6812 Bartmer Ave · University City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this amazing 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom home. It offers a main floor master bedroom, the kitchen has a wonderful breakfast bar area. The home also features a back deck and a fenced spacious back yard. Heman Park is also only a short walk away, along with being close to shopping and restaurants.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Brick bungalow
- Spacious backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $518 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.9% in University City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#84 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: amenities D-, commute D-, health & safety F.
- University City (suburban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #297 of 324 in MO (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pershing Elem. (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,037 of 1,115 statewide, top 94%, 265 students, 100% FRL); University City Sr. High (math 5% / reading 52%, grade F, #409 of 521 statewide, top 79%, 726 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.46%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,435
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6775 Chamberlain Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (-1%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $94 | 95 |
| 6750 Corbitt Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,525 (-5%) | 4mo | $94,900 | $62 | 76 |
| 6634 Chamberlain Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,516 (-5%) | 4mo | $249,000 | $164 | 68 |
| 6903 Etzel Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,464 (-9%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $171 | 66 |
| 6918 Dartmouth Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,434 (-10%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $262 | 65 |
| 6715 Chamberlain Ave | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,728 (+8%) | 4mo | $359,000 | $208 | 65 |
| 6806 Corbitt Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,459 (-9%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $96 | 65 |
| 6954 Plymouth Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-6%) | 2mo | $21,100 | $14 | 63 |
| 6759 Raymond Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,728 (+8%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $145 | 61 |
| 7209 Dorset Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,666 (+4%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $204 | 58 |
| 1173 Partridge Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,646 (+3%) | 3mo | $119,900 | $73 | 58 |
| 6512 Etzel Ave | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,448 (-10%) | 4mo | $59,900 | $41 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $7,540
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $54,347
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63130
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,055 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,063/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $518
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6913 Etzel Ave Unit 1496954P University City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $5,767 | $4.12 | 7d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 7002 Tulane Ave Unit 2FL Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,995 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 7055 Dartmouth Ave Unit 1 University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7055 Dartmouth Ave Unit 2 University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 6827 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 7d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6936 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,858 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 7104 Tulane Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,745 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7125 Dartmouth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,550 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7104 Tulane Ave Unit 1 University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 7120 Dartmouth Ave Unit A University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,345 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 7045 Plymouth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $1,745 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 7204 Tulane Ave Unit 7204-B Tulane University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 716 Westgate Ave Unit 3 University City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,995 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 6650 Delmar Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 760 | $2,095 | $2.76 | 1d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7227 Balson Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1682 | $1,650 | $0.98 | 7d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6409 Enright Ave University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $2,420 | $1.83 | 1d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 6274 Cates Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,295 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 6261 Clemens Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 603 Westgate Ave University City, MO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $1,750 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7260 Dartmouth Ave Unit 1-West University City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,795 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7254 Tulane Ave #1 University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7261 Delmar Blvd University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,950 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7330 Ahern Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1872 | $2,450 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7333 Amherst Ave Unit 1W University City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,350 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1019 N Skinker Pkwy St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1137 | $2,795 | $2.46 | 1d | 9 | 0.86mi |
| 7350 Amherst Ave Unit 1E University City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7045 Pershing Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2080 | $3,900 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6105 Delmar Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 931 | $2,610 | $2.80 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7361 Melrose Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,095 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7250 Pershing Ave Unit 1 University City, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2016 | $3,700 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7256 Pershing Ave Unit A University City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2178 | $3,795 | $1.74 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6036 Washington Blvd Apt 1W St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6186 Waterman Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1108 N Hanley Rd St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7379 Pershing Ave Unit 1E Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,295 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1266 Amherst Pl Unit 2nd floor St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6124 Waterman Blvd Unit 6124 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6017 Kingsbury Ave Unit 2f St. Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $3,250 | $2.17 | 17d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6017 Kingsbury Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,700 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6009 Kingsbury Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,300 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2026-03-27$164,900 Active
-
2021-04-14soldstatus $118,000
-
2021-04-09soldstatus Closed 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Welcome to this amazing 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom home. It offers a main floor master bedroom, the kitchen has a wonderful breakfast bar area. The home also features a back deck and a fenced spacious back yard. Heman Park is also only a short walk away, along with being close to shopping and restaurants.
-
2021-03-27status Pending 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Welcome to this amazing 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom home. It offers a main floor master bedroom, the kitchen has a wonderful breakfast bar area. The home also features a back deck and a fenced spacious back yard. Heman Park is also only a short walk away, along with being close to shopping and restaurants.
-
2021-03-18$129,000 Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Welcome to this amazing 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom home. It offers a main floor master bedroom, the kitchen has a wonderful breakfast bar area. The home also features a back deck and a fenced spacious back yard. Heman Park is also only a short walk away, along with being close to shopping and restaurants.
-
2021-03-04historical $129,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Welcome to this amazing 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom home. It offers a main floor master bedroom, the kitchen has a wonderful breakfast bar area. The home also features a back deck and a fenced spacious back yard. Heman Park is also only a short walk away, along with being close to shopping and restaurants.
-
2017-10-13price $110,000
-
2017-09-10price $125,000
-
2017-08-26price $140,000
-
2004-02-10soldstatus $73,000
-
1985-01-01soldstatus
-
1985-01-01soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,063 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,063 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,656
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$2,063
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,972
- − Management
- −$1,972
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $3,790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$910
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,305/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- University City
- NCES district ID
- 2930660
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,927
- Composite
- 18.57/100
- National rank
- #8910
- State rank
- #297 of 324 in MO
Livability — University City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #5618
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- University City, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 28,910
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,910
- Household income
- $85,823
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 893.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 31% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Chinese 4% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -436.88%
- Current HPI
- 185.599
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+488.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Listed $164,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-09 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-27 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-18 Listed $129,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-04 Coming Soon $129,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-13 Price Changed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-10 Price Changed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-26 Price Changed $140,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 1985-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 1985-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2022): $2,063 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…