34 Camp St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't pass up the opportunity to snatch up your next home or investment property. This is a single family house ready to move in. It's 4 bedroom, 1 bath and living-dining attach. Also just needs some general updating and personal touches to make it a homey place to live. Close to Genesee St and retail/restaurants. All offers will be reviewed Thurs. 04/24 at 12 Noon.
Key facts
- Living dining attach
- Single family house
- 2,500 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 33 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,369/mo this rent would consume 101% of the median local household income ($28k/yr) (locally 945% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $180k implies a 230% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1878 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1878 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.94%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $218,611
- List price
- $179,999
- Delta
- -17.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Mulberry St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 1,100 (-1%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $70 | 76 |
| 218 Locust St St | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 | 1,100 (-1%) | 18mo | $53,000 | $48 | 61 |
| 198 Mulberry St | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 | 1,222 (+10%) | 6mo | $79,500 | $65 | 56 |
| 18 Paderewski Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-2%) | 17mo | $65,000 | $60 | 55 |
| 83 Reed St | 0.69mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,156 (+4%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $87 | 55 |
| 598 High St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,139 (+3%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $101 | 54 |
| 200 Locust St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,217 (+10%) | 12mo | $95,000 | $78 | 47 |
| 246 Fox St | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,180 (+6%) | 12mo | $57,000 | $48 | 42 |
| 95 Peckham St | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 | 1,249 (+13%) | 18mo | $150,000 | $120 | 41 |
| 513 High St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,270 (+15%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $75 | 40 |
| 323 Jefferson Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,220 (+10%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $160 | 39 |
| 189 Reed St | 0.74mi | 4/1.0 | 1,261 (+14%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $115 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $16,884
- Equity at exit
- $26,838
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $92,451
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14204
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,369 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$497
- Net cashflow
- $627
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 N Pearl St Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $3,100 | $2.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 44 N Pearl St #5 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1152 Main St Apt 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 21 College St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 217 W Tupper St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 237 Main St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1608 | $4,035 | $2.51 | 1d | 9 | 1.35mi |
| 88 W Utica St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,150 | $2.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 88 W Utica St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,150 | $2.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 190 Whitney Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,550 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 31 Norwood Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-18days on market $179,999 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 490-char remark
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2026-06-17days on market $179,999 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $179,999 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $179,999 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,999 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,999 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $179,999 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $179,999 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $179,999 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $179,999 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $179,999 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,999 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $179,999 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $179,999 Active 44 DOM
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2026-04-28price $189,999 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Don't pass up the opportunity to snatch up your next home or investment property. This is a single family house ready to move in. It's 4 bedroom, 1 bath and living-dining attach. Also just needs some general updating and personal touches to make it a homey place to live. Close to Genesee St and retail/restaurants. All offers will be reviewed Thurs. 04/24 at 12 Noon.
-
2026-04-17$209,999 Active 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Don't pass up the opportunity to snatch up your next home or investment property. This is a single family house ready to move in. It's 4 bedroom, 1 bath and living-dining attach. Also just needs some general updating and personal touches to make it a homey place to live. Close to Genesee St and retail/restaurants. All offers will be reviewed Thurs. 04/24 at 12 Noon.
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2025-07-25soldstatus $54,600
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2025-06-11soldstatus $54,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,425
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,274
- − Management
- −$2,274
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $4,958
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,190
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,339/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,932
- Household income
- $28,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 945.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.36%
- Current HPI
- 312.6232
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+248.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $189,999 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $209,999 WNYREIS
- 2025-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $54,600 Public Records
- 2025-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $54,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $112 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…