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4248 A St SE #411
B+ Composite 77.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

4248 A St SE #411 · Auburn, WA 98002
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,650 sqft · Manufactured · 27 Days on market
Built 1980 Good condition Est $193k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover this charm of Auburn living with this inviting manufactured home. Brand new roof and recently painted. Right in front of the community playgrounds, shopping and dining. This home is prefect for those who want comfort and convenience. The bright and open layout offers a welcoming place to relax or entertain while its location offers quick access to major routes for easy commuting. A unique opportunity to enjoy low maintenance living in a vibrant, friendly community.

Key facts

  • Brand new roof
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 27 days

Tags

BRAND NEW ROOFQUICK ACCESS TO MAJOR ROUTESLOW MAINTENANCE LIVINGVIBRANT FRIENDLY COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property subtype: Manufactured Home; Calculated living area recorded as 1650; Power production type: Electric
  • Financial info: Land lease amount: $1,215; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: Manufactured home park amenities include a playground; Land lease applicable

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Electric power
  • Home design: Manufactured home (Double Wide); Model: PORO; One story; Tie down foundation
  • Construction: Metal/Vinyl construction materials; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Corner lot; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove/Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric energy source
  • Interior features: Electric fireplace; Washer and dryer included; Refrigerator included; Stove/Range included; Laminate flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,983/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 2202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $172,375 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
14.16%
Cash-on-cash
28.09%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$193,050
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4248 A St SE #513 0.07mi 4/2.0 1,620 (-2%) 14mo $189,950 $117 81
4248 A St SE #421 0.07mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (-8%) 15mo $165,000 $109 65
4248 A St SE #423 0.03mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,446 (-12%) 10mo $179,950 $124 65
4248 A St SE #219 0.03mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (+12%) 19mo $125,000 $68 57
4248 A St SE #335 0.07mi 4/2.0 1,890 (+14%) 19mo $190,000 $101 56
707 37th St SE #17 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-9%) 4mo $147,500 $98 52
111 Aspen Ln S 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,782 (+8%) 11mo $460,000 $258 52
417 2nd Ave SE 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-2%) 10mo $464,000 $286 51
707 37th St SE #71 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,440 (-13%) 6mo $160,000 $111 50
210 37th St SE #81 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (+12%) 17mo $116,000 $63 49
206 Birch Ln 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,524 (-8%) 13mo $520,000 $341 48
707 37th St SE #36 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (-15%) 9mo $215,000 $153 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$40,327
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$111,811
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98002

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,983 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$626
Net cashflow
$1,147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,268 -5% $1,207 +0% $1,147 +5% $1,086 +10% $1,026
Rent -10% $911 -5% $1,029 +0% $1,147 +5% $1,265 +10% $1,383
Rate -1.0pp $1,235 -0.5pp $1,191 base $1,147 +0.5pp $1,102 +1.0pp $1,055

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4716 Mill Pond Dr SE Apt 1001 Auburn, WA 3.0 2.5 1673 $2,900 $1.73 11d 1 0.50mi
345 Pacific Ave N Pacific, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 898 $2,306 $2.57 0d 10 0.53mi
102 Hawthorne Ave S Pacific, WA 3.0 1.0 1285 $2,950 $2.30 0d 1 0.75mi
404 4th Ave SE Pacific, WA 3.0 2.0 2006 $3,600 $1.79 0d 1 0.88mi
6170 Terrace View Ln SE Auburn, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 956 $2,551 $2.67 0d 36 1.14mi
6106 Alexander Ave SE Auburn, WA 3.0 2.5 1541 $2,800 $1.82 0d 1 1.19mi
131 Elise Ct Unit NA Pacific, WA 3.0 2.0 1668 $3,000 $1.80 0d 1 1.36mi
1105 63rd St SE Unit C Auburn, WA 3.0 2.5 1372 $4,000 $2.92 0d 1 1.40mi
110 2nd Ave S Algona, WA 3.0 2.0 1530 $3,600 $2.35 0d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $175,000 Pending 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $175,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-05-12
    listed $175,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,792
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,863
− Management
−$2,863
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$11,671
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,801
After-tax cash flow
$10,962/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a new roof and recently painted. It offers a good investment opportunity with low maintenance and a good location.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace gutters — Prevent water damage and improve appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace gutters — Prevent water damage and improve appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,509
Household income
$78,684
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -677.96%
Current HPI
298.0849
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $175,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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