2131 Sauk St · Quincy, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 bed, 1 bath single wide manufactured home, just waiting for your personal touch and updates! Nestled just moments from Castle Rock Lake, this property offers comfortable living with great potential to make it yours. The spacious floor plan features two bedrooms, a full bathroom and an open area for relaxing and entertaining. With some love and updates, this home could be a wonderful opportunity for investors or a vacation cabin. Enjoy everything that this area has to offer- from fishing, hiking, boating, ATV/snowmobile trails and more. Don't wait and schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 104 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Adams-Friendship Area School District (rural): math 22% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #331 of 342 in WI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 126 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.75%
- DSCR
- 3.04
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,978
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -53.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $35,725
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 49.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.74×
- Total profit
- $91,484
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53934
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,473 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $435/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $737
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $776 | -5% $756 | +0% $737 | +5% $717 | +10% $698 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $620 | -5% $678 | +0% $737 | +5% $795 | +10% $853 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $771 | -0.5pp $754 | base $737 | +0.5pp $719 | +1.0pp $701 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $69,000 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Charming 2 bed, 1 bath single wide manufactured home, just waiting for your personal touch and updates! Nestled just moments from Castle Rock Lake, this property offers comfortable living with great potential to make it yours. The spacious floor plan features two bedrooms, a full bathroom and an open area for relaxing and entertaining. With some love and updates, this home could be a wonderful opportunity for investors or a vacation cabin. Enjoy everything that this area has to offer- from fishing, hiking, boating, ATV/snowmobile trails and more. Don't wait and schedule a showing today!
-
2026-03-05$79,900 Active 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Charming 2 bed, 1 bath single wide manufactured home, just waiting for your personal touch and updates! Nestled just moments from Castle Rock Lake, this property offers comfortable living with great potential to make it yours. The spacious floor plan features two bedrooms, a full bathroom and an open area for relaxing and entertaining. With some love and updates, this home could be a wonderful opportunity for investors or a vacation cabin. Enjoy everything that this area has to offer- from fishing, hiking, boating, ATV/snowmobile trails and more. Don't wait and schedule a showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $435 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $856 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$421/yr (+$35/mo · 96.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,672
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$435
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,414
- − Management
- −$1,414
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $8,193
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,966
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,873/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Adams-Friendship Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 5500060
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,165
- Composite
- 17.22/100
- National rank
- #9100
- State rank
- #331 of 342 in WI
Livability — Quincy
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dellwood, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,404
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,560 people
- By 2030
- 17,523 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 14,888 · -19.8%
- By 2050
- 12,359 · -33.4%
- By 2075
- 8,662 · -53.3%
- By 2100
- 6,000 · -67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Portuguese 8% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.8) · D 34.6% · R 60.4% · Other 5.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.2pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.8 2020: R+25.7 2016: R+21.8 2012: D+8.7 2008: D+18.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.94%
- Current HPI
- 268.5442
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-13.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $69,000 SCWMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $79,900 SCWMLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $435 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…