11-13 Pershing St · Hartford, CT 06112

$440,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,993 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 162 Days on market

Built 1925 7,405 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.9/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.0/10.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Magnificent 2 family in the blue hills area 2 large bed rooms on each floor extra finished area in attic newer roof and mechanicals rents are below market value.

Key facts

• Off street parking
• Private backyard
• Central location

Tags

• TWO FAMILY HOME
• SEPARATE ENTRANCES
• FULL BASEMENT
• PRIVATE BACKYARD
• OFF STREET PARKING
• CENTRAL LOCATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $440k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $225/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $432k (1.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $387k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
• Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,319/mo this rent would consume 117% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1466% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $47k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $44k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $123k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$76k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $240k; list at $440k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $387,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.52%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.38%
• DSCR: 1.20
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.18×
• Total profit: $268,325
• Equity at exit: $396,387

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.0%
• Equity multiple: 7.23×
• Total profit: $767,658
• Equity at exit: $854,823

Cash invested: $123,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Connecticut: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 06112

• Home prices YoY: 4.9%
• Active inventory: 47
• Price-to-rent: 17.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,319 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,307
• Tax from tax record: −$471 /mo · $5,653/yr
• Insurance: −$183
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$907
• Net cashflow: $450

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,749

Max offer price $440,000

Occupancy floor 85%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	1	$4,320
Total (2 units)			$4,319

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $110,000
• Closing costs: $13,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
38 Baltic St Hartford, CT	3.0	1.0	1938	$2,300	$1.19	15d	1	0.13mi
349 Blue Hills Ave Unit 2 Hartford, CT	3.0	1.0	3328	$2,000	$0.60	43d	1	0.52mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-02-05
   status Under Contract
2. 2025-08-27
   listed $440,000 Active
3. 2007-08-17
   soldstatus $240,000
4. 2007-08-15
   soldstatus $240,000 161-char remark

   Show marketing remark (161 chars)

   Magnificent 2 family in the blue hills area 2 large bed rooms on each floor extra finished area in attic newer roof and mechanicals rents are below market value.

5. 2007-04-02
   listed $265,000 161-char remark

   Show marketing remark (161 chars)

   Magnificent 2 family in the blue hills area 2 large bed rooms on each floor extra finished area in attic newer roof and mechanicals rents are below market value.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $5,653 · $471/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $7,534 · $628/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,882/yr (+$157/mo · 33.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $51,828
• − Mortgage interest: −$24,647
• − Property taxes: −$5,653
• − Insurance: −$2,200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,146
• − Management: −$4,146
• − Depreciation: −$12,800
• Taxable loss: −$1,764
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$423
• After-tax cash flow: $5,826/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hartford School District
• NCES district ID: 0901920
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $30,521
• Composite: 13.54/100
• National rank: #9514
• State rank: #150 of 153 in CT

Livability — Hartford

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #58
• US rank: #3553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Hartford, CT
• County: Hartford County · 754,208 people
• City population: 121,162
• Metro: Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
• Population (ZIP): 22,333
• Household income: $44,460
• Rent vs Own: 60.4% rent · 39.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1466.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

• By 2040: 1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 68% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 9% Two or more races 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 2%
• Foreign-born: 26% · Canada
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
• All cycles: 2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 14.58%
• Current HPI: 310.7763
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.06%
• F500 in state: 38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	4	$38B
▸Insurance	3	$71B
▸Financial Services	2	$25B
▸Transportation / Logistics	2	$18B
▸Healthcare	1	$247B
▸Telecommunications	1	$55B

Price history

+66.0% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-05 Pending — Smart MLS
• 2025-08-27 Listed $440,000 Smart MLS
• 2007-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
• 2007-08-15 Sold (MLS) $240,000 Smart MLS
• 2007-04-02 Listed $265,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,653 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.