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3950 171st Pl
D+ Composite 48.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

3950 171st Pl · Country Club Hills, IL 60478
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,066 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1971 0.31 ac lot Est $191k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Natural light
  • Split-level home

Tags

SPLIT-LEVEL HOMELARGE BACKYARDNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • Financial info: Special service area: No
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned); Asphalt driveway; Two garage spaces (two total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level / tri-level design; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Screened porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Master bedroom on the second level; Additional bedrooms on second and lower levels
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Dining room; Family room (lower level); Living room (main level)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $200k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price.
Recommended offer $193,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.27%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$190,814
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3704 Tamarind Ln 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,066 (0%) 1mo $189,000 $177 88
3800 171st St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,066 (0%) 5mo $280,000 $263 88
4050 Russet Way 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,058 (-1%) 1mo $259,000 $245 87
17137 Coventry Ln 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,095 (+3%) 2mo $150,000 $137 86
16843 Briargate Dr 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,072 (+1%) 2mo $135,000 $126 76
3618 Peach Grove Ln 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+2%) 5mo $175,000 $160 76
3617 Coventry Ct 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,064 (-0%) 1mo $240,000 $226 76
17620 Winston Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,091 (+2%) 3mo $195,000 $179 65
17304 Peach Grov Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 960 (-10%) 7mo $143,500 $149 64
3324 Laurel Ln 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (-1%) 4mo $188,700 $179 57
17000 Magnolia Dr 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,184 (+11%) 3mo $265,000 $224 54
17109 Magnolia Dr 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,177 (+10%) 7mo $228,000 $194 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-19,359
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$879
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60478

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,627 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$744 /mo · $8,930/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,374
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 1.0 1034 $2,700 $2.61 1d 1 0.24mi
3501 177th St Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 2.0 839 $2,850 $3.40 1d 1 0.82mi
17984 Amherst Ct Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 1d 1 0.97mi
18019 Ravisloe Ter Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.5 1150 $2,800 $2.43 1d 1 1.09mi
3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1486 $2,900 $1.95 2d 1 1.26mi
16450 Roy St Oak Forest, IL 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,400 $1.60 18d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $199,900 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $214,900 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $229,900 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,900 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,900 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,900 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,900 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    listed $239,900 Active
  15. 2013-03-18
    soldstatus $90,500
  16. 2013-02-08
    status Pending
  17. 2013-01-16
    price Price Change
  18. 2012-11-16
    price Price Change
  19. 2012-10-14
    price Price Change
  20. 2012-09-14
    listed New
  21. 2012-06-22
    soldstatus $43,000 Closed Sale 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.

  22. 2011-11-01
    status Pending 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.

  23. 2011-11-01
    historical Contingent 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.

  24. 2011-09-29
    listed $54,900 New 384-char remark
    Show marketing remark (384 chars)

    SUPER ATTRACTIVE SPLIT HAS A GREAT YARD AND IT IS LOCATED ON A NICE BLOCK. THE HOME FEATURES THREE BEDROOMS, 1.5 BATHS, SIDE DRIVE, A GARAGE AND A FINISHED REC ROOM. THIS HOME IS PRICED TO SELL!! LOT/ROOM SIZES ESTIMATED. THE SELLER IS OFFERING SPECIAL FINANCING WITH INCENTIVES. MUST HAVE PREQUAL FROM SLRS PREF LENDER. CORPORATE OWNED! SOLD AS IS-NO DISCLOSURES-ADDENDUMS REQUIRED.

  25. 1977-01-10
    soldstatus $40,000
  26. 1977-01-10
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,930 · $744/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,930 · $744/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,520
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$8,930
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,522
− Management
−$2,522
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$466
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$112
After-tax cash flow
$2,503/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Country Club Hills

Score
75/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#3963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Country Club Hills, IL
City population
16,549
Population (ZIP)
16,549

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.73%
Current HPI
212.3917
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+499.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $239,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $90,500 Public Records
  • 2013-02-08 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-16 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-16 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-14 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-14 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-06-22 Sold (MLS) $43,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-11-01 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-11-01 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-09-29 Listed $54,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1977-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1977-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2023): $8,930 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…