139 Jungfrau Dr · Penn Estates, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CALLING ALL VISIONARIES, INVESTORS, AND BRAVE SOULS! This 3BD/2BTH Ranch is unique in every way and offers over 1,100sf of living space, a large screened-in front porch, and is tucked away on 0.72 tree-lined acres on a quiet cul-de-sac in Alpine Lake Estates! If you've been waiting for a project that truly tests your creativity (and possibly your tool collection), you've come to the right place! This home is not for the faint of heart--but for the right person, it's a blank canvas with serious potential. Bring your contractor, your imagination and a strong cup of coffee! HGTV Fans--this is your moment! Features include vaulted ceilings; a spacious Living Room with skylight, a fireplace with floor-to-ceiling stone surround, double sliders lead out to the screened front porch; 2 Bedrooms with private full baths; closets with built-in storage throughout; an Eat-In Kitchen with newer tile floors, countertop and backsplash. The home is light, bright, and has a nicely landscaped front yard and a spacious back yard--great for kids and pets. Enjoy a short walk to the community lake, beach, and recreation area, with convenient access to major roads, shopping, skiing, Camelback Mountain Resort, and other local attractions. Built in 1966 with a septic replacement in 2013. No FHA/VA/USDA financing and NO SHORT-TERM RENTALS permitted. Seller will NOT be making repairs and the home is SOLD AS-IS. CHECK OUT OUR VIRTUAL TOUR AND SCHEDULE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY!
Key facts
- Cul de sac
- Vaulted ceilings
- Tree lined acres
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee of $600 annually
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electric service with 150 amps and circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-story home; Exterior entry to crawl space/basement
- Construction: T1-11 and wood siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Crawl space foundation; Year built: unknown
- Exterior features: Front porch; Screened porch with corrugated roofing and carpeting; Shed(s) on property; Propane tank (leased); Property located on a cul-de-sac; Wooded lot; Private road access (unimproved surface)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with dining area; Built-in cabinetry and storage; Formica countertops with tile backsplash; Tile floors; Propane stove
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first level with large single vanity, built-in storage, lighted mirror, laundry closet with shelving, built-in make-up area, single shower with glass door, double closet with built-in shelving; Second bedroom on first level fits king bed with slider to yard; Third bedroom on first level with laminate floors, large closet with built-in shelving, crown and chair molding (fits twin bed); Fourth bedroom on first level with laminate floors, single closet with built-in shelves, bookcases, double window, attic access, private full bath (fits full bed)
- Flooring: Laminate floors; Resilient (vinyl) floors; Tile floors; Carpet in screened porch
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Full bath with tub, tile surround, window, vinyl tile floors, lighted medicine chest, single vanity with storage; Primary bath with single shower and large single vanity
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Propane heating; Fireplace heating (living room); Ceiling fan(s) for cooling; Living room gas log fireplace with insert
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Vaulted ceilings; Skylights; Walk-in closet(s); Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and electric dryer included; Electric dryer hookup on main level; Laundry closet with shelving (full-size machines)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($123/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (5.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.8% in Penn Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#915 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $175k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.25%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,906
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -33.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Tannenbaum Way | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 972 (-10%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $190 | 67 |
| 2139 Lake Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-7%) | 9mo | $212,500 | $211 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $4,332
- Equity at exit
- $60,093
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $38,193
- Equity at exit
- $80,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18332
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$253 /mo · $3,031/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 349 Shine Hill Rd Henryville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,650 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 1502-char remark
Show marketing remark (1469 chars)
CALLING ALL VISIONARIES, INVESTORS, AND BRAVE SOULS! This 3BD/2BTH Ranch is unique in every way and offers over 1,100sf of living space, a large screened-in front porch, and is tucked away on 0.72 tree-lined acres on a quiet cul-de-sac in Alpine Lake Estates! If you've been waiting for a project that truly tests your creativity (and possibly your tool collection), you've come to the right place! This home is not for the faint of heart--but for the right person, it's a blank canvas with serious potential. Bring your contractor, your imagination and a strong cup of coffee! HGTV Fans--this is your moment! Features include vaulted ceilings; a spacious Living Room with skylight, a fireplace with floor-to-ceiling stone surround, double sliders lead out to the screened front porch; 2 Bedrooms with private full baths; closets with built-in storage throughout; an Eat-In Kitchen with newer tile floors, countertop and backsplash. The home is light, bright, and has a nicely landscaped front yard and a spacious back yard--great for kids and pets. Enjoy a short walk to the community lake, beach, and recreation area, with convenient access to major roads, shopping, skiing, Camelback Mountain Resort, and other local attractions. Built in 1966 with a septic replacement in 2013. No FHA/VA/USDA financing and NO SHORT-TERM RENTALS permitted. Seller will NOT be making repairs and the home is SOLD AS-IS. CHECK OUT OUR VIRTUAL TOUR AND SCHEDULE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY!
