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214 Miller St
B- Composite 68.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$66,000

214 Miller St · Jonesboro, AR 72401
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,464 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 143 Days on market
7,000 sqft lot ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This property is to be sold as package deal along with following additional single family properties located in Jonesboro, AR: 1007 Warren St, 1110 Warren St, 1206 Warren St, 207 Miller St, 214 Miller St, and 220 E Center. Total Package price is to be $350,500. The owner wants to sell this property as a package deal with 5 other single family homes located in Jonesboro that are listed in the MLS. Appointments for showing will be scheduled once proof of funds or pre approval is provided. Rent Roll is available upon request. 48 hour notice for showing.

Key facts

  • 7,000 sq ft lot
  • Listed 142 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single Family Residence; Residential property; 2 stories
  • Exterior features: Lot in the Matthews subdivision

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $66k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jonesboro School District (urban): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #169 of 238 in AR (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Douglas Macarthur Jhs (math 25% / reading 27%, grade F, #159 of 201 statewide, top 80%, 732 students, 100% FRL); The Academies At Jonesboro High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #225 of 292 statewide, top 78%, 1,386 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,080 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.32%
Cap rate
21.17%
Cash-on-cash
53.13%
DSCR
3.36
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,432
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
916 Creath 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,505 (+3%) 9mo $169,900 $113 58
331 N Fisher St St 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,380 (-6%) 22mo $30,000 $22 58
616 Creath 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,302 (-11%) 9mo $169,900 $130 49
615 Krewson 0.68mi 4/2.0 1,380 (-6%) 23mo $85,000 $62 36
1216 N Church 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,268 (-13%) 10mo $23,000 $18 31
417 W Forrest St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (+15%) 11mo $195,000 $116 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.9%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$42,394
Equity at exit
$9,841
10-year hold
IRR
57.4%
Equity multiple
6.85×
Total profit
$108,083
Equity at exit
$5,706

Cash invested: $18,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72401

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
295
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,533 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$346
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $231/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$818

Break-even live

Break-even rent $497
Max offer price $66,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,500
Closing costs
$1,980
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $66,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $66,000 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $66,000 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $66,000 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $66,000 Active 139 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $66,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $66,000 Active 136 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $66,000 Active 134 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $66,000 Active 133 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $66,000 Active 132 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $66,000 Active 131 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $66,000 Active 128 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $66,000 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $66,000 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $66,000 Active 124 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $66,000 Active 123 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    price $66,000
  18. 2026-01-27
    listed $81,000 Active
  19. 2025-06-19
    price $78,000
  20. 2024-10-20
    listed $80,000 Active
  21. 2024-10-18
    price $80,000
  22. 2024-09-24
    price $85,000
  23. 2024-07-22
    listed $93,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$231 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$422 · $35/mo
Expected delta
+$191/yr (+$16/mo · 82.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,396
− Mortgage interest
−$3,697
− Property taxes
−$231
− Insurance
−$330
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,472
− Management
−$1,472
− Depreciation
−$1,920
Taxable income
$9,274
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,226
After-tax cash flow
$7,592/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jonesboro School District
NCES district ID
0508280
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,347
Composite
23.06/100
National rank
#7967
State rank
#169 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

Score
65/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jonesboro, AR
County
Craighead County · 97,185 people
City population
91,245
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
Population (ZIP)
42,602
Household income
$45,329
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2606.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,235 people
By 2030
131,338 · +7.4%
By 2040
149,862 · +22.6%
By 2050
168,034 · +37.5%
By 2075
208,094 · +70.2%
By 2100
233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
208.2079
Rent YoY
▲ 3.64%
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $66,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $81,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2025-06-19 Price Changed $78,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2024-10-20 Listed $80,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2024-10-18 Price Changed $80,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2024-09-24 Price Changed $85,000 NEABOR MLS
  • 2024-07-22 Listed $93,000 NEABOR MLS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $231 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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