1065 11th St NE · Paris, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$53,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A cute home that needs some improvement, but has a huge amount of promise. This cozy home comes with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and sits on a 28,928 square foot lot. The property is located just 5 minutes from Downtown Paris which has many local museums, parks, and shops that can be found nearby plus easy access to HWY 271. Schedule a visit today! As is.
Key facts
- 0.66 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 538 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax noted (information available)
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1950
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,216; Total building area approximately 1,216
- Exterior features: Property in a subdivision; Approximately 0.664-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10 x 10); Second bedroom on the first floor (approx. 8 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Total of 2 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 3.6% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Paris ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #521 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Aikin El (math 32% / reading 35%, grade F, #2,174 of 4,322 statewide, top 51%, 937 students, 74% FRL); Paris J H (math 36% / reading 39%, grade F, #736 of 1,662 statewide, top 45%, 522 students, 76% FRL); Paris H S (math 60% / reading 51%, grade C, #364 of 1,632 statewide, top 23%, 934 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $373 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 539 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $54k implies a 575% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 539 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.28%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,224
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 Van Zandt St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,352 (+11%) | 0mo | $174,500 | $129 | 68 |
| 349 Fitzhugh Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 1,140 (-6%) | 11mo | $52,000 | $46 | 59 |
| 1025 17th St NE | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 1,116 (-8%) | 18mo | $99,000 | $89 | 56 |
| 370 NE 5th | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (-8%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $40 | 55 |
| 336 14th St NE | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (-8%) | 10mo | $149,990 | $134 | 55 |
| 380 3rd St NE | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,305 (+7%) | 2mo | $28,000 | $21 | 51 |
| 145 NE 17th | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,184 (-3%) | 17mo | $65,000 | $55 | 50 |
| 435 2nd St NE | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+7%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $38 | 44 |
| 1337 E Houston St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,090 (-10%) | 3mo | $179,500 | $165 | 41 |
| 1511 Pine Bluff St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+7%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $58 | 41 |
| 506 E Price St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,349 (+11%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $152 | 32 |
| 51 PR 43793 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+14%) | 21mo | $249,900 | $180 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $27,600
- Equity at exit
- $8,051
- IRR
- 48.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.69×
- Total profit
- $70,870
- Equity at exit
- $4,669
Cash invested: $15,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75460
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$283
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $668/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $571
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $601 | -5% $586 | +0% $571 | +5% $555 | +10% $540 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $477 | -5% $524 | +0% $571 | +5% $617 | +10% $664 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $598 | -0.5pp $584 | base $571 | +0.5pp $557 | +1.0pp $542 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,500
- Closing costs
- $1,620
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 649 E Price St Paris, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 635 7th St SW Paris, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 16 | 1.14mi |
| 370 29th St NE Paris, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 132 7th St SW Paris, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2121 Cedar St Paris, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $53,999 Active 539 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $53,999 Active 538 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $53,999 Active 537 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $53,999 Active 536 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $53,999 Active 535 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $53,999 Active 533 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $53,999 Active 532 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $53,999 Active 529 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $53,999 Active 528 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $53,999 Active 527 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $53,999 Active 523 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $53,999 Active 522 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $53,999 Active 521 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $53,999 Active 520 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $53,999 Active 519 DOM
-
2024-12-27$53,999 Active
-
2024-12-27historical
-
2024-10-23price $53,999
-
2024-09-09price $56,529
-
2023-07-27$57,999 Active
-
2023-03-06soldstatus
-
2022-09-29soldstatus Sold 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
A cute home that needs some improvement, but has a huge amount of promise. This cozy home comes with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and sits on a 28,928 square foot lot. The property is located just 5 minutes from Downtown Paris which has many local museums, parks, and shops that can be found nearby plus easy access to HWY 271. Schedule a visit today! As is.
-
2022-08-04status Pending 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
A cute home that needs some improvement, but has a huge amount of promise. This cozy home comes with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and sits on a 28,928 square foot lot. The property is located just 5 minutes from Downtown Paris which has many local museums, parks, and shops that can be found nearby plus easy access to HWY 271. Schedule a visit today! As is.
-
2022-06-29$47,999 Active 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
A cute home that needs some improvement, but has a huge amount of promise. This cozy home comes with 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and sits on a 28,928 square foot lot. The property is located just 5 minutes from Downtown Paris which has many local museums, parks, and shops that can be found nearby plus easy access to HWY 271. Schedule a visit today! As is.
-
2021-02-12soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $668 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$320/yr (+$27/mo · 47.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,025
- − Property taxes
- −$668
- − Insurance
- −$270
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,132
- − Management
- −$1,132
- − Depreciation
- −$1,571
- Taxable income
- $6,357
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,526
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,321/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paris ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834290
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,515
- Composite
- 29.83/100
- National rank
- #6419
- State rank
- #521 of 826 in TX
Livability — Paris
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #984
- US rank
- #17535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paris, TX
- County
- Lamar County · 23,426 people
- City population
- 23,426
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,426
- Household income
- $46,473
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1355.0
Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,319 people
- By 2030
- 47,160 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 44,621 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 42,024 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 36,577 · -24.3%
- By 2100
- 30,580 · -36.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.50%
- Current HPI
- 145.3511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+575.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-12-27 Listed $53,999 HARMLS
- 2024-10-23 Price Changed $53,999 HARMLS
- 2024-09-09 Price Changed $56,529 HARMLS
- 2023-07-27 Listed $57,999 HARMLS
- 2023-03-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-09-29 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-08-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-06-29 Listed $47,999 HARMLS
- 2021-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $668 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…