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215 South Ave. East
A- Composite 81.69
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$75,000

215 South Ave. East · Crenshaw, MS 38621
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,292 sqft · Other public records · 418 Days on market
Built 1930 0.44 ac lot $58/sqft · 14% below area Est $111k · 33% under ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1930 built home located in Crenshaw is waiting on new owners. 3 bedroom 1 bath and large living room this home has space. Home needs some TLC but can be a beautiful property with tall ceilings throughout the house. The lot next door which is . 49 of an acre is included in the sales price. The topography on that lot is flat and ready to build on. Call today to make an appointment to see this property. House being sold "In As" condition.

Key facts

  • Tall ceilings
  • Flat lot
  • 0.44 acre lot

Tags

TALL CEILINGSFLAT LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#285 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Quitman County School District (town): math 16% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #98 of 130 in MS (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 98% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Quitman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
  • Quitman County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 418 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 418 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.45%
Cash-on-cash
21.99%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,476
List price
$75,000
Delta
-32.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$41,465
Equity at exit
$42,132
10-year hold
IRR
30.5%
Equity multiple
5.97×
Total profit
$104,373
Equity at exit
$72,410

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38621

Home prices YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,143 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $437 -5% $411 +0% $385 +5% $359 +10% $333
Rent -10% $294 -5% $340 +0% $385 +5% $430 +10% $475
Rate -1.0pp $423 -0.5pp $404 base $385 +0.5pp $365 +1.0pp $346

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 418 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 416 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 415 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 414 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 413 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 411 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 410 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 407 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 406 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 405 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 403 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 401 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 400 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 399 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 398 DOM
  16. 2025-04-28
    listed $75,000 Active 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    This 1930 built home located in Crenshaw is waiting on new owners. 3 bedroom 1 bath and large living room this home has space. Home needs some TLC but can be a beautiful property with tall ceilings throughout the house. The lot next door which is . 49 of an acre is included in the sales price. The topography on that lot is flat and ready to build on. Call today to make an appointment to see this property. House being sold "In As" condition.

  17. 2024-08-22
    price $90,000
  18. 2024-05-08
    price $105,000
  19. 2023-11-28
    listed $115,000 Active
  20. 1996-07-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,718
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,097
− Management
−$1,097
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,640
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$874
After-tax cash flow
$3,744/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quitman County School District
NCES district ID
2803810
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$24,502
Composite
13.81/100
National rank
#9490
State rank
#98 of 130 in MS

Livability — Crenshaw

Score
57/100
State rank
#285
US rank
#21833

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crenshaw, MS
Population (ZIP)
1,610

Population outlook (Quitman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,540 people
By 2030
6,035 · -7.7%
By 2040
5,091 · -22.2%
By 2050
4,272 · -34.7%
By 2075
2,771 · -57.6%
By 2100
1,900 · -70.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 37%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Quitman

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.8) · D 64.4% · R 33.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-4.5pp toward R · 2008: 35.2pp · 2024: 30.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.8 2020: D+34.8 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+43.2 2008: D+35.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.92%
Current HPI
80.2575
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-34.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-04-28 Listed $75,000 NCMBR
  • 2024-08-22 Price Changed $90,000 NCMBR
  • 2024-05-08 Price Changed $105,000 NCMBR
  • 2023-11-28 Listed $115,000 NCMBR
  • 1996-07-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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