Triplex
1235 Ward Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$1,150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Bronx/Soundview section. INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY ! R6 zoning, lot size size 25x100, building size 20x66. Fully brick huge semi attached legal 3 family. 2 story with semi above ground unfinished basement with high ceiling and windows and 2 car parking spots at the back of the house. 1/fl huge 3-4 bedroom apt. 2/fl front 1 bedroom apt. 2/fl back 2 bedroom apt. 3 electrical and 3 gas meters and yearly real estate tax only $2,400. Walk to #6 train Elder Ave stop and close to all.
Key facts
- Lot size 25x100
- R6 zoning
- Fully brick
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.15M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $637/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.09M (5.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.09M (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $55k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $47k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $322k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$88k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.12M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.12%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $979,440
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1253 Ward Ave | 0.04mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,544 (0%) | 6mo | $1,100,000 | $432 | 88 |
| 1270 Rosedale Ave | 0.48mi | 6/3.0 | 2,560 (+1%) | 2mo | $999,999 | $391 | 75 |
| 1333 Bronx River Ave | 0.24mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,600 (+2%) | 4mo | $875,000 | $337 | 72 |
| 1036 Metcalf Ave | 0.44mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,500 (-2%) | 2mo | $870,000 | $348 | 66 |
| 1002 Boynton Ave | 0.41mi | 6/3.0 | 2,717 (+7%) | 4mo | $985,000 | $363 | 66 |
| 1238 Colgate Ave | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,802 (+10%) | 2mo | $835,000 | $298 | 62 |
| 1248 Noble Ave | 0.43mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,593 (+2%) | 7mo | $999,000 | $385 | 62 |
| 1004 Boynton Ave | 0.41mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,717 (+7%) | 5mo | $885,000 | $326 | 60 |
| 1261 Fteley Ave | 0.31mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,296 (-10%) | 6mo | $999,000 | $435 | 56 |
| 1337 Commonwealth Ave | 0.54mi | 6/2.0 | 2,680 (+5%) | 11mo | $1,075,000 | $401 | 53 |
| 1035 Bryant Ave | 0.71mi | 6/4.0 | 2,400 (-6%) | 4mo | $889,000 | $370 | 50 |
| 1106 Saint Lawrence Ave | 0.63mi | 6/2.0 | 2,800 (+10%) | 9mo | $1,100,000 | $393 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $326,980
- Equity at exit
- $588,661
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $913,425
- Equity at exit
- $967,292
Cash invested: $322,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10472
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 26.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,929 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,031
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$479
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,295
- Net cashflow
- $1,912
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $10,929 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,643 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,643 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $3,643 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,929 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $287,500
- Closing costs
- $34,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-02-19$1,150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,548 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,991 · $916/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8,444/yr (+$704/mo · 331.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $131,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$64,418
- − Property taxes
- −$2,548
- − Insurance
- −$5,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,492
- − Management
- −$10,492
- − Depreciation
- −$33,455
- Taxable income
- $3,994
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$959
- After-tax cash flow
- $21,982/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,820
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% White 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 20% Cuban 1% Dominican 20%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 52% Other Indo-European 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Current HPI
- 236.8002
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Listed $1,150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,548 · +14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…