418 S Yadkin Ave · Spencer, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a deal!! 2 Homes for the price of 1. All three Parcels # 032045,032046,032047 to be sold together. Both home are in the Historic District. Both homes are in need of extensive repairs. The lots are zoned Commercial and is located on a corner lot for great parking. Seller will make no repairs.
Key facts
- Spacious corner lot
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1900
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Historic District of Spencer (historical restriction)
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer; Cable available and connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two levels; Site built construction
- Construction: Wood construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Gravel and paved road access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Exhaust hood; Freezer; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total (2 upper, 1 main)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (1 upper, 2 main)
- Heating & cooling: No central heating; Ceiling fan(s); Wall unit(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); 10 total rooms; Fireplace (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#482 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Rowan-Salisbury Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #142 of 178 in NC (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Rowan Elementary (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 426 students, 92% FRL); North Rowan Middle (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #433 of 475 statewide, top 91%, 440 students, 89% FRL); North Rowan High (math 2% / reading 37%, grade F, #492 of 535 statewide, top 93%, 589 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 54% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Rowan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Rowan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $103k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $200k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.43%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $272,304
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418 S Yadkin Ave | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 | 2,254 (+1%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $87 | 90 |
| 410 7th St | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,274 (+2%) | 15mo | $290,000 | $128 | 65 |
| 116 11th St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,230 (-0%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $130 | 62 |
| 129 11th St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,177 (-2%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 505 S Iredell Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 2,053 (-8%) | 19mo | $202,000 | $98 | 58 |
| 507 S Iredell Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 2,008 (-10%) | 21mo | $205,000 | $102 | 53 |
| 409 7th St | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,014 (-10%) | 21mo | $165,000 | $82 | 46 |
| 801 3rd St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,958 (-12%) | 12mo | $228,000 | $116 | 44 |
| 400 Jordan Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,959 (-12%) | 5mo | $238,500 | $122 | 43 |
| 2 Pickett Ave | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,047 (-8%) | 7mo | $516,000 | $252 | 36 |
| 1017 4th St | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,392 (+7%) | 8mo | $399,999 | $167 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $116,019
- Equity at exit
- $180,086
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.00×
- Total profit
- $335,850
- Equity at exit
- $388,362
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28159
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,702 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,196/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $226 | -5% $170 | +0% $113 | +5% $57 | +10% $0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-21 | -5% $46 | +0% $113 | +5% $181 | +10% $248 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $214 | -0.5pp $164 | base $113 | +0.5pp $61 | +1.0pp $9 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-31status $199,900 Pending 45 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $235,000
-
2026-05-07price $255,900
-
2026-04-27price $279,000
-
2026-04-15$303,000 Active
-
2017-06-06soldstatus $40,000 Closed 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
What a deal!! 2 Homes for the price of 1. All three Parcels # 032045,032046,032047 to be sold together. Both home are in the Historic District. Both homes are in need of extensive repairs. The lots are zoned Commercial and is located on a corner lot for great parking. Seller will make no repairs.
-
2017-06-06soldstatus $30,000
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
What a deal!! 2 Homes for the price of 1. All three Parcels # 032045,032046,032047 to be sold together. Both home are in the Historic District. Both homes are in need of extensive repairs. The lots are zoned Commercial and is located on a corner lot for great parking. Seller will make no repairs.
-
2017-05-21historical Under Contract - No Show 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
What a deal!! 2 Homes for the price of 1. All three Parcels # 032045,032046,032047 to be sold together. Both home are in the Historic District. Both homes are in need of extensive repairs. The lots are zoned Commercial and is located on a corner lot for great parking. Seller will make no repairs.
-
2017-05-01price $42,900 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
What a deal!! 2 Homes for the price of 1. All three Parcels # 032045,032046,032047 to be sold together. Both home are in the Historic District. Both homes are in need of extensive repairs. The lots are zoned Commercial and is located on a corner lot for great parking. Seller will make no repairs.
-
2017-04-06$54,900 Active 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
What a deal!! 2 Homes for the price of 1. All three Parcels # 032045,032046,032047 to be sold together. Both home are in the Historic District. Both homes are in need of extensive repairs. The lots are zoned Commercial and is located on a corner lot for great parking. Seller will make no repairs.
-
2005-10-20soldstatus $44,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,196 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,639 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$443/yr (+$37/mo · 37.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,424
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,196
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,634
- − Management
- −$1,634
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$2,053
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$493
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,852/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rowan-Salisbury Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704050
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,953
- Composite
- 26.01/100
- National rank
- #7317
- State rank
- #142 of 178 in NC
Livability — Spencer
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #482
- US rank
- #17657
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spencer, NC
- City population
- 3,181
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,181
Population outlook (Rowan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 140,430 people
- By 2030
- 140,193 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 137,617 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 131,826 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 115,123 · -18.0%
- By 2100
- 92,774 · -33.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 33% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 9% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rowan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.6% · R 67.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+35.7 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+22.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.93%
- Current HPI
- 428.3307
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+434.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $235,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $255,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $279,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listed $303,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-06 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-21 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-01 Price Changed $42,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-06 Listed $54,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,196 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…