1363 Bridges Creek Ct · Georgetown, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this well-maintained, move-in ready gem nestled in the heart of Georgetown! Offering both comfort and convenience, this property features a one-car garage along with two covered carports—perfect for extra vehicles, recreational toys, or even your boat. Step inside and discover a home that has been lovingly cared for by one family over the last 38 years, with inviting spaces designed for everyday living. Just off the primary bedroom, you'll find a charming enclosed sunroom—an ideal spot to start your morning with a cup of coffee or unwind after a long day. Out back, escape to your own private retreat with beautifully landscaped surroundings and a fully fenced yard
Key facts
- One car garage
- Two covered carports
- Enclosed sunroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-149/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (0.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (24.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Georgetown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#75 in KY, #2,338 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Scott County (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 165 in KY (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Southern Elementary School (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #483 of 676 statewide, top 72%, 502 students, 57% FRL); Georgetown Middle School (math 18% / reading 39%, grade F, #161 of 217 statewide, top 75%, 636 students, 54% FRL); Great Crossing High School (math 36% / reading 40%, grade F, #55 of 254 statewide, top 22%, 1,790 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 546 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.23%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-38,977
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-35,381
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40324
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,772 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $984/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $-12
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $121 | -5% $54 | +0% $-12 | +5% $-79 | +10% $-145 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-152 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-12 | +5% $58 | +10% $128 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $106 | -0.5pp $47 | base $-12 | +0.5pp $-73 | +1.0pp $-135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154 Aberdine Way Georgetown, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,449 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 102 Amerson Orchard Rd Georgetown, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1044 | $2,164 | $2.07 | 15d | 28 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-04-14$235,000 Active
-
2025-11-13historical
-
2025-11-08price $240,500
-
2025-09-26price $245,900
-
2025-09-12$249,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,021 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,037/yr (+$86/mo · 105.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,263
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$984
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,701
- − Management
- −$1,701
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$4,298
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,031
- After-tax cash flow
- $882/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott County
- NCES district ID
- 2105260
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,324
- Composite
- 33.87/100
- National rank
- #5348
- State rank
- #31 of 165 in KY
Livability — Georgetown
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #2338
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Georgetown, KY
- County
- Scott County · 53,406 people
- City population
- 53,406
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,406
- Household income
- $85,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 993.0
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,814 people
- By 2030
- 69,637 · +9.1%
- By 2040
- 81,315 · +27.4%
- By 2050
- 92,677 · +45.2%
- By 2075
- 118,956 · +86.4%
- By 2100
- 136,792 · +114.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.7) · D 35.3% · R 63.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.7 2020: R+24.9 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.49%
- Current HPI
- 187.89
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.00%
- Metro
- Lexington-Fayette, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-5.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $235,000 ImagineMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $240,500 ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $245,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-12 Listed $249,500 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $984 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…