4710 9th St · Bacliff, TX 77518

$199,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,657 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market

Built 1972 9,378 sqft lot $120/sqft · 18% below area Est $242k · 18% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +6.1/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special in Bacliff! 4710 9th St offers a 4-bedroom, 2-bath layout with value-add potential and flexible additional spaces ideal for conversion, expansion, or increased rental income. Perfect for investors, flippers, or those seeking a fixer-upper opportunity. Situated on a spacious lot with room to maximize exterior improvements. Conveniently located near Galveston Bay, local dining, and major commuter routes. Strong potential for renovation and resale or long-term hold. Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities!

Key facts

• 9,378 sq ft lot
• Built 1972
• Listed 80 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($396/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
• Recommended offer: $187k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.0% in Bacliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,252 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, schools F.
• Dickinson ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #366 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,215/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 672% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $187,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.89%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.14%
• DSCR: 1.10
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $241,991
• List price: $199,000
• Delta: -17.77%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4835 Chase More Dr	0.26mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,604 (-3%)	4mo	$249,000	$155	71
834 Chase View Dr	0.33mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,758 (+6%)	0mo	$252,000	$143	65
5114 Chase Court Dr	0.48mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,729 (+4%)	4mo	$189,900	$110	56
5010 Chase Stone Dr	0.42mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,769 (+7%)	8mo	$225,000	$127	54
4734 Oleander St	0.60mi	4/2.0	1,753 (+6%)	6mo	$249,999	$143	53
5211 Lagoon Ct	0.74mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,608 (-3%)	1mo	$224,500	$140	51
5203 Lagoon Ct	0.72mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,641 (-1%)	5mo	$259,000	$158	49
4410 Orange St	0.59mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,606 (-3%)	12mo	$264,900	$165	48
5427 Chasewood Dr	0.64mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,480 (-11%)	11mo	$236,000	$159	34
4722 Palmetto St	0.72mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,496 (-10%)	9mo	$219,999	$147	34
4822 Caranchua Reef Dr	0.61mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,866 (+13%)	10mo	$205,000	$110	33
5111 Lagoon Ct	0.70mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,422 (-14%)	11mo	$245,000	$172	26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-29,901
• Equity at exit: $29,672

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.60×
• Total profit: $-22,343
• Equity at exit: $17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77518

• Home prices YoY: -7.6%
• Active inventory: 62
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,215 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,044
• Tax from tax record: −$524 /mo · $6,285/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$465
• Net cashflow: $33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,173

Max offer price $199,000

Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $146	-5% $89	+0% $33	+5% $-23	+10% $-80
Rent	-10% $-142	-5% $-54	+0% $33	+5% $120	+10% $208
Rate	-1.0pp $133	-0.5pp $84	base $33	+0.5pp $-19	+1.0pp $-71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,750
• Closing costs: $5,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1118 Chase Park Dr Bacliff, TX	3.0	2.0	1854	$2,086	$1.13	6d	1	0.65mi
339 Sea Breeze Dr Bacliff, TX	3.0	2.5	1456	$1,985	$1.36	4d	1	0.73mi
5139 Misty Ln Bacliff, TX	3.0	2.0	1794	$1,970	$1.10	11d	1	0.76mi
5223 Gulf Stream Ln Bacliff, TX	3.0	2.5	1778	$2,080	$1.17	11d	1	0.88mi
2922 Michael St Bacliff, TX	3.0	2.0	1325	$1,900	$1.43	44d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 28 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $199,000 Active 81 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $199,000 Active 78 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $199,000 Active 77 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $199,000 Active 76 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $199,000 Active 75 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $199,000 Active 73 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $199,000 Active 69 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $199,000 Active 68 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $199,000 Active 67 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,000 Active 64 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 63 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 62 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 61 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 60 DOM
15. 2026-04-01
    listed $199,000 Active 532-char remark

    Show marketing remark (532 chars)

    Investor special in Bacliff! 4710 9th St offers a 4-bedroom, 2-bath layout with value-add potential and flexible additional spaces ideal for conversion, expansion, or increased rental income. Perfect for investors, flippers, or those seeking a fixer-upper opportunity. Situated on a spacious lot with room to maximize exterior improvements. Conveniently located near Galveston Bay, local dining, and major commuter routes. Strong potential for renovation and resale or long-term hold. Bring your vision and unlock the possibilities!

16. 2019-10-04
    soldstatus
17. 2016-12-07
    soldstatus
18. 2016-11-29
    soldstatus Sold 476-char remark

    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    * * * AS of 08/03/2016 Seller has made a few more improvements. Please stop by and see this beautiful home. Newly Remodeled home. New Windstorm Roof on Main House, New floors in main house New A/C, and all Appliances stay with the home. Completely redone bathrooms, paint, fixtures. Redone from top to bottom. Extra home in the back will be as is. But, with lots of TLC it can make a wonderful Mother in law suite or guest house. This home Is about 6 blocks from the water.

