1208 E Arch St · Lancaster, SC
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 48.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
*****MOTIVATED SELLER***** Attention investors and first-time homebuyers! Unlock the potential of this property with endless possibilities. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is perfect for rental income, flipping, or as a starter home with a bit of TLC. Features include a cozy living room with a fireplace, a functional kitchen, dining room, laundry room, and attic space for storage. Enjoy the spacious backyard enclosed by a privacy fence. Sold as is. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Attic storage
- Dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One-story; MDR zoning
- Construction: Hardboard siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Asphalt-paved, publicly maintained road access; 0.46-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace; 2 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.5% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#301 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Lancaster 01 (rural): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #26 of 80 in SC (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 685 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 976 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.40%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,952
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1016 E Arch St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-2%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $89 | 82 |
| 300 Kershaw St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-1%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $186 | 74 |
| 308 Kershaw St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,050 (+2%) | 18mo | $217,000 | $207 | 64 |
| 3 Hines St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,013 (-2%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $197 | 57 |
| 608 Rock St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+2%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $199 | 53 |
| 401 Glenwood Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 962 (-7%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $78 | 52 |
| 403 Glenwood Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 910 (-12%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $214 | 47 |
| 209 S Gregory St #3 | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,081 (+5%) | 11mo | $236,000 | $218 | 42 |
| 105 Hazel St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,078 (+4%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $162 | 41 |
| 909 Marion St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+14%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $157 | 38 |
| 1141 Faile St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,175 (+14%) | 15mo | $215,000 | $183 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-11,078
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $163
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29720
- Home prices YoY
- -28.2%
- Active inventory
- 685
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,178 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $118
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $151 | +0% $118 | +5% $86 | +10% $53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $25 | -5% $72 | +0% $118 | +5% $165 | +10% $211 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $176 | -0.5pp $147 | base $118 | +0.5pp $88 | +1.0pp $58 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1305 Eula St Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $945 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 210 Thomas Ln Lancaster, SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3038 Miller St Unit 3016-A Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $1,363 | $1.49 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 730 Taylor St Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $985 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 732 Taylor St Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $985 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 205 S Catawba St Lancaster, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 567-char remark
-
2026-06-13$115,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,935 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,935 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,133
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,131
- − Management
- −$1,131
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$425
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$102
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,520/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lancaster 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502580
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,165
- Composite
- 37.23/100
- National rank
- #4462
- State rank
- #26 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #301
- US rank
- #23178
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lancaster County · 91,213 people
- City population
- 53,584
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,584
- Household income
- $62,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1158.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,572 people
- By 2030
- 114,865 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 132,268 · +25.3%
- By 2050
- 148,252 · +40.4%
- By 2075
- 182,540 · +72.9%
- By 2100
- 202,237 · +91.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.8) · D 37.0% · R 61.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.8 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+18.0 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.90%
- Current HPI
- 244.328
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+43.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $115,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-10 Sold (MLS) $90,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-15 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-07 Listed $90,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-11 Sold (MLS) $59,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-10 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-20 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-20 Price Changed $59,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-23 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-11 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-28 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-27 Price Changed $69,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-26 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-15 Contingent — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-29 Listed $79,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,935 · +67.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…