National rank
#6920
State rank
#569 of 590 in NY

Livability — Liberty

Score
62/100
State rank
#890
US rank
#17254

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Liberty, NY
City population
8,525
Population (ZIP)
8,525

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,974 people
By 2030
65,609 · -4.9%
By 2040
58,878 · -14.6%
By 2050
52,500 · -23.9%
By 2075
39,941 · -42.1%
By 2100
28,880 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 100.10%
Current HPI
457.3342
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $120,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $130,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $145,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2023-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2017-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,600 Public Records
  • 2007-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,110 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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