5 Washington · Liberty, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your vision to life with this amazing opportunity to reimagine a property from the ground up. Stripped down to the studs, this home offers a clean slate for investors with a creative eye, located in the Village of Liberty this property is truly a diamond in the rough. With 3 beds and 1 bath the layout is ready for customization and the possibilities are endless. Whether you’re looking to flip, build your dream home, or create a high-yield rental, this project is primed for profit. All utilities ready for reconnection. Close to shops, restaurants, and schools. This property is being sold as-is! Motivated Seller!
Key facts
- Close to restaurants
- Close to schools
- Close to shops
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; No carport
- Utilities: Electric service provided by NYSEG; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; Living area per public records
- Construction: Advanced framing technique (construction material)
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; Advanced framing technique construction
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedrooms and living spaces combined)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No cooling; No heating listed (other heating noted)
- Interior features: Basement is full; Basement present; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#890 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Liberty Central School District (town): math 31% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #569 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 691 students, 64% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #664 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 529 students, 68% FRL); Liberty High School (math 92% / reading 70%, grade A, #495 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 596 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 48% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Liberty Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 305 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $120k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 305 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.87%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,768
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 W Lake St | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,173 (-6%) | 7mo | $276,000 | $235 | 79 |
| 326 West Lake St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,280 (+2%) | 4mo | $188,000 | $147 | 77 |
| 138 Chestnut | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-0%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $160 | 75 |
| 109 Lake St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,158 (-8%) | 1mo | $182,500 | $158 | 70 |
| 9 Hope St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,111 (-11%) | 3mo | $217,500 | $196 | 63 |
| 8 Spur St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-3%) | 22mo | $265,000 | $218 | 62 |
| 2 Cross St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,268 (+1%) | 20mo | $120,000 | $95 | 59 |
| 25 Albion St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,125 (-10%) | 2mo | $271,000 | $241 | 54 |
| 287 W Lake St | 0.11mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,122 (-10%) | 23mo | $215,000 | $192 | 53 |
| 28 Long Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-8%) | 19mo | $220,000 | $191 | 40 |
| 13 Cooper Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-12%) | 19mo | $249,000 | $226 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $97,264
- Equity at exit
- $108,106
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.78×
- Total profit
- $261,450
- Equity at exit
- $233,134
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12754
- Home prices YoY
- 28.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,716 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $568 | -5% $534 | +0% $500 | +5% $466 | +10% $432 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $365 | -5% $433 | +0% $500 | +5% $568 | +10% $636 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $561 | -0.5pp $531 | base $500 | +0.5pp $469 | +1.0pp $438 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Carrier St Unit 2 Liberty, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,700 | $1.79 | 20d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 90 Champlin Ave Unit 1 Liberty, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7 Law St Unit PH Liberty, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 299 S Main St Unit 2 Liberty, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,575 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11 Orange Ln Unit 9 Liberty, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,769 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-02-19price $120,000
-
2026-02-19status Active
-
2026-02-03historical
-
2025-10-29price $130,000
-
2025-08-01$145,000 Active
-
2023-04-07soldstatus $78,000
-
2023-02-27soldstatus $75,000
-
2022-05-20soldstatus $105,000
-
2017-02-01soldstatus $10,600
-
2007-02-23soldstatus $89,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,110 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,110 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,589
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,110
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,647
- − Management
- −$1,647
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $4,372
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,049
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Liberty Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3617220
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,542
- Composite
- 27.65/100
- National rank
- #6920
- State rank
- #569 of 590 in NY
Livability — Liberty
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #890
- US rank
- #17254
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Liberty, NY
- City population
- 8,525
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,525
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,974 people
- By 2030
- 65,609 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 58,878 · -14.6%
- By 2050
- 52,500 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 39,941 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 28,880 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 100.10%
- Current HPI
- 457.3342
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+34.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $120,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-03 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $130,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-01 Listed $145,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2023-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,600 Public Records
- 2007-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,110 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…