19. 2016-11-05
    status Pending 476-char remark

    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    * * * AS of 08/03/2016 Seller has made a few more improvements. Please stop by and see this beautiful home. Newly Remodeled home. New Windstorm Roof on Main House, New floors in main house New A/C, and all Appliances stay with the home. Completely redone bathrooms, paint, fixtures. Redone from top to bottom. Extra home in the back will be as is. But, with lots of TLC it can make a wonderful Mother in law suite or guest house. This home Is about 6 blocks from the water.

20. 2016-10-29
    status Option Pending 476-char remark

    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    * * * AS of 08/03/2016 Seller has made a few more improvements. Please stop by and see this beautiful home. Newly Remodeled home. New Windstorm Roof on Main House, New floors in main house New A/C, and all Appliances stay with the home. Completely redone bathrooms, paint, fixtures. Redone from top to bottom. Extra home in the back will be as is. But, with lots of TLC it can make a wonderful Mother in law suite or guest house. This home Is about 6 blocks from the water.

21. 2016-09-04
    price $124,900 476-char remark

    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    * * * AS of 08/03/2016 Seller has made a few more improvements. Please stop by and see this beautiful home. Newly Remodeled home. New Windstorm Roof on Main House, New floors in main house New A/C, and all Appliances stay with the home. Completely redone bathrooms, paint, fixtures. Redone from top to bottom. Extra home in the back will be as is. But, with lots of TLC it can make a wonderful Mother in law suite or guest house. This home Is about 6 blocks from the water.

22. 2016-09-02
    status Active 476-char remark

    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    * * * AS of 08/03/2016 Seller has made a few more improvements. Please stop by and see this beautiful home. Newly Remodeled home. New Windstorm Roof on Main House, New floors in main house New A/C, and all Appliances stay with the home. Completely redone bathrooms, paint, fixtures. Redone from top to bottom. Extra home in the back will be as is. But, with lots of TLC it can make a wonderful Mother in law suite or guest house. This home Is about 6 blocks from the water.

23. 2016-09-01
    historical 476-char remark

    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    * * * AS of 08/03/2016 Seller has made a few more improvements. Please stop by and see this beautiful home. Newly Remodeled home. New Windstorm Roof on Main House, New floors in main house New A/C, and all Appliances stay with the home. Completely redone bathrooms, paint, fixtures. Redone from top to bottom. Extra home in the back will be as is. But, with lots of TLC it can make a wonderful Mother in law suite or guest house. This home Is about 6 blocks from the water.

24. 2016-07-23
    price $134,900 476-char remark

    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    * * * AS of 08/03/2016 Seller has made a few more improvements. Please stop by and see this beautiful home. Newly Remodeled home. New Windstorm Roof on Main House, New floors in main house New A/C, and all Appliances stay with the home. Completely redone bathrooms, paint, fixtures. Redone from top to bottom. Extra home in the back will be as is. But, with lots of TLC it can make a wonderful Mother in law suite or guest house. This home Is about 6 blocks from the water.

25. 2016-07-13
    listed $149,000 Active 476-char remark

    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    * * * AS of 08/03/2016 Seller has made a few more improvements. Please stop by and see this beautiful home. Newly Remodeled home. New Windstorm Roof on Main House, New floors in main house New A/C, and all Appliances stay with the home. Completely redone bathrooms, paint, fixtures. Redone from top to bottom. Extra home in the back will be as is. But, with lots of TLC it can make a wonderful Mother in law suite or guest house. This home Is about 6 blocks from the water.

26. 2016-07-08
    soldstatus
27. 2014-08-01
    soldstatus
28. 2008-02-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $6,285 · $524/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $6,285 · $524/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,578
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,147
• − Property taxes: −$6,285
• − Insurance: −$1,792
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,126
• − Management: −$2,126
• − Depreciation: −$5,789
• Taxable loss: −$2,688
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$645
• After-tax cash flow: $1,041/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dickinson ISD
• NCES district ID: 4817070
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $61,318
• Composite: 35.16/100
• National rank: #5005
• State rank: #366 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bacliff

• Score: 57/100
• State rank: #1252
• US rank: #21864

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bacliff, TX
• County: Galveston County · 357,330 people
• City population: 9,541
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 9,541
• Household income: $51,458
• Rent vs Own: 38.2% rent · 61.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 672.0

Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 390,640 people
• By 2030: 425,226 · +8.9%
• By 2040: 493,765 · +26.4%
• By 2050: 559,698 · +43.3%
• By 2075: 719,260 · +84.1%
• By 2100: 819,628 · +109.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% White 43% Two or more races 21% Black 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 31%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 66% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Galveston

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -24.15%
• Current HPI: 293.2677
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+33.6% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-01 Listed $199,000 HARMLS
• 2019-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2016-12-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2016-11-29 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2016-11-05 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-10-29 Pending — HARMLS
• 2016-09-04 Price Changed $124,900 HARMLS
• 2016-09-02 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2016-09-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2016-07-23 Price Changed $134,900 HARMLS
• 2016-07-13 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
• 2016-07-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2014-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2008-02-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,285 · +22.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.