319 W Ridge St · Lansford, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- Appreciation +9.6/10.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * Offer deadline is 5/25/2026 at 5pm * * Welcome home to this charming and well-maintained twin in the heart of Lansford! Filled with character and timeless craftsmanship, this spacious home offers the perfect blend of comfort, value, and small-town charm. Freshly painted throughout with brand-new carpet and updated flooring, this move-in ready property is ready for its next owner. Step inside to find generous living areas perfect for relaxing or entertaining, along with an inviting eat-in kitchen featuring updated backsplash and flooring. Convenient first-floor laundry adds everyday ease. Use the attic as storage or a bonus room. Additional updates include newer roof and siding, offer
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Finished attic
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Vinyl siding; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Permanent foundation
- Exterior features: Semi-detached property; No tidal water on the property
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil-fired); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Doors swing inward for accessibility
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $330 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#605 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
- Panther Valley SD (rural): math 14% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #477 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Panther Valley El Sch (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 622 students, 100% FRL); Panther Valley Intermediate Sch (math 11% / reading 31%, grade F, #432 of 512 statewide, top 85%, 417 students, 100% FRL); Panther Valley Jshs (math 13% / reading 36%, grade F, #376 of 437 statewide, top 86%, 771 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
- Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $125k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1856 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1856 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.30%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $126,409
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 368 W Bertsch St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,549 (+2%) | 5mo | $23,000 | $15 | 86 |
| 206 W Bertsch St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,584 (+4%) | 5mo | $172,500 | $109 | 81 |
| 328 W Abbott St | 0.20mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,455 (-4%) | 3mo | $127,000 | $87 | 74 |
| 108 W Bertsch St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,508 (-1%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $76 | 74 |
| 343 W Kline Ave | 0.15mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,394 (-8%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $47 | 68 |
| 306 W Kline Ave | 0.15mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,312 (-14%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $88 | 59 |
| 6 E Abbott St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-8%) | 8mo | $116,600 | $83 | 58 |
| 234 E Patterson St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,581 (+4%) | 1mo | $188,000 | $119 | 55 |
| 307 E Abbott St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,640 (+8%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $37 | 48 |
| 262 E Kline Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,665 (+9%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $30 | 46 |
| 253 E Abbott | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (-10%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $120 | 44 |
| 221 E Bertsch St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,708 (+12%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $29 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $81,602
- Equity at exit
- $104,651
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.35×
- Total profit
- $222,214
- Equity at exit
- $217,720
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18232
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,478 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,566/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $330
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $400 | -5% $365 | +0% $330 | +5% $294 | +10% $259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $213 | -5% $271 | +0% $330 | +5% $388 | +10% $446 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $393 | -0.5pp $361 | base $330 | +0.5pp $297 | +1.0pp $264 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 W Ridge St Unit 3A Lansford, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,650 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 149 W Ridge St Unit 1B Lansford, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1654 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 20d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 317 E Bertsch St Unit 1 Lansford, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 323 E Bertsch St Unit A-1 Lansford, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 151 E High St Coaldale, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 10 Leisenring St Lansford, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1422 | $1,100 | $0.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-22$125,000 Active
-
2025-11-15historical
-
2022-10-14historical
-
2022-04-18historical
-
2020-07-14soldstatus $56,000
-
2020-07-13soldstatus $56,000
-
2020-03-17$59,900
-
2017-06-07$64,000
-
2016-07-18$72,000
-
2016-07-18$72,000
-
2009-07-15soldstatus $58,000
-
2009-07-15soldstatus $58,000
-
2009-05-01$59,900
-
2008-10-21$59,900
-
2008-10-21$59,900
-
2008-10-21$58,000
-
1997-08-05soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,566 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,771 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$204/yr (+$17/mo · 13.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,739
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,566
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,419
- − Management
- −$1,419
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,071
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$497
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,459/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Panther Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218450
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,914
- Composite
- 20.31/100
- National rank
- #8613
- State rank
- #477 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lansford
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #605
- US rank
- #5834
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansford, PA
- County
- Carbon County · 13,404 people
- City population
- 4,156
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,156
- Household income
- $44,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 123.0
Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,643 people
- By 2030
- 59,840 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 50,843 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 43,326 · -29.7%
- By 2100
- 37,126 · -39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 11% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Carbon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.12%
- Current HPI
- 262.3396
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+284.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-15 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2022-10-14 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2022-04-18 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2020-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-13 Sold (MLS) $56,000 GLVRMLS
- 2020-03-17 Listed $59,900 GLVRMLS
- 2017-06-07 Listed $64,000 GLVRMLS
- 2016-07-18 Listed $72,000 GLVRMLS
- 2016-07-18 Listed $72,000 PMAR
- 2009-07-15 Sold (MLS) $58,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-07-15 Sold (MLS) $58,000 GLVRMLS
- 2009-05-01 Listed $59,900 GLVRMLS
- 2008-10-21 Listed $58,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-10-21 Listed $59,900 PMAR
- 2008-10-21 Listed $59,900 GLVRMLS
- 1997-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,566 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…