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77 Seventh St
B+ Composite 77.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$150,000

77 Seventh St · Salem, NJ 08079
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,386 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1920 2,500 sqft lot Est $197k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

“Second chance opportunity! Back on the market due to buyer financing issues—no fault of the home. Welcome to this beautifully renovated four-bedroom, one-bath home located in Salem, New Jersey. This move-in-ready property has been fully updated from top to bottom, featuring a brand-new kitchen with new appliances, stylish cabinetry, and modern finishes. Enjoy peace of mind with a new roof, new windows throughout, and durable new vinyl plank flooring that flows seamlessly through the home. A one-year home warranty is included for added buyer confidence. With a fresh, clean interior and thoughtful upgrades, this home offers comfort, functionality, and value. Perfect for homeowner

Key facts

  • Built 1920
  • Listed 134 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 20 x 125

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (all upper levels)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Oil fuel; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Full basement; Two or more access exits

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,055/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $467 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-570 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $150k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.74%
Cash-on-cash
15.88%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$196,812
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
318 Fenwick Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-3%) 3mo $191,250 $142 69
170 Johnson St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,417 (+2%) 9mo $180,000 $127 67
363 Grant St 0.37mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,424 (+3%) 0mo $250,000 $176 67
272 E Broadway 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (+8%) 1mo $65,000 $43 59
304 New Market St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,310 (-6%) 4mo $186,000 $142 56
352 Allen Ave 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,460 (+5%) 6mo $225,000 $154 53
215 Sinnickson St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,362 (-2%) 13mo $129,000 $95 51
207 9th St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,562 (+13%) 8mo $230,000 $147 51
164 N Union St 0.46mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,516 (+9%) 9mo $199,000 $131 48
264 E Broadway 0.36mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,584 (+14%) 5mo $150,000 $95 48
200 Smith St 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,212 (-13%) 10mo $140,000 $116 36
115 Chestnut St 0.67mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,282 (-8%) 8mo $185,000 $144 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$28,406
Equity at exit
$40,725
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$87,251
Equity at exit
$46,749

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,055 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$219 /mo · $2,623/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$556

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,352
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23 7th St Unit B Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 3d 1 0.10mi
37 Eighth St Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,850 $1.69 1d 1 0.10mi
270-272 Grant St Salem, NJ 4.0 1.0 1644 $2,100 $1.28 5d 1 0.17mi
332 E Broadway Salem, NJ 3.0 2.0 1844 $1,980 $1.07 44d 1 0.55mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-05-20
    price $150,000
  8. 2026-04-29
    price $160,000
  9. 2026-04-29
    price $150,000
  10. 2026-04-27
    status Active
  11. 2026-03-24
    status Pending
  12. 2026-03-24
    price $170,000
  13. 2026-03-05
    status Active
  14. 2026-03-03
    status Pending
  15. 2026-02-25
    price $160,000
  16. 2026-02-10
    price $165,000
  17. 2026-01-18
    price $170,000
  18. 2025-12-17
    listed $180,000 Active
  19. 1991-10-01
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,623 · $219/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,179 · $265/mo
Expected delta
+$556/yr (+$46/mo · 21.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,662
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,623
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,973
− Management
−$1,973
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$4,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,098
After-tax cash flow
$5,572/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+57.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-24 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-05 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-18 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1991-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,623 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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