15360 N Wimpy Jones Rd · Garfield, AR
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled on 4.78 wooded acres, this rustic 1-bed/1-bath primitive cabin offers peaceful seclusion and natural beauty — ideal for hunters, weekend retreats, or anyone seeking an off-grid escape. The approx. 800 sq ft cabin features new log-cabin-style siding, a newer metal roof, and a cozy wood stove for heat. The property currently uses a spring-fed water system, with a previous septic location and potential to add a well if desired. Inside is a simple, functional layout ready for your personal touch and customization. Outdoors, enjoy quiet surroundings, abundant wildlife, and a seasonal waterfall that flows just behind the cabin during rainy months. With privacy, charm, and room to im
Key facts
- Cozy wood stove
- Wooded acres
- Rustic cabin
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 4.78 acres (includes about 0.78 acres pasture and ~4 acres wooded)
- HOA & community: Association fee charged monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (gravel/unpaved)
- Utilities: Electricity available
- Home design: Single-story home; Log siding; Metal roof; Resale property (less than 25 years old); Public road frontage; Slab foundation
- Construction: Log siding construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built less than 25 years ago
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Unpaved driveway; Rural, secluded, wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Concrete floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wood-burning stove as a heating source
- Interior features: Wood burning stove; No additional built-in interior features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-552/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (3.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (11.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#123 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Rogers School District (urban): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #31 of 238 in AR (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $200k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.44%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $74,535
- Equity at exit
- $146,636
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $218,511
- Equity at exit
- $286,147
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72732
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,775 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $-46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $92 | -5% $23 | +0% $-46 | +5% $-115 | +10% $-184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-186 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-46 | +5% $24 | +10% $94 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $55 | -0.5pp $5 | base $-46 | +0.5pp $-98 | +1.0pp $-151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $200,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $200,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $200,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $200,000
-
2026-02-03price $225,000
-
2025-12-29$240,000 Active
-
1990-06-15soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,305
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$1,798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,704
- − Management
- −$1,704
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$3,922
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$941
- After-tax cash flow
- $389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rogers School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511970
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 38.81/100
- National rank
- #4113
- State rank
- #31 of 238 in AR
Livability — Garfield
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #11634
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Garfield, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,493
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Two or more races 27% Hispanic / Latino 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Danish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.61%
- Current HPI
- 368.3932
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+900.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $200,000 NWARMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $225,000 NWARMLS
- 2025-12-29 Listed $240,000 NWARMLS
- 1990-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $184 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…