3950 171st Pl · Country Club Hills, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Natural light
- Split-level home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (owned); Asphalt driveway; Two garage spaces (two total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level / tri-level design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Screened porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Master bedroom on the second level; Additional bedrooms on second and lower levels
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Dining room; Family room (lower level); Living room (main level)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $200k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.27%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,814
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3704 Tamarind Ln | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,066 (0%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $177 | 88 |
| 3800 171st St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,066 (0%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $263 | 88 |
| 4050 Russet Way | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,058 (-1%) | 1mo | $259,000 | $245 | 87 |
| 17137 Coventry Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,095 (+3%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $137 | 86 |
| 16843 Briargate Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,072 (+1%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $126 | 76 |
| 3618 Peach Grove Ln | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+2%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $160 | 76 |
| 3617 Coventry Ct | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-0%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $226 | 76 |
| 17620 Winston Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,091 (+2%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $179 | 65 |
| 17304 Peach Grov Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-10%) | 7mo | $143,500 | $149 | 64 |
| 3324 Laurel Ln | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (-1%) | 4mo | $188,700 | $179 | 57 |
| 17000 Magnolia Dr | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,184 (+11%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $224 | 54 |
| 17109 Magnolia Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,177 (+10%) | 7mo | $228,000 | $194 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-19,359
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $879
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60478
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,627 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$744 /mo · $8,930/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$552
- Net cashflow
- $199
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $2,700 | $2.61 | 1d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 839 | $2,850 | $3.40 | 1d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 18019 Ravisloe Ter Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,800 | $2.43 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,900 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 16450 Roy St Oak Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $199,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $214,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $214,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $214,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $229,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$239,900 Active
-
2013-03-18soldstatus $90,500
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2013-02-08status Pending
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2013-01-16price Price Change
-
2012-11-16price Price Change
-
2012-10-14price Price Change
-
2012-09-14New
-
2012-06-22soldstatus $43,000 Closed Sale 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.
-
2011-11-01status Pending 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.
-
2011-11-01historical Contingent 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.
-
2011-09-29$54,900 New 384-char remark
Show marketing remark (384 chars)
SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.
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1977-01-10soldstatus $40,000
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1977-01-10soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,930 · $744/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,930 · $744/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,520
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$8,930
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,522
- − Management
- −$2,522
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$466
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$112
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Country Club Hills
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #3963
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Country Club Hills, IL
- City population
- 16,549
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,549
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.73%
- Current HPI
- 212.3917
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+499.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $239,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $90,500 Public Records
- 2013-02-08 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-16 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-16 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-14 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-14 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-22 Sold (MLS) $43,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-01 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-01 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-29 Listed $54,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1977-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1977-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2023): $8,930 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…