-
2026-05-12status Pending 1469-char remark
Show marketing remark (1469 chars)
CALLING ALL VISIONARIES, INVESTORS, AND BRAVE SOULS! This 3BD/2BTH Ranch is unique in every way and offers over 1,100sf of living space, a large screened-in front porch, and is tucked away on 0.72 tree-lined acres on a quiet cul-de-sac in Alpine Lake Estates! If you've been waiting for a project that truly tests your creativity (and possibly your tool collection), you've come to the right place! This home is not for the faint of heart--but for the right person, it's a blank canvas with serious potential. Bring your contractor, your imagination and a strong cup of coffee! HGTV Fans--this is your moment! Features include vaulted ceilings; a spacious Living Room with skylight, a fireplace with floor-to-ceiling stone surround, double sliders lead out to the screened front porch; 2 Bedrooms with private full baths; closets with built-in storage throughout; an Eat-In Kitchen with newer tile floors, countertop and backsplash. The home is light, bright, and has a nicely landscaped front yard and a spacious back yard--great for kids and pets. Enjoy a short walk to the community lake, beach, and recreation area, with convenient access to major roads, shopping, skiing, Camelback Mountain Resort, and other local attractions. Built in 1966 with a septic replacement in 2013. No FHA/VA/USDA financing and NO SHORT-TERM RENTALS permitted. Seller will NOT be making repairs and the home is SOLD AS-IS. CHECK OUT OUR VIRTUAL TOUR AND SCHEDULE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY!
-
2026-04-24$175,000 Active 1502-char remark
Show marketing remark (1469 chars)
CALLING ALL VISIONARIES, INVESTORS, AND BRAVE SOULS! This 3BD/2BTH Ranch is unique in every way and offers over 1,100sf of living space, a large screened-in front porch, and is tucked away on 0.72 tree-lined acres on a quiet cul-de-sac in Alpine Lake Estates! If you've been waiting for a project that truly tests your creativity (and possibly your tool collection), you've come to the right place! This home is not for the faint of heart--but for the right person, it's a blank canvas with serious potential. Bring your contractor, your imagination and a strong cup of coffee! HGTV Fans--this is your moment! Features include vaulted ceilings; a spacious Living Room with skylight, a fireplace with floor-to-ceiling stone surround, double sliders lead out to the screened front porch; 2 Bedrooms with private full baths; closets with built-in storage throughout; an Eat-In Kitchen with newer tile floors, countertop and backsplash. The home is light, bright, and has a nicely landscaped front yard and a spacious back yard--great for kids and pets. Enjoy a short walk to the community lake, beach, and recreation area, with convenient access to major roads, shopping, skiing, Camelback Mountain Resort, and other local attractions. Built in 1966 with a septic replacement in 2013. No FHA/VA/USDA financing and NO SHORT-TERM RENTALS permitted. Seller will NOT be making repairs and the home is SOLD AS-IS. CHECK OUT OUR VIRTUAL TOUR AND SCHEDULE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY!
-
2026-04-24$175,000 Active 1469-char remark
Show marketing remark (1469 chars)
CALLING ALL VISIONARIES, INVESTORS, AND BRAVE SOULS! This 3BD/2BTH Ranch is unique in every way and offers over 1,100sf of living space, a large screened-in front porch, and is tucked away on 0.72 tree-lined acres on a quiet cul-de-sac in Alpine Lake Estates! If you've been waiting for a project that truly tests your creativity (and possibly your tool collection), you've come to the right place! This home is not for the faint of heart--but for the right person, it's a blank canvas with serious potential. Bring your contractor, your imagination and a strong cup of coffee! HGTV Fans--this is your moment! Features include vaulted ceilings; a spacious Living Room with skylight, a fireplace with floor-to-ceiling stone surround, double sliders lead out to the screened front porch; 2 Bedrooms with private full baths; closets with built-in storage throughout; an Eat-In Kitchen with newer tile floors, countertop and backsplash. The home is light, bright, and has a nicely landscaped front yard and a spacious back yard--great for kids and pets. Enjoy a short walk to the community lake, beach, and recreation area, with convenient access to major roads, shopping, skiing, Camelback Mountain Resort, and other local attractions. Built in 1966 with a septic replacement in 2013. No FHA/VA/USDA financing and NO SHORT-TERM RENTALS permitted. Seller will NOT be making repairs and the home is SOLD AS-IS. CHECK OUT OUR VIRTUAL TOUR AND SCHEDULE YOUR APPOINTMENT TODAY!
-
2013-10-29soldstatus $95,000
-
1988-07-28soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,031 · $253/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,031 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$3,031
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,768
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$664
- After-tax cash flow
- $787/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Penn Estates
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #915
- US rank
- #9917
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,692
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.04%
- Current HPI
- 168.6948
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+133.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-04-24 Listed $175,000 PMAR
- 2026-04-24 Listed $175,000 GLVRMLS
- 2013-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 1988-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $3,031 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…