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1235 Ward Ave Triplex
C- Composite 54.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$1,150,000

1235 Ward Ave · New York, NY 10472
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,544 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1930 2,500 sqft lot Est $979k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Bronx/Soundview section. INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY ! R6 zoning, lot size size 25x100, building size 20x66. Fully brick huge semi attached legal 3 family. 2 story with semi above ground unfinished basement with high ceiling and windows and 2 car parking spots at the back of the house. 1/fl huge 3-4 bedroom apt. 2/fl front 1 bedroom apt. 2/fl back 2 bedroom apt. 3 electrical and 3 gas meters and yearly real estate tax only $2,400. Walk to #6 train Elder Ave stop and close to all.

Key facts

  • Lot size 25x100
  • R6 zoning
  • Fully brick

Tags

R6 ZONINGLOT SIZE 25X100BUILDING SIZE 20X66FULLY BRICKSEMI ATTACHED LEGAL 3 FAMILYUNFINISHED BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.15M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $637/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.09M (5.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.09M (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $55k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $47k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $322k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$88k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.12M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,092,900 (5.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.29%
Cash-on-cash
7.12%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$979,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1253 Ward Ave 0.04mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,544 (0%) 6mo $1,100,000 $432 88
1270 Rosedale Ave 0.48mi 6/3.0 2,560 (+1%) 2mo $999,999 $391 75
1333 Bronx River Ave 0.24mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,600 (+2%) 4mo $875,000 $337 72
1036 Metcalf Ave 0.44mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,500 (-2%) 2mo $870,000 $348 66
1002 Boynton Ave 0.41mi 6/3.0 2,717 (+7%) 4mo $985,000 $363 66
1238 Colgate Ave 0.22mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,802 (+10%) 2mo $835,000 $298 62
1248 Noble Ave 0.43mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,593 (+2%) 7mo $999,000 $385 62
1004 Boynton Ave 0.41mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,717 (+7%) 5mo $885,000 $326 60
1261 Fteley Ave 0.31mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,296 (-10%) 6mo $999,000 $435 56
1337 Commonwealth Ave 0.54mi 6/2.0 2,680 (+5%) 11mo $1,075,000 $401 53
1035 Bryant Ave 0.71mi 6/4.0 2,400 (-6%) 4mo $889,000 $370 50
1106 Saint Lawrence Ave 0.63mi 6/2.0 2,800 (+10%) 9mo $1,100,000 $393 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$326,980
Equity at exit
$588,661
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
3.84×
Total profit
$913,425
Equity at exit
$967,292

Cash invested: $322,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10472

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
26.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$10,929 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,031
Tax from tax record
$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
Insurance
$479
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,295
Net cashflow
$1,912

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,509
Max offer price $1,150,000
Occupancy floor 78%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $10,929

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$287,500
Closing costs
$34,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-19
    listed $1,150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,548 · $212/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,991 · $916/mo
Expected delta
+$8,444/yr (+$704/mo · 331.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$131,148
− Mortgage interest
−$64,418
− Property taxes
−$2,548
− Insurance
−$5,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,492
− Management
−$10,492
− Depreciation
−$33,455
Taxable income
$3,994
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$959
After-tax cash flow
$21,982/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
City population
7,731,280
Population (ZIP)
63,820

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 62% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% White 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 20% Cuban 1% Dominican 20%
Foreign-born
40% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 52% Other Indo-European 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.08%
Current HPI
236.8002
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $1,150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,548 · +14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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