17164 SW 128th Pl · Archer, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short Sale. Opportunity awaits with this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home offering 1,920 square feet of living space on a . 21 acre lot in the Holly Hills community of Archer, FL. The home features an open living, dining, and kitchen layout that provides a functional flow for everyday living and entertaining, along with a separate den that adds flexible space for a home office, playroom, or second living area. A dedicated laundry room and updated appliances add convenience and value. The property does need some repairs, including the roof, carpets, and septic system, making it an ideal option for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Conveniently located with easy access to Gainesville and surrounding areas, this home offers a solid footprint and strong potential in a growing area. Schedule your showing today!!
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Separate den
- 9,148 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,920 square feet; Lot size about 0.21 acres (approximately 850 sq meters); Zoning: R-3
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Located in the Holly Hills development
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic needed (no sewer); Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Faces south
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential manufactured home
- Exterior features: Cleared lot; Paved public road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open plan with 7 total rooms; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $915 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#676 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Archer Elementary (math 61% / reading 60%, grade B-, #664 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 457 students, 58% FRL); Newberry High School (math 35% / reading 54%, grade F, #237 of 667 statewide, top 36%, 728 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $600 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 33% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.05%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $58,234
- Equity at exit
- $32,071
- IRR
- 43.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.08×
- Total profit
- $142,359
- Equity at exit
- $41,063
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32618
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,074 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,099/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $915
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $971 | -5% $943 | +0% $915 | +5% $886 | +10% $858 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $751 | -5% $833 | +0% $915 | +5% $997 | +10% $1,079 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $965 | -0.5pp $940 | base $915 | +0.5pp $889 | +1.0pp $862 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Active
-
2026-05-21price $100,000
-
2026-03-20status Pending 883-char remark
Show marketing remark (883 chars)
Short Sale. Opportunity awaits with this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home offering 1,920 square feet of living space on a . 21 acre lot in the Holly Hills community of Archer, FL. The home features an open living, dining, and kitchen layout that provides a functional flow for everyday living and entertaining, along with a separate den that adds flexible space for a home office, playroom, or second living area. A dedicated laundry room and updated appliances add convenience and value. The property does need some repairs, including the roof, carpets, and septic system, making it an ideal option for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Conveniently located with easy access to Gainesville and surrounding areas, this home offers a solid footprint and strong potential in a growing area. Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-01-19status Pending
Show marketing remark (883 chars)
Short Sale. Opportunity awaits with this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home offering 1,920 square feet of living space on a . 21 acre lot in the Holly Hills community of Archer, FL. The home features an open living, dining, and kitchen layout that provides a functional flow for everyday living and entertaining, along with a separate den that adds flexible space for a home office, playroom, or second living area. A dedicated laundry room and updated appliances add convenience and value. The property does need some repairs, including the roof, carpets, and septic system, making it an ideal option for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Conveniently located with easy access to Gainesville and surrounding areas, this home offers a solid footprint and strong potential in a growing area. Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-01-19$75,000 Active 883-char remark
Show marketing remark (883 chars)
Short Sale. Opportunity awaits with this spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home offering 1,920 square feet of living space on a . 21 acre lot in the Holly Hills community of Archer, FL. The home features an open living, dining, and kitchen layout that provides a functional flow for everyday living and entertaining, along with a separate den that adds flexible space for a home office, playroom, or second living area. A dedicated laundry room and updated appliances add convenience and value. The property does need some repairs, including the roof, carpets, and septic system, making it an ideal option for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to add their personal touch and build equity. Conveniently located with easy access to Gainesville and surrounding areas, this home offers a solid footprint and strong potential in a growing area. Schedule your showing today!!
-
2026-01-18$75,000 Active
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2026-01-13historical
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2025-12-10price $129,900
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2025-12-02$140,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,099 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,099 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,099
- − Insurance
- −$1,298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,991
- − Management
- −$1,991
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $10,003
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,401
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,575/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alachua
- NCES district ID
- 1200030
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,683
- Composite
- 43.31/100
- National rank
- #3038
- State rank
- #30 of 73 in FL
Livability — Archer
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #676
- US rank
- #13964
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Archer, FL
- City population
- 7,340
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,340
Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 289,834 people
- By 2030
- 305,873 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 335,246 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 364,719 · +25.8%
- By 2075
- 436,665 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 482,920 · +66.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Alachua
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.60%
- Current HPI
- 321.3332
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-28.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Pending — DGLMLS
- 2026-01-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-19 Listed $75,000 DGLMLS
- 2026-01-18 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-02 Listed $140,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,099 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…